Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>On 30 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> announced that it was undergoing a strategic review to consider options for its various businesses. On 6 May, the company announced that it would be transferring its media business to a not-for-profit entity.</p><p>Then, on 2 August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> announced that it was proposing to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> ex the media business and then delist and privatise SPH. Under the terms of the Scheme, for each share of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> held, shareholders will receive cash of S$0.668, 0.596 units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192:1" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> and 0.782 units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a>.</p><p>The offer valued <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> at S$2.0987/share (a 11.63% premium to the close of S$1.88/share for SPH) using the closing prices for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192:1" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a>. Since then, the offer value has dropped to S$2.0507/share while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> has moved higher to S$1.94/share.</p><p>On 10 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> shareholders voted in favour of the spin-off of the media business. This paves the way for the next EGM and Scheme Meeting where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> shareholders will vote on the proposed privatisation by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> still trades at a 5.4% discount to the offer value and is lower from the 3.1% discount at the close on 31 August. With around 3 months to go before the privatisation is complete (if voted through), there is good value is arbitraging the spread.</p>

On 30 March, Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) announced that it was undergoing a strategic review to consider options for its various businesses. On 6 May, the company announced that it would be transferring its media business to a not-for-profit entity.Then, on 2 August, Keppel Corp (KEP SP) announced that it was proposing to acquire Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) ex the media business and then delist and privatise SPH. Under the terms of the Scheme, for each share of Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) held, shareholders will receive cash of S$0.668, 0.596 units of Keppel REIT (KREIT SP) and 0.782 units of SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP).The offer valued Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) at S$2.0987/share (a 11.63% premium to the close of S$1.88/share for SPH) using the closing prices for Keppel REIT (KREIT SP) and SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP). Since then, the offer value has dropped to S$2.0507/share while Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) has moved higher to S$1.94/share.On 10 September, Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) shareholders voted in favour of the spin-off of the media business. This paves the way for the next EGM and Scheme Meeting where Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) shareholders will vote on the proposed privatisation by Keppel Corp (KEP SP).Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) still trades at a 5.4% discount to the offer value and is lower from the 3.1% discount at the close on 31 August. With around 3 months to go before the privatisation is complete (if voted through), there is good value is arbitraging the spread.

Keppel Corp / SPH: One Step Closer to Privatisation

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Hongkong Land, SOHO China, Bank Rakyat, Oil Search, JCNC

Travis Lundy

<p>On Friday 9 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> shareholders voted to approve the Media Business Spinoff and the Proposed Restructuring which will allow SPH to spin off the various media assets and some supporting assets it has heretofore controlled into a new non-profit Company Limited by Guarantee.</p><p>The idea is that the "lifting" of the restrictions of the Newspaper Printing and Presses Act (“NPPA”) would then provide SPH <em>"with greater financial flexibility to tailor its capital and shareholding structure to unlock and maximise value for all shareholders."</em></p><p>As discussed first in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-press-own-time-own-target-restructuring-lor-come-i-clap-for-you" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51141" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You)</a>,</em> the upside did not seem huge. A few months later SPH decided that the rest of the business would be taken over by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> in return for a basket of cash, units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> and units in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192:1" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a>. This was discussed in <em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/alamak-sph-restructuring-restructured-as-keppel-bo-jios-sph-holders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55370" rel="noopener">Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders</a>, </em>and at that, the upside did not seem huge. The price jumped from a div-adjusted S$1.88/share before the Keppel news to S$1.92/unit to close some of the gap. The remaining spread is now quite small at a bit less than 10cts on a forward div-adjusted basis, or about 5%.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/229/249/original/Screenshot+2021-09-11+at+2.04.22+PM.png?1631340279" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="229249"></figure><p></p></section><p>From the day before the Keppel announcement until now, the value of the non-cash portion of the Consideration (i.e. the 0.596 units of KREIT and the 0.782 units of SPH REIT) have fallen 2.55% in value while the value of an equal weighted Peer Basket of REITs has fallen 2.45%. That tells you that despite the first-day drop in the value of SPH REIT and Keppel REIT resulting from market participants' expectation that hedging pressure on those two REITs would cause them to underperform the market, the underperformance has been minimal. I expect the high cost of borrow and relative illiquidity of S-REITs has limited the appeal of the arb to arbitrageurs.</p><p>Now we wait for the EGM to approve the distribution of SPH REIT units and the Scheme Meeting to dispose of the SPH business in return for KREIT units and cash. That should happen in the October/November timeframe.</p><p>In the meantime, we check progress of the arb, and what the value of the Consideration is compared to a comparable Peer Basket.</p>

On Friday 9 September, Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) shareholders voted to approve the Media Business Spinoff and the Proposed Restructuring which will allow SPH to spin off the various media assets and some supporting assets it has heretofore controlled into a new non-profit Company Limited by Guarantee.The idea is that the "lifting" of the restrictions of the Newspaper Printing and Presses Act (“NPPA”) would then provide SPH "with greater financial flexibility to tailor its capital and shareholding structure to unlock and maximise value for all shareholders."As discussed first in Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You), the upside did not seem huge. A few months later SPH decided that the rest of the business would be taken over by Keppel Corp (KEP SP) in return for a basket of cash, units of SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) and units in Keppel REIT (KREIT SP). This was discussed in Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders, and at that, the upside did not seem huge. The price jumped from a div-adjusted S$1.88/share before the Keppel news to S$1.92/unit to close some of the gap. The remaining spread is now quite small at a bit less than 10cts on a forward div-adjusted basis, or about 5%.From the day before the Keppel announcement until now, the value of the non-cash portion of the Consideration (i.e. the 0.596 units of KREIT and the 0.782 units of SPH REIT) have fallen 2.55% in value while the value of an equal weighted Peer Basket of REITs has fallen 2.45%. That tells you that despite the first-day drop in the value of SPH REIT and Keppel REIT resulting from market participants' expectation that hedging pressure on those two REITs would cause them to underperform the market, the underperformance has been minimal. I expect the high cost of borrow and relative illiquidity of S-REITs has limited the appeal of the arb to arbitrageurs.Now we wait for the EGM to approve the distribution of SPH REIT units and the Scheme Meeting to dispose of the SPH business in return for KREIT units and cash. That should happen in the October/November timeframe.In the meantime, we check progress of the arb, and what the value of the Consideration is compared to a comparable Peer Basket.

SPH Shareholders Approve Spinoff - There's Still a Spread To Earn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing.  It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.</p></div><div><p>We have looked at MREITs in our earlier notes:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mreit-pre-ipo-mediocre-performance-convoluted-lease-low-asset-yield" target="_blank" rel="noopener">MREIT Pre-IPO - Mediocre performance, convoluted lease, low asset yield</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rl-commercial-reit-and-mreit-peer-comparison-one-is-much-better-shape" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT and MREIT Peer Comparison - One Is Much Better Shape</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>Apart from MREIT we have also covered prior listings of the three currently listed, and one soon to be listed, REIT in the Philippines:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/filinvest-reit-ipo-almost-like-a-single-asset-reit-covid-hasn-t-been-kind" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ddpm-reit-pre-ipo-brand-new-assets-but-not-with-the-best-of-outlooks" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/areit-pre-ipo-first-philippines-reit-listing-comes-with-its-peculiarities" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AREIT Pre-IPO - First REIT listing comes with its peculiarities</a></p></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/rl-commercial-reit-pre-ipo-motley-crew-of-assets-has-weathered-covid-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RL Commercial REIT Pre-IPO - Motley crew of assets has weathered COVID well</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p></div>

MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing.  It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.We have looked at MREITs in our earlier notes:
MREIT Pre-IPO - Mediocre performance, convoluted lease, low asset yield
RL Commercial REIT and MREIT Peer Comparison - One Is Much Better Shape
Apart from MREIT we have also covered prior listings of the three currently listed, and one soon to be listed, REIT in the Philippines:
Filinvest REIT IPO - Almost like a single asset REIT, COVID hasn’t been kind
DDMP REIT Pre-IPO - Brand new assets but not with the best of outlooks
AREIT Pre-IPO - First REIT listing comes with its peculiarities
RL Commercial REIT Pre-IPO - Motley crew of assets has weathered COVID well
In this note, we will comment on valuation and run the deal through our ECM framework.

MREIT IPO - Needs to Be Priced a Whole Lot Lower

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>The Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21</h3><p>Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.</p>

SingaporeThe Great Room to open its biggest Co-working space at Afro Asia building in Oct21Hospitality-led co-working space operator, The Great Room, will open its fifth location in Singapore in Oct21. The Great Room will take up 37,000sqft across three floors of the new 19-storey office tower at Afro Asia Building. Jointly developed by the Tan family of Afro-Asia Shopping Co and Japanese giant construction company Shimizu Corp, the building has been conferred the Green Mark Platinum and LEED Platinum ecological certifications. The co-working space will be The Great Room’s largest in Singapore and will span the sixth to eighth floors. The Great Room will also manage the fifth-floor sky garden that can be used as an outdoor event space.

Singapore

Keppel REIT operates as a commercial real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and invests in a portfolio of income-producing office buildings and related real estate assets. Keppel REIT offers its services in Asia and Australia.

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Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)

Keppel Corp / SPH: One Step Closer to Privatisation

SPH shareholders have voted in favour of the spin-off of the media business. This paves the way for the next EGM to vote on the privatisation by...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shinsei Bank, Hongkong Land, SOHO China, Bank Rakyat, Oil Search, JCNC

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

SPH Shareholders Approve Spinoff - There's Still a Spread To Earn

SPH shareholders approve the Media Biz spinoff, now there are ~4mos left until payout (assuming EGM/Scheme Mtg in Oct/Nov gives the thumbs up)....

Travis Lundy

MREIT IPO - Needs to Be Priced a Whole Lot Lower

MREIT, sponsored by Megaworld, aims to raise up to US$475m in its Philippines listing. It will be a 100% secondary shares offering.

Sumeet Singh

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Aug21)

Co-working The Great Room opens at Afro Asia; Watergardens sold 60% at wkd launch; KREIT CEO steps down; HOUSE on track for PHP20bn sales in FY21

SCCM Asia Research

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