Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.</li>
<li>Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kline-9107-more-profit-more-shareholder-return-3mo-buyback-inbound" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns</li>
<li>Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.</li>
</ul>


In May, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.
Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed here, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns
Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.


Kline (9017) - Better Earnings, Another Buyback, Maybe Games, Maybe Market Impact

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates</li>
<li>The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024</li>
<li>We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates
The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024
We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers


Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change</li>
<li>Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd</li>
<li>TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers</li>
</ul>


TS Lines' January-April 2024 revenue &amp; margins showed little Y/Y change
Besides weak Y/Y growth, TS Lines' move to re-enter Transpacific is odd
TS Lines' filing offers few reasons to favor the company over listed peers


TS Lines Pre-IPO: January-April Results Vs WHL, RCL H124 | Opportunistic Return to Transpacific?

<ul>
<li>In the September data are clear signs of slowing momentum &amp; price moderation</li>
<li>Seasonality, NAM de-stocking, anniversary of Red Sea re-routes all contributing</li>
<li>Without catalysts, we would AVOID holding shares of global container names</li>
</ul>


In the September data are clear signs of slowing momentum &amp; price moderation
Seasonality, NAM de-stocking, anniversary of Red Sea re-routes all contributing
Without catalysts, we would AVOID holding shares of global container names


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker: As Momentum Wanes, Best to Avoid Carriers' Shares (October 2024)

Orient Overseas (International) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe price momentum for global container carriers is unlikely to improve from here</li>
<li>As price momentum falters, carriers' shares could continue to give back big gains</li>
<li>We would look for near-term opportunities to reduce or eliminate exposure to sector</li>
</ul>


We believe price momentum for global container carriers is unlikely to improve from here
As price momentum falters, carriers' shares could continue to give back big gains
We would look for near-term opportunities to reduce or eliminate exposure to sector


Charts & Context | From Here, What Can Get Better for Container Carriers? | Reduce Sector Exposure

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

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Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

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Travis Lundy

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In September's data there are clear signs of sharply slowing momentum in the global container trades. We recommend avoiding shares of the carriers...

Tracking Traffic

Charts & Context | From Here, What Can Get Better for Container Carriers? | Reduce Sector Exposure

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