Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>India led volume stability, improving deliveries, and captive raw materials position Tata Steel to convert the 2026 steel upcycle into earnings leverage.</li>
<li>EU policy tightening and CBAM-linked barriers improve Netherlands pricing power, supporting a European turnaround despite continued structural drag from the UK.</li>
<li>Attractive valuation metrics, low PEG, manageable leverage, and sector outperformance make Tata Steel a high-conviction risk-adjusted play for 2026.</li>
</ul>


India led volume stability, improving deliveries, and captive raw materials position Tata Steel to convert the 2026 steel upcycle into earnings leverage.
EU policy tightening and CBAM-linked barriers improve Netherlands pricing power, supporting a European turnaround despite continued structural drag from the UK.
Attractive valuation metrics, low PEG, manageable leverage, and sector outperformance make Tata Steel a high-conviction risk-adjusted play for 2026.


2026 High Conviction Idea: Tata Steel’s Raw‑Material Moat and Long‑Product Expansion

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Recent strategic announcements improve pellet security, downstream mix, and low-carbon readiness, strengthening Tata Steel’s long-term positioning.</li>
<li>Balance sheet can fund near-term projects, but upstream expansions require careful sequencing amid non-linear cyclical earnings.</li>
<li>Valuation remains balanced at ₹165–185/share, with Europe performance the key swing factor for re-rating.</li>
</ul>


Recent strategic announcements improve pellet security, downstream mix, and low-carbon readiness, strengthening Tata Steel’s long-term positioning.
Balance sheet can fund near-term projects, but upstream expansions require careful sequencing amid non-linear cyclical earnings.
Valuation remains balanced at ₹165–185/share, with Europe performance the key swing factor for re-rating.


Tata Steel: Strategic Announcements Boost Long-Term Positioning; Valuation Still Balanced

<ul>
<li>BPSL JV gives JFE a scalable India platform, shifting long-term growth away from a stagnant Japan market.</li>
<li>Balance-Sheet impact is manageable, with optional liquidity from the ¥500 bn JSW stake.</li>
<li>Valuation deeply discounted at 0.5× P/B and US$525/t despite rising mix, India optionality, and multi-year earnings normalization.</li>
</ul>


BPSL JV gives JFE a scalable India platform, shifting long-term growth away from a stagnant Japan market.
Balance-Sheet impact is manageable, with optional liquidity from the ¥500 bn JSW stake.
Valuation deeply discounted at 0.5× P/B and US$525/t despite rising mix, India optionality, and multi-year earnings normalization.


JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextbillion-technology-pvt-ltd-groww" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34787:1" rel="noopener">Groww (1573648D IN)</a> raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.</li>
<li>With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Groww (1573648D IN) raised around US$747m in its India IPO. Groww, officially called Billionbrains Garage Ventures, is a direct-to-customer digital investment platform providing multiple financial products and services.
With Groww, customers can invest and trade in stocks (including via IPOs), derivatives, bonds, mutual funds and other products. Customers can also avail margin trading facility and personal loans.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

<ul>
<li>Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.</li>
<li>Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.</li>
<li>Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.</li>
</ul>


Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.
Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.
Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.


JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

India

JSW Steel Limited is an Indian multinational steel company. It manufactures and sells a wide range of steel products, including hot rolled, cold rolled, galvanized, and color-coated steel, as well as TMT bars, wire rods, and alloy steel products, serving various industries such as automotive, construction, and infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1982.

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JSW Steel (JSTL IN)

2026 High Conviction Idea: Tata Steel’s Raw‑Material Moat and Long‑Product Expansion

India strength, EU policy tailwinds, and valuation support converge, making Tata Steel a high-conviction bet as the steel cycle turns in 2026.

Mint Finance

Tata Steel: Strategic Announcements Boost Long-Term Positioning; Valuation Still Balanced

Tata Steel's strategic moves enhance pellet security, downstream mix, and low-carbon readiness, with balanced valuation and Europe performance as...

Rahul Jain

JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside

BPSL JV provides JFE with growth in India, diversifying from slow Japanese market, with manageable balance-sheet impact and discounted valuation.

Rahul Jain

Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

Groww raised around US$747m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the subscription demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

Article highlights undervaluation of JFE due to low valuations, hidden value in JSW Steel stake, and potential for significant equity upside and...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2026 High Conviction Idea: Tata Steel’s Raw‑Material Moat and Long‑Product Expansion

India strength, EU policy tailwinds, and valuation support converge, making Tata Steel a high-conviction bet as the steel cycle turns in 2026.

Mint Finance

Tata Steel: Strategic Announcements Boost Long-Term Positioning; Valuation Still Balanced

​Tata Steel's strategic moves enhance pellet security, downstream mix, and low-carbon readiness, with balanced valuation and Europe performance as...

Rahul Jain

JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside

​BPSL JV provides JFE with growth in India, diversifying from slow Japanese market, with manageable balance-sheet impact and discounted valuation.

Rahul Jain

Groww IPO Trading - Decent Overall Demand

Groww raised around US$747m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the subscription demand and the trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality

​Article highlights undervaluation of JFE due to low valuations, hidden value in JSW Steel stake, and potential for significant equity upside and...

Rahul Jain

Tata Steel's strategic moves enhance pellet security, downstream mix, and low-carbon readiness, with balanced valuation and Europe performance as...

BPSL JV provides JFE with growth in India, diversifying from slow Japanese market, with manageable balance-sheet impact and discounted valuation.

Article highlights undervaluation of JFE due to low valuations, hidden value in JSW Steel stake, and potential for significant equity upside and...