Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view remains unchanged; overhead longer-term resistance on the MSCI EM, EAFE, and ACWI ex-US indexes (all priced in local currency) is something to be aware of, however if the ACWI-US is above $70 our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish and we suggest buying any dips. In today's report we highlight attractive charts within defensives (Consumer Staples &amp; Utilities), cyclicals (Consumer Discretionary, Energy, Financial, &amp; Materials), and in-between Sectors (Communications, Services, &amp; Health Care)

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 2nd Jan 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> announced the proposed listing of subsidiary Kunlunxin on the HKEx. The Street promptly bumped its fair values. Shares gained a punchy 9.4%. </li>
<li>Kunlunxin is Baidu's AI chip subsidiary, held as to ~59.45%.  Baidu’s stake is expected to fall to 51% after the spinoff.</li>
<li>What is Kunlunxin worth? ~US$3bn if using recent founding rounds; up to US$16-US$23bn according to some Street analysts. Baidu's market cap is ~US$52bn.</li>
</ul>


On the 2nd Jan 2026, Baidu (9888 HK) announced the proposed listing of subsidiary Kunlunxin on the HKEx. The Street promptly bumped its fair values. Shares gained a punchy 9.4%. 
Kunlunxin is Baidu's AI chip subsidiary, held as to ~59.45%.  Baidu’s stake is expected to fall to 51% after the spinoff.
What is Kunlunxin worth? ~US$3bn if using recent founding rounds; up to US$16-US$23bn according to some Street analysts. Baidu's market cap is ~US$52bn.


Baidu (9888 HK)'s Spin-Off And Listing Of Kunlunxin

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/duality-biotherapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43878:1" rel="noopener">Duality Biotherapeutics </a>delivered a strong listing, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-zenergy-battery-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43855:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies</a> was still holding on to its deal price.</li>
<li>On the placements front, we looked at number of upcoming lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Duality Biotherapeutics delivered a strong listing, while Jiangsu Zenergy Battery Technologies was still holding on to its deal price.
On the placements front, we looked at number of upcoming lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (22 Apr 2025) - Suzuki, Zenergy, Chagee, Duality, Manycore, Horizon, Giant Bio, TV Asahi

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Baishan Cloud, China’s independent edge cloud service provider, filed to go public in Hong Kong. CICC and investment bank Haitong are the lead underwriters in this offering.</li>
<li>Founded in 2015, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-baishancloud-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40988:1" rel="noopener">BaishanCloud (1568617D HK)</a> is led by its CEO and Founder, Mr. HUO Tao, and a highly experienced founding team.</li>
<li>I believe the company will achieve a break-even this year, coupled with a strong international expansion, potential revenue acceleration and gross margin improvement as the business continues to scale up.</li>
</ul>


Baishan Cloud, China’s independent edge cloud service provider, filed to go public in Hong Kong. CICC and investment bank Haitong are the lead underwriters in this offering.
Founded in 2015, BaishanCloud (1568617D HK) is led by its CEO and Founder, Mr. HUO Tao, and a highly experienced founding team.
I believe the company will achieve a break-even this year, coupled with a strong international expansion, potential revenue acceleration and gross margin improvement as the business continues to scale up.


Baishan Cloud IPO Preview: Break-Even Is Likely To Be Achieved in 2024

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> aims to complete a spin-off of the Cloud Intelligence Group via a stock dividend distribution, with it becoming publicly listed in the next 12 months.  </li>
<li>The Cloud business is pursuing a land-grab strategy to reignite growth. While it is the only profitable Chinese cloud platform, the profitability gap to Amazon AWS highlights the opportunity. </li>
<li>The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business valuation range of US$45-58 billion. </li>
</ul>



Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) aims to complete a spin-off of the Cloud Intelligence Group via a stock dividend distribution, with it becoming publicly listed in the next 12 months.  
The Cloud business is pursuing a land-grab strategy to reignite growth. While it is the only profitable Chinese cloud platform, the profitability gap to Amazon AWS highlights the opportunity. 
The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business valuation range of US$45-58 billion. 


Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

China

Kingsoft Cloud manufactures software. The Company mainly produces office software, king dictionary, game software, anti-virus software, and other application software.

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Kingsoft Cloud (KC US)

Global Equity Strategy: Stick With Technology

Global indexes remain overwhelmingly positive which is supported by the fact that there is a dearth of breakdowns. Overall our big picture view...

Vermilion Research

Baidu (9888 HK)'s Spin-Off And Listing Of Kunlunxin

This development serves to underscore the growing emphasis on Baidu’s AI and cloud capabilities. What Kunlunxin is worth is anyone's guess. But it...

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (22 Apr 2025) - Suzuki, Zenergy, Chagee, Duality, Manycore, Horizon, Giant Bio, TV Asahi

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Baishan Cloud IPO Preview: Break-Even Is Likely To Be Achieved in 2024

Baishan Cloud, a founder-led edge cloud service provider in China, filed to list IPO on HKEX. The company develops AI-empowered edge cloud platform...

Andrei Zakharov

Alibaba’s Cloud Intelligence Group Spin-Off: The First Look

The aim to bring in external strategic investors before the spin-off will provide a valuation benchmark. Our analysis points to a Cloud business...

Arun George

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