Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The SIA commented today on the impact to US semiconductor makers of sanctions against Russia</li>
<li>Russia accounts for negligible consumption of technology products, so embargos should not materially impact chip sales</li>
<li>The SIA believes that there are sufficient alternate sources of supply that the absence of Russian raw materials should not pose an immediate risk</li>
</ul>


The SIA commented today on the impact to US semiconductor makers of sanctions against Russia
Russia accounts for negligible consumption of technology products, so embargos should not materially impact chip sales
The SIA believes that there are sufficient alternate sources of supply that the absence of Russian raw materials should not pose an immediate risk


<ul>
<li>November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry</li>
<li>Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history</li>
<li>There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown</li>
</ul>


November semiconductor revenues set a record for the highest shipment month in the history of the industry
Year-To-Date revenues and unit shipments, excluding December, are still higher than any full year in the industry's history
There is plenty of room for this to continue, barring a global economic meltdown


November Semiconductors Once Again Set Records

<ul>
<li>2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.</li>
<li>Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.</li>
<li>The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.</li>
</ul>


2022 is likely to be a very good year for semiconductors, with 6% revenue growth following outstanding 2021 growth of ~22%.
Demand is solid, and shortages are driving prices higher.  Since revenues are demand times price, all signs are positive.
The factors that caused the last collapse, in 2019, are not in place this time, indicating that a downturn is very unlikely.


2022 High Conviction - Modest Semiconductor Growth

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron Technology posted revenues of 7.7 billion for its most recent quarter, down 7% Q/Q but up 33% Y/Y with a 47% gross margin</li>
<li>The company provided a positive outlook for the upcoming quarter and for its future in general</li>
<li>This is in stark contrast with recent forecasts based on a big decline in spot market DRAM and NAND flash prices.  We show spot prices to be unreliable predictors.</li>
</ul>


Micron Technology posted revenues of 7.7 billion for its most recent quarter, down 7% Q/Q but up 33% Y/Y with a 47% gross margin
The company provided a positive outlook for the upcoming quarter and for its future in general
This is in stark contrast with recent forecasts based on a big decline in spot market DRAM and NAND flash prices.  We show spot prices to be unreliable predictors.


Micron Bullish After Strong Showing, Counter to Certain Forecasts

<ul>
<li>October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record</li>
<li>The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend</li>
<li>The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.</li>
</ul>


October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record
The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend
The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.


October Semi Revenues Released: Even Farther Above Trend

Japan

Kioxia Holdings Corporation manufactures semiconductor memory products. The Company develops, produces, and sells flash memory cards, solid state drives, secure digital memory cards, and other products. Kioxia Holdings also operates group management strategy formulation and management.

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Kioxia Holdings (285A JP)

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