Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The carry trade involves borrowing in lower yielding currencies like the yen and investing in higher yielding assets</li><li>The recent unwind of the carry trade caused temporary market stress, but quickly settled down</li><li>The actors involved in the carry trade range from speculators to institutions, making it a diverse ecosystem with varying motivations and impacts</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The carry trade involves borrowing in lower yielding currencies like the yen and investing in higher yielding assetsThe recent unwind of the carry trade caused temporary market stress, but quickly settled downThe actors involved in the carry trade range from speculators to institutions, making it a diverse ecosystem with varying motivations and impactsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Hyun Song Shin on How Big the Yen Carry Trade Really Is

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Historical analysis suggests that previous lows in yen or highs in dollar yen may be difficult to recapture after significant technical damage.</li><li>The yen strength is influenced by wide US minus Japan real policy rate differentials, skewing historical results in a more yen bearish direction.</li><li>Expectations for the upcoming BOJ meeting include a 15 basis point rate hike and a halving of bond purchases, leading to dispersion of views among investors on the timing of rate hikes.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Historical analysis suggests that previous lows in yen or highs in dollar yen may be difficult to recapture after significant technical damage.The yen strength is influenced by wide US minus Japan real policy rate differentials, skewing historical results in a more yen bearish direction.Expectations for the upcoming BOJ meeting include a 15 basis point rate hike and a halving of bond purchases, leading to dispersion of views among investors on the timing of rate hikes.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>MoF intervention in Japan estimated at 3.5 trillion yen, impacting yen price action</li><li>Discussion on GPIF's asset allocation and potential repatriation flows</li><li>Expectation for increase in domestic bond weight in GPIF's portfolio, impacting yen strength</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

MoF intervention in Japan estimated at 3.5 trillion yen, impacting yen price actionDiscussion on GPIF's asset allocation and potential repatriation flowsExpectation for increase in domestic bond weight in GPIF's portfolio, impacting yen strengthThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: On Japan Intervention/ GPIF, Dollar Supports and European Data

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

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Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>As observed elsewhere, inflation in Japan is sticky and the country is importing a considerable amount of inflation due to its weakening currency.</li>
<li>While too early to tweak monetary policy again, to limit currency volatility as much as possible, hinting at a less accommodative policy now would be opportune.</li>
<li>The Japanese Finance Minister appears to be anticipating potential Yen intervention.</li>
</ul>


As observed elsewhere, inflation in Japan is sticky and the country is importing a considerable amount of inflation due to its weakening currency.
While too early to tweak monetary policy again, to limit currency volatility as much as possible, hinting at a less accommodative policy now would be opportune.
The Japanese Finance Minister appears to be anticipating potential Yen intervention.


Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

<ul>
<li>The slip in US yields has lead the US_Japan yield spread to move lower thereby putting USDJPY out of line with it</li>
<li>The danger is that once month end is over, USDJPY may “catch up” by trending down in the short term</li>
<li>In addition we see price action developments on USDJPY itself that reflects weakness in the uptrend</li>
</ul>


The slip in US yields has lead the US_Japan yield spread to move lower thereby putting USDJPY out of line with it
The danger is that once month end is over, USDJPY may “catch up” by trending down in the short term
In addition we see price action developments on USDJPY itself that reflects weakness in the uptrend


Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

Hyun Song Shin on How Big the Yen Carry Trade Really Is

The recent carry trade unwind caused temporary market stress but was quickly recovered from, highlighting the importance of understanding and...

Odd Lots

Global FX & Economics: Yen-maggedon

The historical analysis and current market conditions suggest that recovering from the recent yen strength may be difficult, with uncertainties...

At Any Rate

Global FX: On Japan Intervention/ GPIF, Dollar Supports and European Data

The Ministry of Finance intervened in the yen market, leading to significant capital outflows from Japan and potential repatriation flows due to...

At Any Rate

USDJPY - An Opportunistic Currency Trade

New Currency Trade Idea. We are initiating an opportunistic long position in the Japanese Yen against the US dollar as the USDJPY exchange rate...

Jeroen Blokland

USDJPY Disconnect

The price action on USDJPY & the DXY Index as well as short term developments in the fixed income markets are beginning to warn of a stretched USD...

Shyam Devani

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