Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Both Marvell and Dell were out after-market Friday so the reaction in Japan to start may be less severe.</li>
<li>Sandisk cutting through the static now up for 7th day in a row as sentiment for NAND rises on potential AI growth.</li>
<li>Kokusai Electric may also see a positive change in tone if the market takes another look at NAND production equipment.</li>
</ul>


Both Marvell and Dell were out after-market Friday so the reaction in Japan to start may be less severe.
Sandisk cutting through the static now up for 7th day in a row as sentiment for NAND rises on potential AI growth.
Kokusai Electric may also see a positive change in tone if the market takes another look at NAND production equipment.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Battered by Marvell and Dell Misses Ahead of Labor Day Break

<ul>
<li>Pure Storage surging 32% showcasing the growth potential for NAND as a viable and cost effective storage medium for AI/enterprise use. Watch Kioxia.</li>
<li>HP up but its printing business not so good -however this could be a 'bad is good' scenario for Japan's desperately in need of consolidation printer industry.</li>
<li>Marvell getting hit hard after-hours may see ASIC related Socionext trade lower.</li>
</ul>


Pure Storage surging 32% showcasing the growth potential for NAND as a viable and cost effective storage medium for AI/enterprise use. Watch Kioxia.
HP up but its printing business not so good -however this could be a 'bad is good' scenario for Japan's desperately in need of consolidation printer industry.
Marvell getting hit hard after-hours may see ASIC related Socionext trade lower.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Shakes off Initial Weakness with Talks of Blackwell Sales to China

<ul>
<li>HDD plays WD and Seagate pulling ahead of NAND plays but there may be upside on potential for increased DC adoption for likes of Kioxia.</li>
<li>Mitsubishi Motors cut their FY guidance as competition heats up in key Asian markets as China makers muscle their way in.</li>
<li>Nikon +21% yesterday as EL takes a bigger stake, but don't forget the largest holder activist Silchester-  who may have their own plans.</li>
</ul>


HDD plays WD and Seagate pulling ahead of NAND plays but there may be upside on potential for increased DC adoption for likes of Kioxia.
Mitsubishi Motors cut their FY guidance as competition heats up in key Asian markets as China makers muscle their way in.
Nikon +21% yesterday as EL takes a bigger stake, but don't forget the largest holder activist Silchester-  who may have their own plans.


Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Ahead of Consensus but Not Enough to Push the Stock Higher

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baycurrent-consulting-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25985:1" rel="noopener">BayCurrent Consulting</a>'s PAF will double, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing</a>'s CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a>'s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as part of the September rebalance should be announced in just over 2 weeks. We expect 2 changes at the review.

BayCurrent Consulting's PAF will double, Fast Retailing's CPAF will stay the same, and Sony Financial Group will be deleted from the index following its spinoff from Sony Corp (6758 JP). 

Sanrio (8136 JP)'s improved liquidity increases the probability of index inclusion, and the stock could be added to the index at the next rebalance if it misses in September.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Montage Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (688008 CH)</a> (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (688008 CH) (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Montage Technology A/H Listing - Fast Growth but Doesn’t Need the Cash, Delisted Once

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Battered by Marvell and Dell Misses Ahead of Labor Day Break

Marvell's poor earnings pulled AI related down while NAND related stayed strong. Kokusai Electric is rebounding off its 200 day after a 20%...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Shakes off Initial Weakness with Talks of Blackwell Sales to China

Memory plays continue to trade well with strong growth outlook for NAND memory, watch Kioxia as a squeeze candidate. Dell down with numbers showing...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: NVDA Numbers Ahead of Consensus but Not Enough to Push the Stock Higher

Expect slight weakness for JP SPE after NVDA dip, guidance cut from Mitsubishi Motors looks like it was expected, Nikon limit up on news of EL...

Andrew Jackson

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance Sep25: Performance of Potential Adds/Deletes & Positioning

A week or so to go for the announcement of changes to the NKY in September. The forecast adds have dropped a bit over the last week and there will...

Brian Freitas

Montage Technology A/H Listing - Fast Growth but Doesn’t Need the Cash, Delisted Once

Montage Technology (688008 CH), a provider of memory interface and interconnect chips, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

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