Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate.</li><li>Positioning in CNY markets is an underreported angle in the discussion on China as it may help guide asset performance from here, now that everyone and their mother agrees that China is stuck in a mess.</li><li>Are international investors even involved in China anymore?</li></ul>

We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate.Positioning in CNY markets is an underreported angle in the discussion on China as it may help guide asset performance from here, now that everyone and their mother agrees that China is stuck in a mess.Are international investors even involved in China anymore?

Positioning Watch: Is Anyone Even Invested in China at This Stage?

<ul>
<li>The Bank of Japan moved the needle on the 10yr YCC from an effective cap 0.5% to a new effective cap at 1% but with a larger flexibility being introduced to the setup.</li>
<li>This also means that JGBs are now effectively tradeable again and that two-way-traffic is introduced as the BoJ can decide to guide the 10yr point both higher and lower within the accepted range given incoming data on prices ahead.</li>
<li>This is very different from just communicating a new clear cap and the 10yr yield is trading around +56 bps on the screens by the time of writing.</li>
</ul>


The Bank of Japan moved the needle on the 10yr YCC from an effective cap 0.5% to a new effective cap at 1% but with a larger flexibility being introduced to the setup.
This also means that JGBs are now effectively tradeable again and that two-way-traffic is introduced as the BoJ can decide to guide the 10yr point both higher and lower within the accepted range given incoming data on prices ahead.
This is very different from just communicating a new clear cap and the 10yr yield is trading around +56 bps on the screens by the time of writing.


Japan Watch: 1% with Added Flexibility – More or Less Printing from Here?

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<div data-attrs='{"url":"https://gordianknot.substack.com/subscribe?","text":"Subscribe"}'><div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><div><ul><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">To a 180-degree flip at the End of the Dollar hegemony and reserve system, opinions were pushed aggressively over mainstream CNN, FOX News networks, News Headlines, and fringe opinion makers looking for click baits.</span></li><li>We look at sentiment shift, and is it different from when Dollar peaked in October 2022?</li><li>We cover JPY, CNY, KRW, INR, TWD, AUD, CHF, EUR &amp; GBP charts. We have added equity and rates charts in China, India, and Korea where possible to help corroborate cross-market analysis.</li></ul></div></form></div></div>

To a 180-degree flip at the End of the Dollar hegemony and reserve system, opinions were pushed aggressively over mainstream CNN, FOX News networks, News Headlines, and fringe opinion makers looking for click baits.We look at sentiment shift, and is it different from when Dollar peaked in October 2022?We cover JPY, CNY, KRW, INR, TWD, AUD, CHF, EUR &amp; GBP charts. We have added equity and rates charts in China, India, and Korea where possible to help corroborate cross-market analysis.

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Historic volatility has collapsed on the Nikkei, normalizing at a far quicker pace than the volatility episode last August.</li>
<li>Global uncertainty remains unresolved, casting a shadow over recent equity strength.</li>
<li>This week’s rally came without FX tailwinds, underscoring a potentially fragile move.</li>
</ul>


Historic volatility has collapsed on the Nikkei, normalizing at a far quicker pace than the volatility episode last August.
Global uncertainty remains unresolved, casting a shadow over recent equity strength.
This week’s rally came without FX tailwinds, underscoring a potentially fragile move.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (May 26 – 30): Back to Pre-Tariff Levels, But Uncertainty Still Looms

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>There is a supply demand mismatch globally, particularly at the long end of the curve</li><li>Rising term premiums are a concern, especially in the US due to fiscal uncertainty</li><li>While the speed of the recent moves is notable, there are no major financial stability concerns in the US, but Japan may need to take action to address volatility in the super long sector</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

There is a supply demand mismatch globally, particularly at the long end of the curveRising term premiums are a concern, especially in the US due to fiscal uncertaintyWhile the speed of the recent moves is notable, there are no major financial stability concerns in the US, but Japan may need to take action to address volatility in the super long sectorThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX & Global Rates: Term premia rising: implications for rates and FX

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

Positioning Watch: Is Anyone Even Invested in China at This Stage?

We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate. Positioning in CNY markets...

Steno Research

Japan Watch: 1% with Added Flexibility – More or Less Printing from Here?

The Bank of Japan moved the needle on the 10yr YCC from an effective cap 0.5% to a new effective cap at 1% but with a larger...

Steno Research

US Dollar is Dead Redux

This note extensively focuses on sentiment as the market is overwhelmed with the Negative Dollar narrative that is mainstream. And it begs the...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (May 26 – 30): Back to Pre-Tariff Levels, But Uncertainty Still Looms

Nikkei's historic volatility has quickly normalized, but global uncertainty still looms over recent equity strength, with this week's rally...

John Ley

Global FX & Global Rates: Term premia rising: implications for rates and FX

In the global derivatives markets, steepening yield curves and increasing term premiums are causing concerns over supply demand imbalances,...

At Any Rate

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Positioning Watch: Is Anyone Even Invested in China at This Stage?

We hope you have enjoyed our China Week coverage with extensive analysis on the ongoing malaise in Chinese Real Estate. Positioning in CNY markets...

Steno Research

Japan Watch: 1% with Added Flexibility – More or Less Printing from Here?

The Bank of Japan moved the needle on the 10yr YCC from an effective cap 0.5% to a new effective cap at 1% but with a larger...

Steno Research

US Dollar is Dead Redux

This note extensively focuses on sentiment as the market is overwhelmed with the Negative Dollar narrative that is mainstream. And it begs the...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Nikkei Index Options Weekly (May 26 – 30): Back to Pre-Tariff Levels, But Uncertainty Still Looms

​Nikkei's historic volatility has quickly normalized, but global uncertainty still looms over recent equity strength, with this week's rally...

John Ley

Global FX & Global Rates: Term premia rising: implications for rates and FX

In the global derivatives markets, steepening yield curves and increasing term premiums are causing concerns over supply demand imbalances,...

At Any Rate

Nikkei's historic volatility has quickly normalized, but global uncertainty still looms over recent equity strength, with this week's rally...