Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain our Outperform rating with a buy recommendation based on the fundamentals, as the stock price has +62% upside to the fair value (FV) of Bt22.80 (based on a required return of 5.3%).</li><li>In addition, the downside risk is limited from the tactical perspective.</li><li>Profit for 2025-26E is expected to grow at an average of 16% per year, driven by a reduction in allowance expenses (ECL), although this growth remains below the industry average.</li></ul>

We maintain our Outperform rating with a buy recommendation based on the fundamentals, as the stock price has +62% upside to the fair value (FV) of Bt22.80 (based on a required return of 5.3%).In addition, the downside risk is limited from the tactical perspective.Profit for 2025-26E is expected to grow at an average of 16% per year, driven by a reduction in allowance expenses (ECL), although this growth remains below the industry average.

JMT Network Services - Cash Collection Improved QoQ, but Expenses Pressured Earnings

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see one change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a> in December with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kce-electronics-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1892:1" rel="noopener">KCE Electronics (KCE TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngern-tid-lor-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31103:1" rel="noopener">Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB)</a>. </li>
<li>There is one close change where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-TAIL (ITC TB)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> is unlikely to be deleted while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> fails liquidity and is unlikely to be added.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see one change for the SET 50 Index in December with KCE Electronics (KCE TB) replacing Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB). 
There is one close change where I-TAIL (ITC TB) could replace Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) in the index.

Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) is unlikely to be deleted while Berli Jucker (BJC TB) fails liquidity and is unlikely to be added.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; Another One Is Close

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 14th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bangkok Dusit, Quality Houses, CP AXTRA NVDR, Muangthai Capital, Muangthai Capital, Quality Houses, Bangkok Dusit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 14th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bangkok Dusit, Quality Houses, CP AXTRA NVDR, Muangthai Capital, Muangthai Capital, Quality Houses, Bangkok Dusit.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 14th): Intouch, Bangkok Dusit, Quality Houses, CP AXTRA NVDR

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 7th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangkok Bank, Bangkok Dusit, True, Bangkok Dusit, Bumrungrad Hospital, True, Bangkok Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Nov 7th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangkok Bank, Bangkok Dusit, True, Bangkok Dusit, Bumrungrad Hospital, True, Bangkok Bank.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangkok Bank, Bangkok Dusit

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,190 points (50-day EMA) and 1,185 points and the resistance at 1,210 and 1,214 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index appears to be entering a correction phase after rallying over 15% from this year’s new low of 1,056.41 points on April 8.</li><li>A reversal signal (hammer) appeared on Friday, suggesting the index may soften over the next 1-2 days. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,190 points (50-day EMA) and 1,185 points and the resistance at 1,210 and 1,214 points.In the short term, the index appears to be entering a correction phase after rallying over 15% from this year’s new low of 1,056.41 points on April 8.A reversal signal (hammer) appeared on Friday, suggesting the index may soften over the next 1-2 days. 

KTX Zoom - Reports of Manufacturing and Services PMIs for China and the EU

Thailand

JMT Network Services PCL is involved in the debt collection business in Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JMT Network Services (JMT TB)

JMT Network Services - Cash Collection Improved QoQ, but Expenses Pressured Earnings

We maintain our Outperform rating with a buy recommendation based on the fundamentals, as the stock price has +62% upside to the fair value (FV) of...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; Another One Is Close

KCE could replace TIDLOR in the SET50 in Dec. ITC is a close add and could replace SAWAD. The impact on the stocks is big given the index is...

Brian Freitas

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 14th): Intouch, Bangkok Dusit, Quality Houses, CP AXTRA NVDR

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Bangkok Dusit (BDMS TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Intouch, Bumrungrad Hospital, Bangkok Bank, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KTX Zoom - Reports of Manufacturing and Services PMIs for China and the EU

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the support levels at 1,190 points (50-day EMA) and 1,185 points and the resistance at 1,210...

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)