Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 28th Mar 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>  announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.</li>
<li>Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we highlighted which division could list. In this note, we will look at the Cloud segement.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Mar 2023, Alibaba Group (9988 HK)  announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.
Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.
In our previous note, we highlighted which division could list. In this note, we will look at the Cloud segement.


Alibaba Potential IPOs - Part 3 - An Early Look at Cloud, Easy US$10bn+

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Despite the topline growth of 20%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> recorded a loss in FY22 after a large impairment for its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28835:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud (KC US)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Kingsoft are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Despite the topline growth of 20%, Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) recorded a loss in FY22 after a large impairment for its holding in Kingsoft Cloud (KC US).
Preceding my comments on Kingsoft are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Impairments Weigh Down Kingsoft Solid Results

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28835:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud (KC US)</a> shares will begin trading on the Main Board of the HKEx on Friday, 30th December by way of an introduction.</li>
<li>The company’s competitive pricing strategy to onboard customers has impacted its profitability, however, KC has begun to shift focus on profitability by raising prices in the medium term.</li>
<li>Raising prices in the medium term will likely support KC’s profitability and we have valued the company using potential price hikes to non-key customers. </li>
</ul>



Kingsoft Cloud (KC US) shares will begin trading on the Main Board of the HKEx on Friday, 30th December by way of an introduction.
The company’s competitive pricing strategy to onboard customers has impacted its profitability, however, KC has begun to shift focus on profitability by raising prices in the medium term.
Raising prices in the medium term will likely support KC’s profitability and we have valued the company using potential price hikes to non-key customers. 


Kingsoft Cloud HK Listing: Significant Upside in the Medium Term

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.</li><li>However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. </li><li>China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changes</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China

Kingsoft Cloud manufactures software. The Company mainly produces office software, king dictionary, game software, anti-virus software, and other application software.

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Kingsoft Cloud (KC US)

Alibaba Potential IPOs - Part 3 - An Early Look at Cloud, Easy US$10bn+

On 28th Mar 2023, Alibaba Group (9988 HK) announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

StubWorld: Impairments Weigh Down Kingsoft Solid Results

The market is assigning HK$28bn less to Kingsoft's stub ops over the past year - however, deconsolidated stub EBITDA is up. As is (~HK$21/share)...

David Blennerhassett

Kingsoft Cloud HK Listing: Significant Upside in the Medium Term

Kingsoft's competitive pricing strategy is the reason for its lower profits. Our valuation based on potential price hikes to non-key customers...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data. However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China...

CMB International

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