SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Yoma Strategic Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Key Singapore Market Moves and Flows in July

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33764:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM)</a> (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-land-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23026:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Land (FLI PM)</a>. </div><div>FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).</div><div>Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.</div><div>
We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/filinvest-reit-ipo-almost-like-a-single-asset-reit-covid-hasn-t-been-kind" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind</a>.
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.
 
</div>

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by Filinvest Land (FLI PM). FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.
We looked at the background of the REIT in our earlier note, Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind.
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.
  


Filinvest REIT IPO - Hard to Get Excited, Despite the Yield

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33764:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM)</a> (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-land-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23026:1" rel="noopener">Filinvest Land (FLI PM)</a>. FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.Having said that, the REIT does have a strong sponsor with a rich pipeline of ROFR assets.

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by Filinvest Land (FLI PM). FREIT’s initial property portfolio consists of 16 office towers located in Northgate Cyberzone, Alabang, and one office tower in Cebu City with an aggregate office space GLA of 299,158 sqm and 2,204 sqm of retail GLA. The portfolio will have a weighted average lease expiry (WALE) of 3.8 years with an occupancy of 89.7% as of Mar 2021. The Properties were valued at PHP48,547.4m (US$965m).Given the recent restructuring of the REITs assets, its past financials aren’t of much use. However, looking at the operational data of its existing portfolio, FREIT doesn’t appear to have had a very good FY20 and even FY21 doesn’t appear to be shaping up well.Having said that, the REIT does have a strong sponsor with a rich pipeline of ROFR assets.

Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a Single Asset REIT, COVID Hasn't Been Kind

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)</h3>
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.
<ul>
<li>Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand</li>
<li>We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth</li>
<li>We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations</li>
<li>Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.
<section class="figure">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/247/original/image003+%283%29.png?1625105065" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216247"></figure>
</section>
</li>
</ul>

Singapore
SREITs – Reflation is working in SREIT’s favour (BUY FCT DASIN AAREIT AREIT ECWREIT)
With Singapore moving into Phase 3, economic recovery should regain momentum, albeit uneven across sectors. The accelerated timetable for US interest rate hikes has triggered yield spread compression, but also signaled a stronger and sustainable economic growth, which bodes well for trade-dependent Singapore. We reinitiate the SREIT sector with BUY. Top picks are FCT, DASIN, AAREIT and AREIT. SGREIT offers a good entry point for midterm recovery play; while ECWREIT could see a DPU boost from deferred DI.

Economy recovery provides strong tailwind for yield, albeit uneven across sectors. Following a setback from a month-long partial lockdown in Phase 2, Singapore has resume gradual reopening on 14Jun, thus setting economy back on track to recovery. However, we should see some deviation from initial expected timeline and recovery pace across sectors. In particular, tourism-related sectors are set to see further delays in recovery given the slower lifting of global travel curbs and the recent cut in capacity limits at local attractions. On the other hand, domestic-driven expenditures and outward-oriented sectors, such as retail and manufacturing, are expected to benefit from the pick-up in demand
We prefer Retail and Commercial subsectors, which should recover on stronger pace and offer attractive yields within the SREIT sector, while trading at c.1.0x forward P/B. Industrial subsector offers mixed picture, where we are positive on warehouse space, but neutral on other property types. Continued M&amp;A activities within the Industrial subsector should boost future DPU growth in addition to organic growth
We underweight both Hospitality and Healthcare subsectors. Outlook for Hospitality subsector remains cloudy in near term. Nonetheless, we remain upbeat on the longer-term prospect of the subsector in anticipation of international border reopening. On the other hand, the robust valuations of Healthcare subsector and low cash-flow growth realizations could indicate over optimism in investors’ expectations
Our top picks: FCT (Buy; S$2.89) for its faster recovery in near term. DASIN (Buy; S$0.81) for China-focused retail play with its Greater Bay Area (GBA) exposure. We favour AAREIT (Buy; S$1.60) and AREIT (Buy; S$3.55) for their strong balance sheet, which allows them financial flexibility in pursuing new acquisitions, or embarking on development/ redevelopment/ AEI projects. Tactical investment into ECWREIT (Buy; S$0.82) on potential DPU boost from deferred DI.






ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

Singapore

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)

Key Singapore Market Moves and Flows in July

The STI’s 1.2% gain in July brought its price gain over the first seven months to 11.4%, with dividends boosting the total return to 13.2%,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

AAREIT stable performance; CICT office outshines retail; KREIT cautiously optimistic; MINT acq-driven growth; KORE expands with 2 new US acq; CPG...

SCCM Asia Research

Filinvest REIT IPO - Hard to Get Excited, Despite the Yield

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored...

Sumeet Singh

Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a Single Asset REIT, COVID Hasn't Been Kind

Filinvest Reit (FILRT PM) (FREIT), a subsidiary of Filinvest, aims to raise up to US$240m in its Philippines listing. The REIT is sponsored by...

Sumeet Singh

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Jul21) - SREITs Reflation Is Working in Its Favour

SREITs reflation is working in its favour; 2Q21 resi prices up 0.9% QoQ; CAPL exits malls, expands into logistics in Japan; KREIT divests Brisbane...

SCCM Asia Research

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