Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Home centres are the smallest of Japan’s big retail formats, yet remain an important channel.</li>
<li>They sell all kinds of homewares, gardening and pet supplies, and, although less than you may expect, even DIY tools and trades supply.</li>
<li>After a short-lived boom in 2020, the sector is now consolidating fast.</li>
</ul>


Home centres are the smallest of Japan’s big retail formats, yet remain an important channel.
They sell all kinds of homewares, gardening and pet supplies, and, although less than you may expect, even DIY tools and trades supply.
After a short-lived boom in 2020, the sector is now consolidating fast.


Japan's Home Centres Consolidating Amid Wider Competition

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">Our best and worst pair is home centre <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keiyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14415:1" rel="noopener">Keiyo (8168 JP)</a> and the department store <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-front-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8947:1" rel="noopener">J Front Retailing (3086 JP)</a> although the latter is seeing an improvement in earnings momentum.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/162/606/original/2020-09-30_06-18-07.png?1601414298" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="162606"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/162/607/original/2020-09-29_06-15-33.png?1601414581" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="162607"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source fr all charts and tables: Japan Analytics</div><div>
<hr>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>DAILY STATS</strong></p>
</div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>16 Quarterly Results</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p><strong>Results Score:</strong> 50% Positive / 6% Neutral / 44% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Results Score Change:</strong> -0.9 points</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> -6.3% Quarter YoY / -4.2% Rolling TTM YoY </p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -2.9ppt</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Percentage Making Quarterly Losses:</strong> 19%</p></li>
</ul></div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>15 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><p><strong>Annual Forecast/Revision Score:</strong> 33% Positive / 0% Neutral / 67% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> 14% Positive / 14% Neutral / 72% Negative</p></li>
<li><p><strong>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> -3.8 points</p></li>
</ul></div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •Our best and worst pair is home centre Keiyo (8168 JP) and the department store J Front Retailing (3086 JP) although the latter is seeing an improvement in earnings momentum.Source fr all charts and tables: Japan Analytics

DAILY STATS
16 Quarterly Results
Results Score: 50% Positive / 6% Neutral / 44% Negative
Average Results Score Change: -0.9 points
Average % Change in Revenue: -6.3% Quarter YoY / -4.2% Rolling TTM YoY 
Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -2.9ppt
Percentage Making Quarterly Losses: 19%
15 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions
Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 33% Positive / 0% Neutral / 67% Negative
Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 14% Positive / 14% Neutral / 72% Negative
Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: -3.8 points


🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​29 - Home Centres <> Depāto, Sugi, Mitsubishi Materials, Koito

<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from yesterday's announcements is food and drink retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1743:1" rel="noopener">Life (8194 JP)</a> and parking lot operator <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/park24-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5622:1" rel="noopener">Park24 (4666 JP)</a>. </p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/159/223/original/2020-09-16_04-25-58.png?1600198055" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="159223"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/159/224/original/2020-09-16_04-31-11.png?1600198284" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="159224"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>DAILY STATS</strong></p></div><hr><div><p><strong>PERCENTAGES</strong> -<strong>57</strong>% of quarterly results, <strong>54%</strong> of annual forecasts/revisions and <strong>44%</strong> of interim forecasts have negative Score<strong>s. 57</strong>% of companies reporting lost money for the quarter. </p></div><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>7 Quarterly Results</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<strong>Results Score</strong>: 29% Positive / 14% Neutral / 57% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Results Score Change:</strong> -1.7 points</li>
<li>
<strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> +6.6% Quarter YoY / +12.5% Rolling TTM YoY </li>
<li>
<strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -2.6ppt</li>
<li>
<strong>Percentage Making Quarterly Losses:</strong> 57%</li>
</ul></div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>13 Annual • 9 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<strong>Annual Forecast/Revision Score:</strong> 46% Positive / 0% Neutral / 54% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change</strong>: 56% Positive / 0% Neutral / 44% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> +0.5 points</li>
</ul></div>

• BEST &amp; WORST •Our 'best' and 'worst' pairing from yesterday's announcements is food and drink retailer Life (8194 JP) and parking lot operator Park24 (4666 JP). Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan AnalyticsDAILY STATSPERCENTAGES -57% of quarterly results, 54% of annual forecasts/revisions and 44% of interim forecasts have negative Scores. 57% of companies reporting lost money for the quarter. 7 Quarterly Results

Results Score: 29% Positive / 14% Neutral / 57% Negative

Average Results Score Change: -1.7 points

Average % Change in Revenue: +6.6% Quarter YoY / +12.5% Rolling TTM YoY 

Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -2.6ppt

Percentage Making Quarterly Losses: 57%
13 Annual • 9 Interim Forecasts/Revisions

Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 46% Positive / 0% Neutral / 54% Negative

Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 56% Positive / 0% Neutral / 44% Negative

Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: +0.5 points


🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​​​​15  -Park[24]ing Woes, Life in Life | Keiyo▲, Palma▼

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/143/359/original/2020-06-30_04-46-42.png?1593460016" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="143359"></figure>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/143/360/original/2020-06-30_04-47-13.png?1593460057" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="143360"></figure>
<div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div>
<p><strong>STAYIN' HOME</strong> - Only two companies saw their Results &amp; Revision Scores improve quarter-on-quarter amongst the thirteen that reported - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dcm-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13042:1" rel="noopener">DCM (3050 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keiyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14415:1" rel="noopener">Keiyo (8168 JP),</a> both Retail Home Centers. Revenues rose by 9% and 10% and operating margins increases by 0.9 and 4.0 points, respectively. All other retail formats other than grocery stores have suffered as expected, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimamura-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15213:1" rel="noopener">Shimamura (8227 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16460:1" rel="noopener">Asahi (3333 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-front-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8947:1" rel="noopener">J Front Retailing (3086 JP)</a> being Monday's examples.</p>
<div>
<hr>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>DAILY STATS</strong></p>
</div>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>13 Quarterly Results</strong></p>
</div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>
<strong>Results Score</strong>: 2 Positive / 11 Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Results Score Change</strong>:-6.2</li>
<li>
<strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> -13.5% Quarter YoY / -1.0% Rolling TTM YoY</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -1.9ppt</li>
</ul>
</div>
<hr>
<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong><br>6 Annual 3 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p>
</div>
<div>
<ul>
<li>Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 3 Positive / 3 Negative</li>
<li>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 1 Positive / 2 Negative</li>
<li>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: -0.4</li>
</ul>
</div>



Source • Japan Analytics
STAYIN' HOME - Only two companies saw their Results &amp; Revision Scores improve quarter-on-quarter amongst the thirteen that reported - DCM (3050 JP) and Keiyo (8168 JP), both Retail Home Centers. Revenues rose by 9% and 10% and operating margins increases by 0.9 and 4.0 points, respectively. All other retail formats other than grocery stores have suffered as expected, with Shimamura (8227 JP), Asahi (3333 JP), and J Front Retailing (3086 JP) being Monday's examples.


DAILY STATS


13 Quarterly Results




Results Score: 2 Positive / 11 Negative

Average Results Score Change:-6.2

Average % Change in Revenue: -13.5% Quarter YoY / -1.0% Rolling TTM YoY

Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -1.9ppt




 6 Annual 3 Interim Forecasts/Revisions



Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 3 Positive / 3 Negative
Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 1 Positive / 2 Negative
Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: -0.4



🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 29th June -Stayin' Home

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal discussed this week on Smartkarma: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a></strong>'s MBO.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal discussed this week on Smartkarma: TDCX (TDCX US)'s MBO.
Key updates took place on: Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP), Benesse Holdings (9783 JP), and IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: TDCX, Orecorp, T&K Toka, Taisho Pharma, Benesse, IJTT

Japan

Keiyo Co., Ltd. operates a home center chain based in Chiba.  The Company sells DIY (do it yourself) goods, gardening goods, pet goods, household utensils, and leisure goods.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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Keiyo Co Ltd (8168 JP)

Japan's Home Centres Consolidating Amid Wider Competition

Despite being the smallest retail format in Japan, home centres remain a significant channel for homeware, gardening supplies, and DIY, and now...

Michael Causton

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/29 - Home Centres <> Depāto, Sugi, Mitsubishi Materials, Koito

• BEST & WORST • DAILY STATS 9 Quarterly Results Results Score: 44% Positive / 22% Neutral / 34% Negative Average Results Score...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/15 -Park[24]ing Woes, Life in Life | Keiyo▲, Palma▼

• BEST WORST •

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 29th June -Stayin' Home

STAYIN' HOME - Only two companies saw their Results & Revision Scores improve quarter-on-quarter amongst the thirteen that reported - DCM...

Campbell Gunn

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: TDCX, Orecorp, T&K Toka, Taisho Pharma, Benesse, IJTT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan's Home Centres Consolidating Amid Wider Competition

​Despite being the smallest retail format in Japan, home centres remain a significant channel for homeware, gardening supplies, and DIY, and now...

Michael Causton

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​29 - Home Centres <> Depāto, Sugi, Mitsubishi Materials, Koito

• BEST & WORST • DAILY STATS 9 Quarterly Results Results Score: 44% Positive / 22% Neutral / 34% Negative Average Results Score...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​​​​15 -Park[24]ing Woes, Life in Life | Keiyo▲, Palma▼

• BEST WORST •

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 29th June -Stayin' Home

STAYIN' HOME - Only two companies saw their Results & Revision Scores improve quarter-on-quarter amongst the thirteen that reported - DCM...

Campbell Gunn

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: TDCX, Orecorp, T&K Toka, Taisho Pharma, Benesse, IJTT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Despite being the smallest retail format in Japan, home centres remain a significant channel for homeware, gardening supplies, and DIY, and now...

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/29 - Home Centres <> Depāto, Sugi, Mitsubishi Materials, Koito

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/15 -Park[24]ing Woes, Life in Life | Keiyo▲, Palma▼