Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we expect 7 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December. Couple of changes are low probability though.</li>
<li>The Materials sector could be the biggest gainer at the rebalance while nearly all deletions could come from the Consumer Discretionary sector.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.15-15 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1.7-8.1 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we expect 7 changes to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December. Couple of changes are low probability though.
The Materials sector could be the biggest gainer at the rebalance while nearly all deletions could come from the Consumer Discretionary sector.
The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.15-15 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1.7-8.1 days of ADV.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: The Tail End

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Due to the recent crash in numerous Korean stocks related to the CFDs, FSC announced that it plans to restrict the amount of leverage related to CFD products.</li>
<li>CFDs will be considered as personal credit extensions and thus should be included in the credit limit of securities companies. </li>
<li>Given the propensity of retail investors to be net-long, the greater restriction on the credit limit of securities limit could add to further selling pressures on the Korean stock market. </li>
</ul>


Due to the recent crash in numerous Korean stocks related to the CFDs, FSC announced that it plans to restrict the amount of leverage related to CFD products.
CFDs will be considered as personal credit extensions and thus should be included in the credit limit of securities companies. 
Given the propensity of retail investors to be net-long, the greater restriction on the credit limit of securities limit could add to further selling pressures on the Korean stock market. 


FSC to Reduce CFD Derivatives Transactions in Korea

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.</li>
<li>Chairman Kim mentioned he has not done anything legally wrong. He will donate the entire amount (60.5 billion won) which was gained from selling 1.4 million shares of Daou Data. </li>
<li>We believe that Kiwoom Securities' share price could fall additional 10-30% in the next several weeks/months. This could be offset by a large share buyback &amp; cancellation by the company. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.
Chairman Kim mentioned he has not done anything legally wrong. He will donate the entire amount (60.5 billion won) which was gained from selling 1.4 million shares of Daou Data. 
We believe that Kiwoom Securities' share price could fall additional 10-30% in the next several weeks/months. This could be offset by a large share buyback &amp; cancellation by the company. 


Chairman Kim Ik-Rae of Daou Kiwoom Group Resigns & Says Sorry - But Is This Enough?

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The recent matched order operation's ringleader called in local major broadcasting companies for an interview and claimed the sell orders through SG on Monday were not from their CFD accounts.</li>
<li>The trigger is Kiwoom Securities' Chairman Kim, who created a continuous and rapid decline in stock prices and led to a vicious cycle of endless margin calls and covering orders.</li>
<li>Rather than fishing for a bottom for the eight stocks from this point on, it seems necessary to actively design positions aimed at Kiwoom Securities' legal risk-induced stock price decline.</li>
</ul>


The recent matched order operation's ringleader called in local major broadcasting companies for an interview and claimed the sell orders through SG on Monday were not from their CFD accounts.
The trigger is Kiwoom Securities' Chairman Kim, who created a continuous and rapid decline in stock prices and led to a vicious cycle of endless margin calls and covering orders.
Rather than fishing for a bottom for the eight stocks from this point on, it seems necessary to actively design positions aimed at Kiwoom Securities' legal risk-induced stock price decline.


We Should Aim at Kiwoom Securities' Potential Legal Risk-Induced Stock Price Decline

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.</li>
<li>Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.</li>
<li>As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective</li>
</ul>


It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.
Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.
As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective


Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

South Korea

KIWOOM Securities Co., Ltd. is an online financial institution.  The Company offers equity and fixed income securities brokerage, dealing, and underwriting services.  Kiwoom Securities provides its services to individual investors.

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Kiwoom Securities (039490 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: The Tail End

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in Dec. There could be changes driven by index methodology, section transfers, alleged stock manipulation...

Brian Freitas

FSC to Reduce CFD Derivatives Transactions in Korea

Due to the recent crash in numerous Korean stocks related to the CFDs, FSC announced that it plans to restrict the amount of leverage related to...

Douglas Kim

Chairman Kim Ik-Rae of Daou Kiwoom Group Resigns & Says Sorry - But Is This Enough?

After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.

Douglas Kim

We Should Aim at Kiwoom Securities' Potential Legal Risk-Induced Stock Price Decline

This post investigates the new development of the recent matched order fraud incident and the potential trading opportunities on Kiwoom Securities.

Sanghyun Park

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

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