Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved is higher than in 2023 and 2024.</li>
<li>The pace of China game approval is above its pre-tightening level of August 2020 to July 2021.</li>
<li>Of the companies that we are monitoring, none got approval.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved is higher than in 2023 and 2024.
The pace of China game approval is above its pre-tightening level of August 2020 to July 2021.
Of the companies that we are monitoring, none got approval.


Tencent/Netease: Two Months Without Approvals Despite Second-Highest Count Since 2022

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>China's cloud companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.</li>
<li>China's telecom companies like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-unicom-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1016:1" rel="noopener">China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom (H) (728 HK)</a> are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.</li>
<li>China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.</li>
</ul>


China's cloud companies like Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) benefit from the democratization of AI its concurrent increased data needs.
China's telecom companies like China Mobile (941 HK) , China Unicom Hong Kong (762 HK) and China Telecom (H) (728 HK) are now major players in the country's AI ecosystem.
China's data center companies like GDS Holdings (9698 HK) , 21Vianet Group (VNET US) , and SUNeVision Holdings (1686 HK) are benefiting from the increased data needs of AI industry.


Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha Portfolio returned 5.23% in December and outperformed the benchmark by 5.92%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 10.36% to 14.38% since its inception on 10/01/24.</li>
<li>About 80% of the portfolio's excess returns have been from alpha generation.  The portfolio has no exposure to Real Estate, Healthcare, Materials, or Energy at this time.</li>
<li>At month end, we sold ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK) , China Longyuan Power (916 HK) , CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> .</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha Portfolio returned 5.23% in December and outperformed the benchmark by 5.92%.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 10.36% to 14.38% since its inception on 10/01/24.
About 80% of the portfolio's excess returns have been from alpha generation.  The portfolio has no exposure to Real Estate, Healthcare, Materials, or Energy at this time.
At month end, we sold ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK) , China Longyuan Power (916 HK) , CRRC Corp Ltd H (1766 HK), and Weibo (9898 HK) .


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (December 2024)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index</a>, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. </li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Capping will lead to most inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> while the largest outflows will be from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announces changes to the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, Hang Seng TECH Index, HSIII Index and HSCI Index (among others) post market close today. 
The net round-trip trade across the stocks is estimated to be HK$35bn (US$4.5bn) with big impact in a lot of stocks.
Capping will lead to most inflows to Meituan (3690 HK) while the largest outflows will be from Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK). 


Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard (148 HK)</a> gained 25% and ~67%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingboard-laminates-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10276:1" rel="noopener">Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK)</a> 13%. Unrelated, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft (3888 HK)</a> gained ~10% and 51.4%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kingsoft-office-softwa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28842:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Kingsoft Office Software (688111 CH)</a> just 0.9%.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on the "Kings" - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, Kingboard (148 HK) gained 25% and ~67%-held Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK) 13%. Unrelated, Kingsoft (3888 HK) gained ~10% and 51.4%-held Beijing Kingsoft Office Software (688111 CH) just 0.9%.
Preceding my comments on the "Kings" - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


China

Kingsoft is a Chinese software and internet services company that develops office software, cloud services, and online games. Its key products include the WPS Office suite (WPS Office, WPS 365, WPS AI) and various PC and mobile games like JX Online 3. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Kingsoft (3888 HK)

Tencent/Netease: Two Months Without Approvals Despite Second-Highest Count Since 2022

NPPA released its September 2026 domestic game approval batch. None of the companies we track received approval despite the overall approval count...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Deepseek Rally Creates Winners in CLOUD, TELECOM and DATA CENTERS

Cloud, Telecom and Data Center companies are winners from the DeepSeek sparked AI revolution. Increased data storage, processing and distribution...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (December 2024)

Hong Kong Alpha porfolio returned 5.29% in December and has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by 10% to 14% since its inception on 10/01/24.The...

David Mudd

Hang Seng Indexes: Announcement Today; Updated Flows (Some Big Ones)

Hang Seng Indexes announces post market close today. There will be changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII and HSCI indices. The net round-trip...

Brian Freitas

StubWorld: Big Moves In "Kings"

A sector-wide gain in PCB and copper-clad laminate names lifts Kingboard (148 HK)/Laminates (1888 HK). And Xiaomi clears 5% for the first time in...

David Blennerhassett

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