IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-grand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18241:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. </li>
<li>It is likely that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-capital-land-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4543:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK)</a>, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-ocean-group-holding-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8898:1" rel="noopener">Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK)</a> receivers. </li>
<li>As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. </li>
</ul>



Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. 
It is likely that Beijing Capital Land Ltd H (2868 HK), the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group (3377 HK) receivers. 
As this is a forced sale, an offer of around HK$0.70-0.75, a 20%- 30% premium to the last close, would be sufficient to gain an irrevocable from the receivers. 


Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

China VAST Industrial Urban Development / Event-Driven

China VAST Industrial Urban Development (CVI HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a>’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced that all the pre-conditions were fulfilled. China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)’s offer is HK$2.40 per share.
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The offer is light, but the headcount test is not applicable. At last close and for a year-end payment, the gross and annualised spread is 0.8% and 4.0%, respectively.


China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vast-industrial-urban-development-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3212:1" rel="noopener">China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35:1" rel="noopener">China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK)</a> at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.</li>
<li>The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



China Vast Industrial Urban Development (6166 HK) announced a pre-conditional privatisation offer from China Jinmao Holdings (817 HK) at HK$2.40 per share, a 30.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection). Shareholders with blocking stakes will be supportive.
The headcount test (if still applicable) is a key challenge as minorities are likely to be unimpressed. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal probability).


China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>The Kerry Group has been busy of late.</p>
<p>Back in December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:367:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK)</a> IPO'ed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-express-thailand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29253:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB)</a> as discussed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/sumeet-singh" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4" rel="noopener">Sumeet Singh</a> in <em><a href="https://skr.ma/uGPdd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kerry Express Thailand IPO - Time for Delivery</a></em>.</p>
<p>Last month <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3320:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Properties (683 HK)</a> ("KPL") and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:367:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK)</a> ("KLN") <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0210/2021021000043.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Partial Offer from  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>.  This is an ongoing transaction - see <em><a href="https://skr.ma/D9RK7" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kerry Logistics (636 HK): SF Holdings' Pre-Conditional Partial Offer</a></em>. KLN announced last night the composite document has been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0308/2021030801425.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">delayed</a> potentially up to the 16 August 201. </p>
<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shangri-la-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19690:1" rel="noopener">Shangri-La Asia (69 HK)</a>, majority-owned by the Kerry Group, is well up on its March 2020 COVID low, and up 9.5% YTD.  Around half of its hotels are in China, which have witnessed a strong uptick in local leisure and corporate traveling, generating positive EBITDA as early as June last year, the first time since the first outbreak of the pandemic.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Currently trading at 0.6x P/B against a pre-COVID average multiple of 0.8x., this is worth a second look.</div>
<div></div>
<div>More below the fold.</div>

The Kerry Group has been busy of late.
Back in December, Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) IPO'ed Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB) as discussed by Sumeet Singh in Kerry Express Thailand IPO - Time for Delivery.
Last month Kerry Properties (683 HK) ("KPL") and Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK) ("KLN") announced a pre-conditional Partial Offer from  S.F. Holding (002352 CH).  This is an ongoing transaction - see Kerry Logistics (636 HK): SF Holdings' Pre-Conditional Partial Offer. KLN announced last night the composite document has been delayed potentially up to the 16 August 201. 

Shangri-La Asia (69 HK), majority-owned by the Kerry Group, is well up on its March 2020 COVID low, and up 9.5% YTD.  Around half of its hotels are in China, which have witnessed a strong uptick in local leisure and corporate traveling, generating positive EBITDA as early as June last year, the first time since the first outbreak of the pandemic.

Currently trading at 0.6x P/B against a pre-COVID average multiple of 0.8x., this is worth a second look.

More below the fold.

Last Week In Event SPACE: Keisei/Oriental Ld, Nat'l Storage, Sembcorp, Leyou, Accordia Golf, Samba

Hong Kong

Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments & Management Ltd. operates as a fixed single investment trust primarily focused on the hospitality industry in the People's Republic of China. It owns and invests in a portfolio of high-quality hotels and commercial properties, including the Jin Mao Tower, and also engages in property leasing and management services. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments & Management (6139 HK)

Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments & Management

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Jinmao (China) Hotel Investments & Management (6139 HK)

Beijing Capital Grand (1329 HK): An Offer from Beijing Capital Land?

It is likely that Beijing Capital Land, the largest shareholder, is launching an offer primarily to acquire the stake from Sino-Ocean Group receivers.

Arun George

China VAST: Pre-Condition Fulfilled for the China Jinmao Offer

The headcount test is not applicable, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for a year-end payment, the annualised spread is 4.0%.

Arun George

China VAST’s Underwhelming Privatisation Bid from China Jinmao

The offer price is unattractive to historical multiples and precedent transactions. We would be buyers up to HK$2.26 per share (implies 75% deal...

Arun George

Shangri-La Asia (69 HK): Stay Safe

Based on the average price to book - pre-COVID - I would expect around 33% upside from here, or HK$10.80/share, where it traded as recently as May...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Keisei/Oriental Ld, Nat'l Storage, Sembcorp, Leyou, Accordia Golf, Samba

Last Week in Event SPACE ... With Tokyo Disneyland opening this past Wednesday, Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) was coming up "expensive"....

David Blennerhassett

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