Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019</li>
<li>Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash</li>
<li>It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues continue to fall. which appears to be a repeat of the collapse in 2019
Spot market prices, a leading indicator, are soft for both DRAM and NAND flash
It is likely that semiconductor revenues will end the year by returning to the trendline of their historical growth of 3.9%


Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>After a large downswing over June and July, we examine Q2 earnings to see where SK Hynix is headed from here, noting the movement is recently amplified by leveraged trades.</li>
<li>A large cash influx attributed to the sale of shares in Kioxia added a significant amount to the company's cash, while debt ratios continue to be strong.</li>
<li>SK Hynix DEC26 Options are possible for US investors now, and we propose looking at out of the money options to get on the right side of the movement. </li>
</ul>


After a large downswing over June and July, we examine Q2 earnings to see where SK Hynix is headed from here, noting the movement is recently amplified by leveraged trades.
A large cash influx attributed to the sale of shares in Kioxia added a significant amount to the company's cash, while debt ratios continue to be strong.
SK Hynix DEC26 Options are possible for US investors now, and we propose looking at out of the money options to get on the right side of the movement. 


The KOSPI Semiconductor Leverage Loop: Navigating SK Hynix Volatility and DEC26 ADR Options

<ul>
<li>WSTS June semiconductor revenues indicate the onset of a trend of flat-to-down sales</li>
<li>Recent chip company earnings calls largely project a down market in the current quarter</li>
<li>This is most likely the beginning of a 1½ -year downturn in semiconductors</li>
</ul>


WSTS June semiconductor revenues indicate the onset of a trend of flat-to-down sales
Recent chip company earnings calls largely project a down market in the current quarter
This is most likely the beginning of a 1½ -year downturn in semiconductors


Semiconductors Have Reached Turning Point

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a> (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.</li>
<li>MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Montage Technology (6809 HK) (MT), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.
MT’s product portfolio, mainly comprises memory interface chips and interconnect chips, addresses interconnect bottlenecks while enhancing data rate/bandwidth, reliability, and power efficiency, as per the company.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Montage Technology A/H Lockup Expiry - US$1.1bn+ Release with the Stock up Nearly 150%

<ul>
<li>Micron recently announced a record-breaking quarter but guided lower for the current quarter</li>
<li>Consumer demand is slackening although other sectors remain strong for now</li>
<li>Macronix provides a little more insight, as the company reports monthly revenues</li>
</ul>


Micron recently announced a record-breaking quarter but guided lower for the current quarter
Consumer demand is slackening although other sectors remain strong for now
Macronix provides a little more insight, as the company reports monthly revenues


Does Micron's Lower Guidance Mean Doom for Tech?

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

Semiconductors Just Beginning a Long Slide

The semiconductor market is falling and is likely to continue to drop through the end of the year. This presents an opportunity for shorts.

Jim Handy

The KOSPI Semiconductor Leverage Loop: Navigating SK Hynix Volatility and DEC26 ADR Options

SK Hynix set highs in June before dropping off after the IPO. This insight examines the volatility picture for the stock and ADR, and proposes out...

Jay Cameron

Semiconductors Have Reached Turning Point

The semiconductor market is starting to change from unusual growth and record revenues to a downturn that will return it to its long-term trend. ...

Jim Handy

Aequitas: Montage Technology A/H Lockup Expiry - US$1.1bn+ Release with the Stock up Nearly 150%

Montage Technology (6809 HK), a provider of memory interface chips and interconnect chips, raised around US$1bn in its H-share listing. Its...

Sumeet Singh

Does Micron's Lower Guidance Mean Doom for Tech?

Does Micron's reduced guidance imply that the semiconductor market is about to fall? Not quite, as today's weakness is limited to the consumer...

Jim Handy

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