Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier IPO notes, links to which are included below.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier IPO notes, links to which are included below.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Full Truck Alliance Lock-Up Expiry - In Similar Delisting Boat as Didi. 60% of Stock up for Lock-Up

<ul>
<li>Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.</li>
<li>The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.
The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Dec 2021, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>On 24th Mar 2021, SEC had issued Amendments, Seeks Public Comment on HFCAA. This was a follow up on the HFCAA.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the final amendments and its possible timelines and implications, and a possible trade setup.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Dec 2021, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
On 24th Mar 2021, SEC had issued Amendments, Seeks Public Comment on HFCAA. This was a follow up on the HFCAA.
In this note, we'll talk about the final amendments and its possible timelines and implications, and a possible trade setup.


China ADRs Delisting - US Tightens and HK Loosens Requirements - Long/Short Basket Trade

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p>As a reminder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> entered into a definitive agreement for a privatisation transaction at $79.05 in cash per ADS on 21 June. The consortium consists of DCP, Ocean Link Partners, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)</a> and Mr Rick Yan, the CEO since 2000. </p><p>The merger was expected to close during the second half of 2021. The merger required shareholders representing two-thirds of shares present and voting to approve the deal. </p><p>However, since the announcement of the definitive agreement, the gross spread reached a high of 33% on 29 October largely due to the radio silence on the deal completion. In the current uncertain Chinese regulatory climate, 51job did little to soothe investors’ nerves by failing to even mention the privatisation deal in its 2Q21 results released on 24 September.</p><p>Encouragingly, the shares climbed 10% on 2 November due to the release of a Schedule 13D filing on 1 November which highlighted the consortium’s acquisition facilities agreement of $1.8 billion entered on 21 October and Mr Rick Yan’s facility agreement of $450 million entered on 28 October, both with China Merchants Bank. </p><p>We think that the signing of the acquisition facilities is a significant step towards deal completion. While the privatisation price is not a knockout bid and is a modest premium to historical VWAPs over a 3-years and 1-year time period, the offer is reasonable in the context of 51job’s forecasted growth (PEG basis). Nevertheless, for shareholders seeking to be paid the fair value of their shares, dissenter rights are available.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>The announcement on 21 June stated that Mr Rick, Recruit and certain other existing shareholders have agreed to vote their shares, which represent 54.9% of the voting rights, in favour of the privatisation deal. We continue to think that this level of support should be enough to get past the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. The gross spread to the offer price is 17.3% at the last close price of $67.40 per ADS. </p></div>

As a reminder, 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) entered into a definitive agreement for a privatisation transaction at $79.05 in cash per ADS on 21 June. The consortium consists of DCP, Ocean Link Partners, Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) and Mr Rick Yan, the CEO since 2000. The merger was expected to close during the second half of 2021. The merger required shareholders representing two-thirds of shares present and voting to approve the deal. However, since the announcement of the definitive agreement, the gross spread reached a high of 33% on 29 October largely due to the radio silence on the deal completion. In the current uncertain Chinese regulatory climate, 51job did little to soothe investors’ nerves by failing to even mention the privatisation deal in its 2Q21 results released on 24 September.Encouragingly, the shares climbed 10% on 2 November due to the release of a Schedule 13D filing on 1 November which highlighted the consortium’s acquisition facilities agreement of $1.8 billion entered on 21 October and Mr Rick Yan’s facility agreement of $450 million entered on 28 October, both with China Merchants Bank. We think that the signing of the acquisition facilities is a significant step towards deal completion. While the privatisation price is not a knockout bid and is a modest premium to historical VWAPs over a 3-years and 1-year time period, the offer is reasonable in the context of 51job’s forecasted growth (PEG basis). Nevertheless, for shareholders seeking to be paid the fair value of their shares, dissenter rights are available.  The announcement on 21 June stated that Mr Rick, Recruit and certain other existing shareholders have agreed to vote their shares, which represent 54.9% of the voting rights, in favour of the privatisation deal. We continue to think that this level of support should be enough to get past the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. The gross spread to the offer price is 17.3% at the last close price of $67.40 per ADS. 

51job’s Privatisation Spread Risk/Reward

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<div>
<p>On the 21 June, nine months after IR solutions provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> first announced it had received a preliminary non-binding <a href="https://sec.report/Document/0001104659-20-105912/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Proposal</a> from DCP Capital Partners to acquire all of its shares for US$79.05/common share, 51job <a href="https://sec.report/Document/0001193125-21-195283/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had entered into a definitive privatisation agreement, also at US$79.05/share. </p>
<p>What appeared to be the clincher for the deal was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/recruit-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15070:1" rel="noopener">Recruit Holdings (6098 JP)</a> - 51job's largest shareholder with 34.8% - joining the consortium, which also comprised DCP plus Ocean Link and CEO Rick Yan, both of whom joined following the non-binding proposal <a href="https://ir.51job.com/ir/php/2021/PreRelease20210504.php?0504" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> on the 4 May. All in, the continuing shareholders and their affiliates hold 56.1% in 51job. </p>
<p>Despite a low-balled Offer - and the prospects of dissension apparent - the deal appeared done. It was just a question of timing.</p>
<p>Then China's internet sector campaign kicked into gear, with 51job ostensibly finding itself lumped (rightly or otherwise) with other internet-related stocks being scrutinised. Or at least, 51job was perceived to be in the cross-hairs. </p>
<p>It doesn't help there has been a complete lack of newsflow on the transaction since the definitive agreement. No mention whatsoever in the 2Q21 results. The current gross spread of 30.8% - well below the undisturbed price - is the widest since the transaction was first floated. </p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/237/750/original/image_859790017111635317164110.png?1635317164" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="237750"></figure>
</div>
<div>This looks like the right price to get involved. </div>
<div></div>
<div>
<p>More below the fold</p>
</div>


On the 21 June, nine months after IR solutions provider 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) first announced it had received a preliminary non-binding Proposal from DCP Capital Partners to acquire all of its shares for US$79.05/common share, 51job announced it had entered into a definitive privatisation agreement, also at US$79.05/share. 
What appeared to be the clincher for the deal was Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) - 51job's largest shareholder with 34.8% - joining the consortium, which also comprised DCP plus Ocean Link and CEO Rick Yan, both of whom joined following the non-binding proposal announced on the 4 May. All in, the continuing shareholders and their affiliates hold 56.1% in 51job. 
Despite a low-balled Offer - and the prospects of dissension apparent - the deal appeared done. It was just a question of timing.
Then China's internet sector campaign kicked into gear, with 51job ostensibly finding itself lumped (rightly or otherwise) with other internet-related stocks being scrutinised. Or at least, 51job was perceived to be in the cross-hairs. 
It doesn't help there has been a complete lack of newsflow on the transaction since the definitive agreement. No mention whatsoever in the 2Q21 results. The current gross spread of 30.8% - well below the undisturbed price - is the widest since the transaction was first floated. 


This looks like the right price to get involved. 


More below the fold


China

Kanzhun Limited provides online recruitment services. The Company connects job seekers and enterprise users through its mobile application. Kanzhun offers a mobile-native product that promotes instant direct chats between enterprise users and job seekers.

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Kanzhun (BZ US)

Full Truck Alliance Lock-Up Expiry - In Similar Delisting Boat as Didi. 60% of Stock up for Lock-Up

Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21....

Sumeet Singh

Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021. In this note, we will talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

China ADRs Delisting - US Tightens and HK Loosens Requirements - Long/Short Basket Trade

On 2nd Dec 2021, SEC issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act. In this note we will talk about the final...

Sumeet Singh

51job’s Privatisation Spread Risk/Reward

We think that the signing of the acquisition facilities is a significant step towards deal completion. The gross spread to the offer price is 17.3%...

Arun George

51job (JOB US): Searching For Answers

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 30.8%/88.3%, assuming completion 1Q22-end. Despite China's ongoing scrutiny of the internet industry, I've...

David Blennerhassett

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