Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services / Equity Bottom-Up

ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM US)

<ul>
<li>Shares of container carriers have surged on expectations of a strong recovery in volume</li>
<li>But April data show pricing continued to soften despite solid North American demand</li>
<li>The carriers themselves and other industry players remain downbeat; SHORT the carriers</li>
</ul>


Shares of container carriers have surged on expectations of a strong recovery in volume
But April data show pricing continued to soften despite solid North American demand
The carriers themselves and other industry players remain downbeat; SHORT the carriers


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Weak | No Signs of a Recovery | SHORT (May 2025)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Buybacks are a central part of Corporate Japan's effort to improve corporate/capital governance. Lots of cross-holders want/need to sell. Lots of companies want to reduce excess equity.</li>
<li>This earnings season has seen a LOT of new buybacks announced. ¥7.3trln in the last month and that doesn't even include the biggest buybacks extant by March-end companies.</li>
<li>We are experimenting with new ways of displaying data/analytics for buybacks in Japan. To that end, we have a new tool. We hope users find it useful. We invite feedback.</li>
</ul>


Buybacks are a central part of Corporate Japan's effort to improve corporate/capital governance. Lots of cross-holders want/need to sell. Lots of companies want to reduce excess equity.
This earnings season has seen a LOT of new buybacks announced. ¥7.3trln in the last month and that doesn't even include the biggest buybacks extant by March-end companies.
We are experimenting with new ways of displaying data/analytics for buybacks in Japan. To that end, we have a new tool. We hope users find it useful. We invite feedback.


[Japan Buybacks] ¥7.3trln of Buybacks Announced In the Last Month - Data on Each, Plus History

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q125 results slightly beat expectations, but earnings momentum continues to wane</li>
<li>Financial guidance for FY25 unchanged, but there are notable tweaks to key assumptions</li>
<li>Q125 likely carriers' best financial period of FY25 (by far), profits set to erode rest of year</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q125 results slightly beat expectations, but earnings momentum continues to wane
Financial guidance for FY25 unchanged, but there are notable tweaks to key assumptions
Q125 likely carriers' best financial period of FY25 (by far), profits set to erode rest of year


Maersk Q125 Results: Solid Q1 Numbers | But Mgmt Retains Negative View on FY25, Citing Uncertainty

<ul>
<li>The resilience of global container shipping stocks is surprising given weak price trend</li>
<li>Many market participants appear to be betting on a surge in rates after tariff issues settle</li>
<li>But there are several reasons why a bump in rates is unlikely in the near- to medium-term</li>
</ul>


The resilience of global container shipping stocks is surprising given weak price trend
Many market participants appear to be betting on a surge in rates after tariff issues settle
But there are several reasons why a bump in rates is unlikely in the near- to medium-term


Don't Expect A Resolution of Tariff Chaos To Lift Container Shipping Rates Like Covid-19 Did

<ul>
<li>Price momentum remains very weak, and spot rates are already below 2024 lows</li>
<li>Multiple deep-sea carriers have recently guided to a collapse in core earnings in 2025</li>
<li>USTR / MARAD proposed rule changes could add to US tariff chaos &amp; raise carriers' costs</li>
</ul>


Price momentum remains very weak, and spot rates are already below 2024 lows
Multiple deep-sea carriers have recently guided to a collapse in core earnings in 2025
USTR / MARAD proposed rule changes could add to US tariff chaos &amp; raise carriers' costs


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Down | Chorus of Weak Guidance | USTR-MARAD (March 2025)

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

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Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Pricing Still Weak | No Signs of a Recovery | SHORT (May 2025)

Pricing remains weak, and carriers kept FY25 guidance downbeat despite decent Q125 results (and US claims of progress on tariffs). We view the...

Tracking Traffic

[Japan Buybacks] ¥7.3trln of Buybacks Announced In the Last Month - Data on Each, Plus History

Japan saw ¥7.3trln of buybacks announced in the March-end earnings season. Here we offer a tool to see them all, and past buyback patterns of each...

Travis Lundy

Maersk Q125 Results: Solid Q1 Numbers | But Mgmt Retains Negative View on FY25, Citing Uncertainty

Maersk reported solid Q1 results on Thursday in Copenhagen, and its downbeat FY25 guidance is unchanged. That guidance implies a dramatic erosion...

Tracking Traffic

Don't Expect A Resolution of Tariff Chaos To Lift Container Shipping Rates Like Covid-19 Did

There are several reasons why any resolution of the current US tariff chaos is unlikely to lead to an increase in spot container shipping rates in...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Down | Chorus of Weak Guidance | USTR-MARAD (March 2025)

Container rates continue to fall, and major carriers are guiding to a collapse in core margins in FY25. Proposed US rules could potentially make...

Tracking Traffic

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