Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 adds and 3 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in September. Plus there are capping and float changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 11.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.14bn. There are 16 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/b2gold-corp-fee72de9-9219-4f08-9e4a-eff9db71e070" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33420:1" rel="noopener">B2Gold Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evolution-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18363:1" rel="noopener">Evolution Mining</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-american-silver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25399:1" rel="noopener">Pan American Silver</a> while the largest outflows are from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kinross-gold-corp-4566bc5d-6053-4c59-9b54-891e37079607" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33288:1" rel="noopener">Kinross Gold</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-de-minas-buenaventura-saa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27674:1" rel="noopener">Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 adds and 3 deletes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in September. Plus there are capping and float changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 11.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.14bn. There are 16 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The largest inflows are expected in B2Gold Corp, Evolution Mining and Pan American Silver while the largest outflows are from Kinross Gold and Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA.


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$1bn

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kinross Gold Corporation reported a financially robust first quarter for the year 2024, characterized by strong operational performance and strategic developmental advancements, despite the inherent challenges and complexities in the mining sector.</li><li>During this quarter, Kinross Gold produced 527,000 ounces of gold, with its key operations at Tasiast, Paracau, and La Coipa contributing significantly to the output, demonstrating cost-effective production with an All-In Sustaining Cost (ASIC) below $1,000 per ounce.</li><li>The favorable gold prices provided a financial tailwind, enhancing the company’s profitability margins.</li></ul>

Kinross Gold Corporation reported a financially robust first quarter for the year 2024, characterized by strong operational performance and strategic developmental advancements, despite the inherent challenges and complexities in the mining sector.During this quarter, Kinross Gold produced 527,000 ounces of gold, with its key operations at Tasiast, Paracau, and La Coipa contributing significantly to the output, demonstrating cost-effective production with an All-In Sustaining Cost (ASIC) below $1,000 per ounce.The favorable gold prices provided a financial tailwind, enhancing the company’s profitability margins.

Kinross Gold Corporation: A Tale Of Continued Exploration & Resource Expansion! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-de-minas-buenaventura-saa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27674:1" rel="noopener">Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equinox-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38705:1" rel="noopener">Equinox Gold (EQX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The largest inflows are expected in Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US), Equinox Gold (EQX US) and Red 5 Ltd (RED AU). 


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

OceanaGold Philippines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oceanagold-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40897:1" rel="noopener">OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM)</a> is looking to raise up to US$106m in its Philippines IPO.</li>
<li>OceanaGold Philippines (OGPI) is a producer of gold and copper in the Philippines, and a subsidiary of OceanaGold Corporation, a Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) listed gold mining and exploration company.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance and shared our quick thoughts on valuation. In this note, we share our updated thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) is looking to raise up to US$106m in its Philippines IPO.
OceanaGold Philippines (OGPI) is a producer of gold and copper in the Philippines, and a subsidiary of OceanaGold Corporation, a Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) listed gold mining and exploration company.
In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance and shared our quick thoughts on valuation. In this note, we share our updated thoughts on valuation.


OceanaGold Philippines IPO - Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Too Expensive Even at This Price

<ul><li>Kinross Gold reported a robust fiscal year 2023, where the company met its targets and is well-positioned for the year ahead.</li><li>Kinross Gold's operations are performing well, as are its projects, which are aligning with budget and timing.</li><li>The company is generating substantial free cash flow and is successfully de-levering its balance sheet.</li></ul>

Kinross Gold reported a robust fiscal year 2023, where the company met its targets and is well-positioned for the year ahead.Kinross Gold's operations are performing well, as are its projects, which are aligning with budget and timing.The company is generating substantial free cash flow and is successfully de-levering its balance sheet.

Kinross Gold Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - What Is Its Core Business Strategy? - Major Drivers

Canada

Kinross Gold Corporation is involved in the exploration, development, and production of gold in countries located around the world.  The Company currently has operations in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Mauritania, Ghana and Russia.

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Kinross Gold Corp (KGC US)

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$1bn

2 adds and 3 deletes result in a 1-way turnover of 11.4% and a round-trip trade of US$1.14bn for the GDXJ. Kinross Gold is the big sell while...

Brian Freitas

Kinross Gold Corporation: A Tale Of Continued Exploration & Resource Expansion! - Major Drivers

Kinross Gold Corporation reported a financially robust first quarter for the year 2024, characterized by strong operational performance and...

Baptista Research

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

OceanaGold Philippines IPO - Updated Thoughts on Valuation - Too Expensive Even at This Price

OceanaGold Philippines (OGP PM) is looking to raise up to US$106m in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we share our updated thoughts on valuation.

Ethan Aw

Kinross Gold Corporation: Initiation Of Coverage - What Is Its Core Business Strategy? - Major Drivers

Kinross Gold reported a robust fiscal year 2023, where the company met its targets and is well-positioned for the year ahead. Kinross Gold's...

Baptista Research

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