Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 23 February, household appliance maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/js-global-lifestyle-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28155:1" rel="noopener">JS Global Lifestyle (1691 HK)</a> proposed spinning off SharkNinja's ex-Asia Pac ops in the U.S.  </li>
<li>This spin-off would be undertaken as a distribution in-specie, creating a parallel listing structure for SharkNinja and the remaining operations.</li>
<li>Shareholders of JSG will vote on the separate listing at the EGM on the 26 June, with the last day cum-entitlement on the 27 June.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 23 February, household appliance maker JS Global Lifestyle (1691 HK) proposed spinning off SharkNinja's ex-Asia Pac ops in the U.S.  
This spin-off would be undertaken as a distribution in-specie, creating a parallel listing structure for SharkNinja and the remaining operations.
Shareholders of JSG will vote on the separate listing at the EGM on the 26 June, with the last day cum-entitlement on the 27 June.


JS Global (1691 HK)'s SharkNinja Spin-Off

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The results preview of both Joyoung and JS Global in FY24E were under pressure.</li><li>However, since situation for Joyoung is stabling and it is still gaining market share, while SharkNinja APAC’s outlook is rather decent after some early success, plus the active buyback by its major shareholder, we trim our net profit to reflect profit warning but maintain BUY given the long-term positive.</li><li>We are conservative about Joyoung’s outlook in FY25E. On one hand, we have turned slightly positive on small appliance industry sales trend in FY25E, because of: 1) improved numbers in 4Q24 (online sales growth of kitchen appliances and kitchenware in 4Q24E was at 5%, improved from 3% in 3Q24 and 4% in 2Q24, based on Moojing’s numbers), possibly aided by mildly improved consumer sentiment, after the launch of “old for new” home appliances subsidies</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The results preview of both Joyoung and JS Global in FY24E were under pressure.However, since situation for Joyoung is stabling and it is still gaining market share, while SharkNinja APAC’s outlook is rather decent after some early success, plus the active buyback by its major shareholder, we trim our net profit to reflect profit warning but maintain BUY given the long-term positive.We are conservative about Joyoung’s outlook in FY25E. On one hand, we have turned slightly positive on small appliance industry sales trend in FY25E, because of: 1) improved numbers in 4Q24 (online sales growth of kitchen appliances and kitchenware in 4Q24E was at 5%, improved from 3% in 3Q24 and 4% in 2Q24, based on Moojing’s numbers), possibly aided by mildly improved consumer sentiment, after the launch of “old for new” home appliances subsidiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Js Global Lifestyle (1691 HK) - Massive Buyback with Decent Mid-Term Outlook

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sands-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:182:1" rel="noopener">Sands China (1928 HK)</a> had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> broke out to a new YTD high.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong tech sector leads the market higher with increased momentum and lower volatility.  Short selling has abated with unwind of HKD carry trade.

Sands China (1928 HK) had a breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern. The share price broke above its short-term averages with increasing momentum.


China Feihe (6186 HK) broke out from its downtrend with a Reversal from its U-Shaped Bottom.  Techtronic Industries (669 HK) broke out to a new YTD high.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 23)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.</li>
<li>We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. </li>
<li>More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   </li>
</ul>



Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) is less exposed to China's real estate market than one would have thought. Despite poor property industry, HSH still generated 12.9% earnings growth in 3Q23.
We are delighted to see further margin pick-up in 2Q23-3Q23, thanks to digitalisation and better efficiency. We believe such a trend can be sustained over the next 12-18 months. 
More innovative products will drive market share, and better margin can support a 13% 3-year earnings CAGR. ROE is high at 17-8% despite net cash (8.8% of share price).   


Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.</li>
<li>The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.</li>
<li>Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.</li>
</ul>


China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.
The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.
Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.


CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

United States

JS Global Lifestyle Company Limited provides household appliances. The Company offers pressure and induction cookers, air fryers, countertop grills, upright and robotic  vacuums, water purifier, ventilator, thermos, and other related products. JS Global Lifestyle serves customers worldwide.

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JS Global Lifestyle (1691 HK)

JS Global (1691 HK)'s SharkNinja Spin-Off

Wow - SharkNinja (SN US)'s market cap on its first day of trading is ~US$4.2bn - a punchy 23x trailing PER - well above the expected value of...

David Blennerhassett