Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Energy Solutions, Vedanta Resources, JSW Steel</li>
<li>UST yields declined on Friday, led by the front end, after Fed Governor Christopher Waller reiterated his case for a July rate cut and given lower-than-expected inflation projections in the University of Michigan survey.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST and 10Y UST fell 4 bps to 3.87% and 4.42%, respectively. Equities were steady at record high levels, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq flat at 6,297 and 20,896, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Energy Solutions, Vedanta Resources, JSW Steel
UST yields declined on Friday, led by the front end, after Fed Governor Christopher Waller reiterated his case for a July rate cut and given lower-than-expected inflation projections in the University of Michigan survey.
The yield on the 2Y UST and 10Y UST fell 4 bps to 3.87% and 4.42%, respectively. Equities were steady at record high levels, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq flat at 6,297 and 20,896, respectively.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We continue to remain positive on the Indian steel sector, as it has grown faster than most major economies</li><li>While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and spreads</li><li>Coking coal prices also remain soft, adding to gross margin improvement.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We continue to remain positive on the Indian steel sector, as it has grown faster than most major economiesWhile Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and spreadsCoking coal prices also remain soft, adding to gross margin improvement.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>A foreign short seller has released its short thesis note on Vedanta Group, labelling the group as a Ponzi scheme. </li>
<li>The report’s central assertion is ‘to repay the debt of holding company Vedanta Resources, Vedanta Limited paid aggressive dividends leading to depletion of financial &amp; operational strength of Vedanta</li>
<li>Dividend &amp; delisting along with share purchases funded through debt, unreconciled interest, and depleting asset base, stagnancy in expansion plans.</li>
</ul>


A foreign short seller has released its short thesis note on Vedanta Group, labelling the group as a Ponzi scheme. 
The report’s central assertion is ‘to repay the debt of holding company Vedanta Resources, Vedanta Limited paid aggressive dividends leading to depletion of financial &amp; operational strength of Vedanta
Dividend &amp; delisting along with share purchases funded through debt, unreconciled interest, and depleting asset base, stagnancy in expansion plans.


Is Vedanta Running a Ponzi Scheme? Deep Dive into Findings of Shortseller Report

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Coronado Global Resources Inc / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global's failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coronado-global-resources-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27473:1" rel="noopener">Coronado (CRN AU)</a>'s shares trading around an all-time low. </li>
<li>Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.</li>
<li>What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.</li>
</ul>


Declining coking coal prices, operational issues, a credit rating downgrade, and Sev.en Global's failed Offer, have resulted in met coal play Coronado (CRN AU)'s shares trading around an all-time low. 
Shares popped 14.8% today, and are now up ~48% from its all-time low a month ago.
What gives? Coronado has already confirmed the potential sale of a minority interest in certain assets. But there is speculation a full Offer may be in the wings.


Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something's Up (As Is The Share Price)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN)</a>.</li>
<li>He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a 2% stake in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (NYKAA IN).
He has been gradually reducing his holding, currently owns about 4.97% of Nykaa. Prior to Nykaa’s IPO in Nov 2021, he held a stake of 8.7% in the company.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

India

JSW Steel Limited is an integrated steel producer with manufacturing facilities in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and the western state of Maharashtra. The Company produces products including hot rolled coils, cold rolled coils, wire rods, galvanized coils and sheets.

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JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Energy Solutions, Vedanta Resources, JSW...

Lucror Analytics

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and...

HDFC Securities

Is Vedanta Running a Ponzi Scheme? Deep Dive into Findings of Shortseller Report

Foreign short seller accuses Vedanta Group of being a Ponzi scheme, citing aggressive dividends, debt-funded activities, and stagnancy in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a stake of around 2.1% at a floor price of around...

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Energy Solutions, Vedanta Resources, JSW...

Lucror Analytics

Metals (Q1FY26 Results Preview): Steel Prices and Spreads Continue to Trend Up

While Chinese steel prices and spreads have failed to recover, the recently-imposed safeguard duties have driven both domestic steel prices and...

HDFC Securities

Is Vedanta Running a Ponzi Scheme? Deep Dive into Findings of Shortseller Report

​Foreign short seller accuses Vedanta Group of being a Ponzi scheme, citing aggressive dividends, debt-funded activities, and stagnancy in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Coronado Global (CRN AU): Partial/Full Sale? Something's Up (As Is The Share Price)

At 0.1x P/B, trading around a lifetime low share price, and talk of a possible sale of assets, even if partial, you're hard pressed to be bearish...

David Blennerhassett

Nykaa Block - US$140m Selldown by Banga Family

Harindarpal Singh Banga, one of Nykaa’s early investors, aims to raise around US$140m via selling a stake of around 2.1% at a floor price of around...

Akshat Shah

Foreign short seller accuses Vedanta Group of being a Ponzi scheme, citing aggressive dividends, debt-funded activities, and stagnancy in...