Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

In a recently published report (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cop26-u-n-climate-conference-to-address-mitigation-financing-and-carbon-pricing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59779" rel="noopener">COP26: U.N. Climate Conference to Address Mitigation, Financing, and Carbon Pricing</a>) I mentioned how the COP26 international climate conference (31 October to 12 November) will have far-reaching implications for global capital markets and investing.That Insight was largely about the COP26 conference itself – background, objectives, three critical agenda items with trillions of dollars at stake, and that will influence global financial markets from today (headlines coming out of the conference) through the end of this century.That report was necessary context for this Insight and others that will follow; successively deeper dives into country-specific climate action plans, and investment themes and trading ideas around the COP26 conference and climate change in general. This is the first of those follow-up reports.Herein, I present a brief overview of investment themes and angles directly linked to the three key COP26 agenda items: 1) mitigation of global warming, 2) climate finance, and 3) the development of international carbon markets and pricing mechanisms. Themes and subthemes such as:<ul>
<li>
Climate Transition: "Green" utilities, renewable energy, cleantech, electric vehicles and other areas of smart mobility, green buildings, and related. The "buy solar, sell coal" kinds of stuff.</li>
<li>
Climate Financing: Financial sector stocks poised to benefit from climate change mitigation, reduced risk from portfolio debarbonisation, and new inflows into sustainable/ESG funds.</li>
<li>
Carbon Markets: Pure-play (or close thereto) carbon capture and storage/sequestration (CCS) stocks, plus a few financial sector overlaps (e.g., related to carbon markets, futures, etc.)</li>
</ul>

In a recently published report (COP26: U.N. Climate Conference to Address Mitigation, Financing, and Carbon Pricing) I mentioned how the COP26 international climate conference (31 October to 12 November) will have far-reaching implications for global capital markets and investing.That Insight was largely about the COP26 conference itself – background, objectives, three critical agenda items with trillions of dollars at stake, and that will influence global financial markets from today (headlines coming out of the conference) through the end of this century.That report was necessary context for this Insight and others that will follow; successively deeper dives into country-specific climate action plans, and investment themes and trading ideas around the COP26 conference and climate change in general. This is the first of those follow-up reports.Herein, I present a brief overview of investment themes and angles directly linked to the three key COP26 agenda items: 1) mitigation of global warming, 2) climate finance, and 3) the development of international carbon markets and pricing mechanisms. Themes and subthemes such as:

Climate Transition: "Green" utilities, renewable energy, cleantech, electric vehicles and other areas of smart mobility, green buildings, and related. The "buy solar, sell coal" kinds of stuff.

Climate Financing: Financial sector stocks poised to benefit from climate change mitigation, reduced risk from portfolio debarbonisation, and new inflows into sustainable/ESG funds.

Carbon Markets: Pure-play (or close thereto) carbon capture and storage/sequestration (CCS) stocks, plus a few financial sector overlaps (e.g., related to carbon markets, futures, etc.)


COP26: An Overview of Investment Themes and Catalysts Related to COP26 Conference

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Aqila Ali

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div class="content-highlight">
<h2>What's Original?</h2>
This insight is an in-depth research on the Asian solar energy industry, covering the value chain and related companies in each key stage of the value chain. Our research includes the following:
<ul>
<li>
Industry Background: This includes an in-depth analysis on the solar energy sector, which includes an overview on the key types of solar technologies (Photovoltaic-PV, Concentrated Solar Power-CSP and Solar Heating and Cooling- SHC), and the leading Asian countries (India, Japan and China) in the sector. We provide our thoughts on which solar technology looks promising and compare the technology used across the leading Asian countries. </li>
<li>
Value Chain Analysis: We detail the value chain for PV, highlighting the critical stages of the value chain (system integration assembly and installation, and manufacturing of cells, modules, polysilicon ingot, and wafer) and the leading players in those stages (includes listed and unlisted companies).</li>
<li>
Background Analysis on Key Players- This includes researching the key Asian listed/unlisted solar energy companies and analysing the key contributing factor/product to each of them in the sector. </li>
<li>
Investment opportunities and risk – We compare and contrast the investment opportunities for each of the key players in the sector, to understand if the companies follow a similar strategy or otherwise. </li>
<li>
Analysis on the key revenue and margin drivers– We compare and contrast the key revenue growth and profitability drivers for the listed companies. We have also provided a short investment thesis on the key listed players and looked at their valuation.</li>
</ul>
</div><div></div>The Insight is structured as follows:A. Solar Energy Industry Background B. A Deep Dive into the Three Key Solar TechnologiesC. A Look at the Leading Asian Countries in the Solar Market: China, Japan, and IndiaD. Value Chain AnalysisE. A Look at the Key Asian Solar Players


What's Original?
This insight is an in-depth research on the Asian solar energy industry, covering the value chain and related companies in each key stage of the value chain. Our research includes the following:


Industry Background: This includes an in-depth analysis on the solar energy sector, which includes an overview on the key types of solar technologies (Photovoltaic-PV, Concentrated Solar Power-CSP and Solar Heating and Cooling- SHC), and the leading Asian countries (India, Japan and China) in the sector. We provide our thoughts on which solar technology looks promising and compare the technology used across the leading Asian countries. 

Value Chain Analysis: We detail the value chain for PV, highlighting the critical stages of the value chain (system integration assembly and installation, and manufacturing of cells, modules, polysilicon ingot, and wafer) and the leading players in those stages (includes listed and unlisted companies).

Background Analysis on Key Players- This includes researching the key Asian listed/unlisted solar energy companies and analysing the key contributing factor/product to each of them in the sector. 

Investment opportunities and risk – We compare and contrast the investment opportunities for each of the key players in the sector, to understand if the companies follow a similar strategy or otherwise. 

Analysis on the key revenue and margin drivers– We compare and contrast the key revenue growth and profitability drivers for the listed companies. We have also provided a short investment thesis on the key listed players and looked at their valuation.

The Insight is structured as follows:A. Solar Energy Industry Background B. A Deep Dive into the Three Key Solar TechnologiesC. A Look at the Leading Asian Countries in the Solar Market: China, Japan, and IndiaD. Value Chain AnalysisE. A Look at the Key Asian Solar Players

Asian Solar Energy Sector: Powered by Subsidies and Moving Downstream

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

mportant price support levels previously highlighted have held strong, including the 3200-3230 level on the S&amp;P 500, 10,855 on the Nasdaq 100, and $145/the 200-day MA on the Russell 2000 (IWM). Additionally, both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are breaking out from their bullish falling wedge patterns that have been taking shape since the early-September highs. These bullish inflections are encouraging and, combined with market dynamics which remain mostly healthy, lead us to believe the lows of this recent correction are likely in.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Solar Energy, Fuel Cells/Lithium Batteries, and Software, Customer Relationship Mgt.

mportant price support levels previously highlighted have held strong, including the 3200-3230 level on the S&amp;P 500, 10,855 on the Nasdaq 100, and $145/the 200-day MA on the Russell 2000 (IWM). Additionally, both the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are breaking out from their bullish falling wedge patterns that have been taking shape since the early-September highs. These bullish inflections are encouraging and, combined with market dynamics which remain mostly healthy, lead us to believe the lows of this recent correction are likely in.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary &amp; Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Solar Energy, Fuel Cells/Lithium Batteries, and Software, Customer Relationship Mgt.

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

The S&amp;P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so unconvincingly. We would not call it a breakout as the market closed well off of the opening highs and not one cyclical Sector is decisively in new high territory. Overall, the market is sending mixed signals. Barring additional positive developments we believe upside is likely to be muted from here. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Services, and Technology: Diagnostic Imaging, Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, and Solar Energy.

The S&amp;P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so unconvincingly. We would not call it a breakout as the market closed well off of the opening highs and not one cyclical Sector is decisively in new high territory. Overall, the market is sending mixed signals. Barring additional positive developments we believe upside is likely to be muted from here. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care, Services, and Technology: Diagnostic Imaging, Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, and Solar Energy.

China

JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited manufactures solar products. The Company produces silicon wafers, solar cells and solar modules.

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JinkoSolar Holding (JKS US)

Asian Solar Energy Sector: Powered by Subsidies and Moving Downstream

The Insight is structured as follows: A. Solar Energy Industry Background – Introduction to the Solar energy Industry B. A Deep Dive into the Three...

Aqila Ali

U.S. Equity Strategy: Correction Over?

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary & Technology: CD-24 Casinos & Gaming, Small-Cap,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

While the S&P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to...

Vermilion Research

All-Time Closing Highs Fails To Impress

The S&P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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COP26: An Overview of Investment Themes and Catalysts Related to COP26 Conference

COP26, the climate conference happening now, will impact global capital markets. Perhaps over the next two weeks, depending on headlines, but...

Kyle Rudden

Asian Solar Energy Sector: Powered by Subsidies and Moving Downstream

The Insight is structured as follows: A. Solar Energy Industry Background – Introduction to the Solar energy Industry B. A Deep Dive into the Three...

Aqila Ali

U.S. Equity Strategy: Correction Over?

In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary & Technology: CD-24 Casinos & Gaming, Small-Cap,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

While the S&P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to...

Vermilion Research

All-Time Closing Highs Fails To Impress

The S&P 500 made a new all-time closing high following the largely as-expected U.S.-China trade cease-fire agreement, but it did so...

Vermilion Research