Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Intervention seeds participation as a PRC investor (COSCO?) is expected to join the bidding consortium for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> ports.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13631:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet Group (9449 JP)</a> needs to sell shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-internet-inc-919fd60b-ad2a-4c5f-b333-167a849b67b0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9029:1" rel="noopener">GMO Internet (4784 JP)</a>to achieve a "float" of 35% by 31 December 2026. Recent filings show they are selling. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> has been selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, then buying back its shares. (As has Tencent). Reportedly Prosus is now selling shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Intervention seeds participation as a PRC investor (COSCO?) is expected to join the bidding consortium for CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) ports.

GMO Internet Group (9449 JP) needs to sell shares in GMO Internet (4784 JP)to achieve a "float" of 35% by 31 December 2026. Recent filings show they are selling. 

Prosus NV (PRX NA) has been selling Tencent (700 HK), then buying back its shares. (As has Tencent). Reportedly Prosus is now selling shares in Meituan (3690 HK).


Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, GMO Internet, Prosus/Meituan, Piedmont Lithium

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

<ul>
<li>Prosus's €20.30/share offer for JET trades at a 1.1% gross spread with EU clearance due 11 August; implied success probability stands at ~97% based on current market pricing.</li>
<li>Offer extended to 1 October to align with EC timeline. Prosus proposes structural remedies—stake cut and board exit from Delivery Hero—to resolve competition overlap in five EU countries.</li>
<li>Estimated settlement by mid-October. New entrants see 5.5% annualized return; early investors could realize 9.6%. Downside risk to €12.43 implies a 38% loss if deal breaks unexpectedly.</li>
</ul>


Prosus's €20.30/share offer for JET trades at a 1.1% gross spread with EU clearance due 11 August; implied success probability stands at ~97% based on current market pricing.
Offer extended to 1 October to align with EC timeline. Prosus proposes structural remedies—stake cut and board exit from Delivery Hero—to resolve competition overlap in five EU countries.
Estimated settlement by mid-October. New entrants see 5.5% annualized return; early investors could realize 9.6%. Downside risk to €12.43 implies a 38% loss if deal breaks unexpectedly.


Prosus–JET Arbitrage: Tight Spread, High Certainty Ahead of EC Decision

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Swiggy is a business to commerce marketplace company offering users a platform for ordering grocery and household items and food delivery, through its on-demand delivery network
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Swiggy IPO Lockup - US$7.9bn Lockup Release

<ul>
<li>DoorDash has proposed a cash offer of 180p per share for Deliveroo, representing a 22.7% premium. Deliveroo’s Board is supportive, and the offer values the company at 11.5x EV/NTM EBITDA.</li>
<li>Regulatory risk appears low given limited market overlap between DoorDash and Deliveroo, with a 3–6 month estimated closing timeline; shareholder approval and standard antitrust clearances remain the key conditions.</li>
<li>The deal could trigger a competitive bidding war, particularly from Amazon, a 14% shareholder in Deliveroo, potentially raising valuations towards 13–14x EV/NTM EBITDA and extending the timeline into 2026.</li>
</ul>


DoorDash has proposed a cash offer of 180p per share for Deliveroo, representing a 22.7% premium. Deliveroo’s Board is supportive, and the offer values the company at 11.5x EV/NTM EBITDA.
Regulatory risk appears low given limited market overlap between DoorDash and Deliveroo, with a 3–6 month estimated closing timeline; shareholder approval and standard antitrust clearances remain the key conditions.
The deal could trigger a competitive bidding war, particularly from Amazon, a 14% shareholder in Deliveroo, potentially raising valuations towards 13–14x EV/NTM EBITDA and extending the timeline into 2026.


Deliveroo’s Special of the Day: A DoorDash Takeover

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">7&amp;I (3382 JP)</a>'s MBO is off. Itochu has apparently not been able to agree with Ito-san on board composition/representation and management control. That the MBO is off isn't surprising.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangzijiang-shipbuilding-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:660:1" rel="noopener">Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP)</a> is sucking wind as United States Trade Representative’s (USTR) office proposed a raft of fees and other shipping restrictions on Chinese vessels</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31099:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster International (1665 HK)</a>'s Scheme comfortably gets up after a wild week of trading. </li>
</ul>



7&amp;I (3382 JP)'s MBO is off. Itochu has apparently not been able to agree with Ito-san on board composition/representation and management control. That the MBO is off isn't surprising.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) is sucking wind as United States Trade Representative’s (USTR) office proposed a raft of fees and other shipping restrictions on Chinese vessels

Pentamaster International (1665 HK)'s Scheme comfortably gets up after a wild week of trading. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Pentamaster Int'l, T'Way Holdings

Netherlands

Just Eat Takeaway provides online food services. The Company offers online food and beverages ordering and delivery platform. Just Eat Takeaway serves customers in Europe and Israel.

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Just Eat Takeaway (JET LN)

Last Week In Event SPACE: CK Hutch, GMO Internet, Prosus/Meituan, Piedmont Lithium

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Prosus–JET Arbitrage: Tight Spread, High Certainty Ahead of EC Decision

Prosus’s JET offer nears regulatory decision with a tight 1.1% spread. High probability of success offers 5.5% annualized return; downside risk...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Swiggy IPO Lockup - US$7.9bn Lockup Release

Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) raised around US$1.35bn in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Deliveroo’s Special of the Day: A DoorDash Takeover

DoorDash’s offer for Deliveroo highlights strategic value and improved fundamentals, with manageable regulatory risks and a potential for competing...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Pentamaster Int'l, T'Way Holdings

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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