External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.</li><li>The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.</li><li>The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/300750 SZ: Geely and SK Group sign cooperation agreement to deepen cooperation in batteries and components.(-/-)
BEKE US: PBoC urge local governments and banks to implement the affordable housing re-lending program.(+)
LKNCY US: Luckin expands its non-coffee drinks, selling 5.08 million cups of lemonade in a week(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; </li>
<li>The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;</li>
<li>Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. </li>
</ul>


Aging population, coupled with under-development of retirement pensions, is the major headwind against enhancing consumption; 
The headroom of urbanization as a driver for enhanced consumption is not as big as depicted;
Residential housing has, over the years, become the social safety net for the Chinese. Therefore, the bust of the property market takes many years, if not decades, to heal. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

<ul>
<li>Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;</li>
<li>If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;</li>
<li>If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. </li>
</ul>


Counting of consumption differs among different countries. Chinese definition of consumption (social retail sales) leave out many categories that are included in the definition of consumption of Japan and US;
If we trim the consumption of Japan and US by adopting China's definition, China actually over-consumes, both by GDP and by individual categories;
If we expand and align China, Japan and US to consist the same categories, the conclusion of China underconsumption becomes true. The categories belong to an older and wealthy society. 


How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

<ul>
<li>BEKE US:  Takeaways from Beike Investor Day on June 3(/)</li>
<li>9926 HK: Akeso adds sales rights to AK112 in developing countries, possibly preparing for overall sale(/)</li>
<li>1211 HK/ LI US: BYD launches fifth-generation hybrid petrol-electric technology, which can run 2,100 kilometers on full-tank+full-battery(///)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US:  Takeaways from Beike Investor Day on June 3(/)
9926 HK: Akeso adds sales rights to AK112 in developing countries, possibly preparing for overall sale(/)
1211 HK/ LI US: BYD launches fifth-generation hybrid petrol-electric technology, which can run 2,100 kilometers on full-tank+full-battery(///)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/9926 HK/1211 HK/ LI US

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected. The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/9926 HK/1211 HK/ LI US

Key takeaways from recent events: Beike Investor Day insights, Akeso's sales rights expansion, and BYD's innovative hybrid technology launch.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected. The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/300750 SZ/BEKE US/LKNCY US

​Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption, Part II

The underdevelopment of China's pension system leads to reliance on the residential property market as social safety net. The headroom of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

How to Stimulate China's Consumption? Part I

The myth of China underconsumption depends on how you count it. China under-consumes in certain consumption categories associated with an older and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/9926 HK/1211 HK/ LI US

​Key takeaways from recent events: Beike Investor Day insights, Akeso's sales rights expansion, and BYD's innovative hybrid technology launch.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely and SK Group deepen cooperation in batteries, PBoC urges affordable housing re-lending, Luckin expands non-coffee drinks with lemonade sales.

Key takeaways from recent events: Beike Investor Day insights, Akeso's sales rights expansion, and BYD's innovative hybrid technology launch.