Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 22nd): Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.</li>
<li>The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.</li>
<li>There have been huge inflows into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY family of indices, Nikkei 225, STAR50, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.
The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.
There have been huge inflows into the CSI 300 Index ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The China equity markets have continued to slide and the lower market caps and free float market caps will see a lot of stocks deleted from passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>We currently estimate selling of around US$1.66bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland, in HK and the U.S., and that number could increase as markets continue to underperform.</li>
<li>The potential deletes have dropped a lot over the last 4 months and there has been a marked underperformance versus the headline indices over the last month.</li>
</ul>


The China equity markets have continued to slide and the lower market caps and free float market caps will see a lot of stocks deleted from passive portfolios in February.
We currently estimate selling of around US$1.66bn across 74 stocks listed on the mainland, in HK and the U.S., and that number could increase as markets continue to underperform.
The potential deletes have dropped a lot over the last 4 months and there has been a marked underperformance versus the headline indices over the last month.


China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
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<div>
<div class="content-highlight">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12601:1" rel="noopener">Kwg Property Holding (1813 HK)</a> is trading rich to peers after the in-specie distribution of soon-to-be-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kwg-living-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29231:1" rel="noopener">KWG Living Group (3913 HK)</a>. KWG Living itself will need to hit significant earnings growth targets to justify its implied market valuation.</div>
</div>
<p>Preceding my comments on KWG are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
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<div>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.</p>
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This week in StubWorld ...



Kwg Property Holding (1813 HK) is trading rich to peers after the in-specie distribution of soon-to-be-listed KWG Living Group (3913 HK). KWG Living itself will need to hit significant earnings growth targets to justify its implied market valuation.

Preceding my comments on KWG are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.



These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.




<div>
<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
</div>
<div>
<div class="content-highlight">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-laminates-hldg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10276:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard Laminates Holdings (1888 HK)</a>'s announcement of a possible Chi-Next listing sends <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard Holdings (148 HK)</a>'s implied stub to an all-time low.<br><br><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8122" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/people-s-insurance-co-grou-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:362:1" rel="noopener">People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK)</a> trading rich - possibly as the A-share premium rallies. </div>
</div>
<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on KBC and PICC are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<div class="content-remarks">
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...



Kingboard Laminates Holdings (1888 HK)'s announcement of a possible Chi-Next listing sends Kingboard Holdings (148 HK)'s implied stub to an all-time low.  People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK) trading rich - possibly as the A-share premium rallies. 


Preceding my comments on KBC and PICC are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.



These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed as a % - of at least 20%.



StubWorld: Kingboards' All-Time Low Implied Stub; PICC Trading Rich

Hong Kong

Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited is a vertically-integrated electronics materials manufacturer, specializing in the production of glass epoxy and paper laminates. The company also produces upstream component materials like copper foils, glass yarns, and epoxy resins, and has diversified interests in properties, chemicals, and hotel services. It was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.

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Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 22nd): Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Bank Of China, China Mobile, Xiaomi, Zto Express, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

China: Sliding Market Leads to Passive Selling

A rapidly falling market could be upwards of 74 China stocks being deleted from passive portfolios. These stocks have underperformed the headline...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: KWG Living - Crowded In Crowd

Kwg Prop (1813 HK) is trading rich to peers after the in-specie distribution of soon-to-be-listed KWG Living (3913 HK). KWGL will need to hit...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Kingboards' All-Time Low Implied Stub; PICC Trading Rich

This weekly stub wrap covers Kingboard Chemical's (148 HK) all-time low implied stub after Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) announces a possible...

David Blennerhassett

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