Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China catering players have seen strong recovery during the Chinese New Year starting from Jan 22th, amidst a broad-based revival of the service sector as a whole.</li>
<li>For Xiabuxiabu, latest data points suggest significant progress in turnaround and higher visibility into 2023 performance.</li>
<li>We see upside to our financial projection for 2023 and are more confident that Xiabuxiabu is the most attractively-priced to play re-opening in China catering sector. Expect 50% upside.</li>
</ul>


China catering players have seen strong recovery during the Chinese New Year starting from Jan 22th, amidst a broad-based revival of the service sector as a whole.
For Xiabuxiabu, latest data points suggest significant progress in turnaround and higher visibility into 2023 performance.
We see upside to our financial projection for 2023 and are more confident that Xiabuxiabu is the most attractively-priced to play re-opening in China catering sector. Expect 50% upside.


Xiabuxiabu (520 HK): Strong CNY Bodes Well for the Year of 2023

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management / Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management

<ul>
<li>Xiao Noodles’ advantage doesn't come from a single product, but from a set of replicable systematic capabilities.However, investors are concerned growth is driven by capital rather than endogenous healthy growth.</li>
<li>Valuation would be lower than those mature brands that have proven profitability in the short term, but would be higher than the companies that are still exploring profit paths.</li>
<li>Comfortable valuation could be P/E of 15-20x, which indicates arbitrage space. But in long term, business model will be difficult to sustain if there’s no breakthrough in profit margin performance.  </li>
</ul>


Xiao Noodles’ advantage doesn't come from a single product, but from a set of replicable systematic capabilities.However, investors are concerned growth is driven by capital rather than endogenous healthy growth.
Valuation would be lower than those mature brands that have proven profitability in the short term, but would be higher than the companies that are still exploring profit paths.
Comfortable valuation could be P/E of 15-20x, which indicates arbitrage space. But in long term, business model will be difficult to sustain if there’s no breakthrough in profit margin performance.  


Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CSPC Pharma, China Telecom, HKEx, Hua Hong Semiconductor.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 504.</li>
<li>We expect 20 of the 24 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 8 September. 19 of the 22 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.</li>
<li>On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 504.
We expect 20 of the 24 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 8 September. 19 of the 22 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.
On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 22 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, China Energy Engineering, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, ABC, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, China Energy Engineering, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, ABC, Tencent.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 25th): China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou

China

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, focuses on manufactures food products. Jiumaojiu International Holdings serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Jiumaojiu (9922 HK)

Xiabuxiabu (520 HK): Strong CNY Bodes Well for the Year of 2023

Strong operating data of Xiabuxiabu Group during CNY highlighted not only very favorable industry tailwinds but also significant progress in...

Eric Chen

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Xiao Noodles' growth driven by capital raise concerns for investors about sustainability/profitability ahead, despite replicable capabilities....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK), Meituan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 22 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the HSCI in Sep. 20 stocks could be added to Stock Connect and 19 removed. The Connect adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 25th): China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xiabuxiabu (520 HK): Strong CNY Bodes Well for the Year of 2023

Strong operating data of Xiabuxiabu Group during CNY highlighted not only very favorable industry tailwinds but also significant progress in...

Eric Chen

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Xiao Noodles Catering Management (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

​Xiao Noodles' growth driven by capital raise concerns for investors about sustainability/profitability ahead, despite replicable capabilities....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 26th): Alibaba, Shandong Hi-Speed, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba (9988 HK), Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK), Meituan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance: 24 Adds, 22 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

There are 24 adds and 22 deletes for the HSCI in Sep. 20 stocks could be added to Stock Connect and 19 removed. The Connect adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Jul 25th): China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, China Mobile, CCB, Xiaomi, Kuaishou, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Xiao Noodles' growth driven by capital raise concerns for investors about sustainability/profitability ahead, despite replicable capabilities....