Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be two changes before that if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16969:1" rel="noopener">HLB Inc (028300 KS)</a> complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.</li>
</ul>


With over 40% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
There could be two changes before that if L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) and HLB Inc (028300 KS) complete their transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index since the start of the review period. The ban on short selling could lead to another leg up.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

<ul>
<li>The announced changes are exactly in line with our forecasts with one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>There are two changes to the BBIG Index with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest buying impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> while the largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soulbrain-co-ltd-4208cf78-7fa9-4449-af35-bd0bde9d4726" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35407:1" rel="noopener">Soulbrain (357780)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The announced changes are exactly in line with our forecasts with one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index.
There are two changes to the BBIG Index with LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) replacing LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS) and AfreecaTV (067160 KS) replacing Douzone Bizon (012510 KS). 
The largest buying impact will be on AfreecaTV (067160 KS) while the largest selling impact will be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS), Soulbrain (357780) and LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: No Surprises as LG Chem Not Deleted from Battery Index

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The biggest story should be LG Chem's complete deletion from the entire indexes. It's been said locally that KRX finally decided to remove LG Chem from the battery index.</li>
<li>AfreecaTV and Douzone Bizon will have the largest passive impacts, +1.72x and -3.89x ADTVs. The Chunbo and SoulBrain combo also seems in a sweet spot for a quick long/short setup.</li>
<li>LG Energy's inflow should be at least 0.33x ADTV. Yes, LG Chem's outflow deserves special attention. The combined impact is 0.6x ADTV, enough to make a splash on the price.</li>
</ul>


The biggest story should be LG Chem's complete deletion from the entire indexes. It's been said locally that KRX finally decided to remove LG Chem from the battery index.
AfreecaTV and Douzone Bizon will have the largest passive impacts, +1.72x and -3.89x ADTVs. The Chunbo and SoulBrain combo also seems in a sweet spot for a quick long/short setup.
LG Energy's inflow should be at least 0.33x ADTV. Yes, LG Chem's outflow deserves special attention. The combined impact is 0.6x ADTV, enough to make a splash on the price.


KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Latest Weight/Flow Update & LG Chem's Complete Deletion

<ul>
<li>The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> should be added to the Internet Index.</li>
<li>The largest selling is expected to be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a> due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the KRX New Deal indices ended on 31 January. The changes will be announced toward the end of February and implemented on 10 March.
We expect LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) to be included in the Battery and BBIG indices, while Kakao Pay (377300 KS) should be added to the Internet Index.
The largest selling is expected to be on Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) due to a potential downweight in the Internet index and a deletion from the BBIG index.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For this March rebalancing, the screening base date is January 28, which is the last trading day of January. So, the 3-month rebalancing review period is now done.</li>
<li>Other than LG Energy (+₩146,2B), we should pay the most attention to AfreecaTV (+1.70x), Chunbo (+0.36x), Douzone Bizon (-4.82x), and SoulBrain (-0.99x).</li>
<li>In addition, large-cap stocks such as SKIET (+0.25x), Ecopro BM (+0.10x), LG Chem (-0.62x), and Posco Chemical (-0.30x) will likely draw much attention.</li>
</ul>


For this March rebalancing, the screening base date is January 28, which is the last trading day of January. So, the 3-month rebalancing review period is now done.
Other than LG Energy (+₩146,2B), we should pay the most attention to AfreecaTV (+1.70x), Chunbo (+0.36x), Douzone Bizon (-4.82x), and SoulBrain (-0.99x).
In addition, large-cap stocks such as SKIET (+0.25x), Ecopro BM (+0.10x), LG Chem (-0.62x), and Posco Chemical (-0.30x) will likely draw much attention.


KRX K-New Deal Index Screening Period Ended: Rebalancing Changes & Passive Impacts Update

South Korea

KG Inicis Co., Ltd. develops and provides e-commerce settlement processing services through the electronic payment software used in Internet shopping malls.  The Company also operates an online marketplace, which allows online shopping and auction.

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KG Inicis Co Ltd (035600 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Soaring; Short Sell Ban Not Helping

There could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes and the index since the start of the...

Brian Freitas

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance: No Surprises as LG Chem Not Deleted from Battery Index

There is one change each for the Secondary Battery, Bio and Game Index. There are three changes to the Internet Index. LG Chem has not been deleted...

Brian Freitas

KRX K-New Deal Rebalancing: Latest Weight/Flow Update & LG Chem's Complete Deletion

This post provides the latest update on the weight adjustments and flow estimations for the KRX K-New Deal Index rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview (March): More Flow for LG Energy

There are many changes to the KRX New Deal indices at the March rebal. The largest inflow is on LG Energy. The largest buying impact is on...

Brian Freitas

KRX K-New Deal Index Screening Period Ended: Rebalancing Changes & Passive Impacts Update

The KRX K-New Deal Index's screening period ended last Friday. This post updates the screening results and passive impacts.

Sanghyun Park

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