Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  </li>
<li>The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out "banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs."</li>
<li>We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.</li>
</ul>


We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  
The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out "banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs."
We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.


President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). </li>
<li>Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. </li>
<li>Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce). 
Among the stocks NPS increased its stake, many of them are clear beneficiaries of the end of zero COVID policies in China including Hotel Shilla, Amorepacific Corp, and GKL. 
Among the top market cap stocks where the NPS decreased its stake by 1% or more, they include Lg Innotek, Hyundai E&amp;C, Hyundai Mipo, and Posco International. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-store-4672b817-5076-408e-bcad-1a3e48b03c2a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35800:1" rel="noopener">ONE Store (ONE KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$228m in its upcoming Korean IPO.</li>
<li>One Store is a mobile app market platform, formed by a cooperation between South Korea’s three telecom carriers, together with Naver Corp, an internet firm in South Korea.</li>
<li>By cutting its commission take rate to attract developers, the firm has managed to turnaround its transaction volume in FY18, leading it to record consecutive quarters of growth.</li>
</ul>



ONE Store (ONE KS) is looking to raise up to US$228m in its upcoming Korean IPO.
One Store is a mobile app market platform, formed by a cooperation between South Korea’s three telecom carriers, together with Naver Corp, an internet firm in South Korea.
By cutting its commission take rate to attract developers, the firm has managed to turnaround its transaction volume in FY18, leading it to record consecutive quarters of growth.


One Store Pre-IPO - Track Record Has Been Strong, Questions Surround Its Choice of Peers

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<p>Starting this year, KRX will rebalance the KOSPI size index series (LargeCap, MidCap, and SmallCap) twice a year. Until last year, it was done once a year in March (the option expiration date). <span>However, from this year, the rebalancing is done twice a year, in March and September.</span></p><div class="content-highlight"><ul>
<li><strong>The screening method is simple and clear. It is based on the 3-month average daily market cap.</strong></li>
<li><strong>LargeCap includes 1st to 100th, and MidCap takes 101st to 300th.</strong></li>
<li><strong>The screening base date is the last trading day of February and August. So, this September rebalancing review period is June 1 to August 31.</strong></li>
</ul></div><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/227/642/original/Screen+Shot+2021-09-02+at+10.06.47+PM.png?1630634901" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="227642"></figure></section>

Starting this year, KRX will rebalance the KOSPI size index series (LargeCap, MidCap, and SmallCap) twice a year. Until last year, it was done once a year in March (the option expiration date). However, from this year, the rebalancing is done twice a year, in March and September.
The screening method is simple and clear. It is based on the 3-month average daily market cap.
LargeCap includes 1st to 100th, and MidCap takes 101st to 300th.
The screening base date is the last trading day of February and August. So, this September rebalancing review period is June 1 to August 31.


KOSPI LargeCap & MidCap Rebalancing Preview on September 9

South Korea

KIWOOM Securities Co., Ltd. is an online financial institution.  The Company offers equity and fixed income securities brokerage, dealing, and underwriting services.  Kiwoom Securities provides its services to individual investors.

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Kiwoom Securities (039490 KS)

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

What Is NPS Buying & Selling?

In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce).

Douglas Kim

One Store Pre-IPO - Track Record Has Been Strong, Questions Surround Its Choice of Peers

ONE Store (ONE KS) is looking to raise up to US$228m in its Korean IPO. One Store is a mobile app market platform, formed by a cooperation between...

Clarence Chu

KOSPI LargeCap & MidCap Rebalancing Preview on September 9

This post previews KOSPI Size Index Series rebalancing that is again scheduled for September 9, the same day as the KRX BBIG index.

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase...

Douglas Kim

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

What Is NPS Buying & Selling?

In this insight, we discuss a list of 60 stocks in Korea where NPS recently added or reduced 1% or more stake (27 adds and 33 reduce).

Douglas Kim

One Store Pre-IPO - Track Record Has Been Strong, Questions Surround Its Choice of Peers

ONE Store (ONE KS) is looking to raise up to US$228m in its Korean IPO. One Store is a mobile app market platform, formed by a cooperation between...

Clarence Chu

KOSPI LargeCap & MidCap Rebalancing Preview on September 9

This post previews KOSPI Size Index Series rebalancing that is again scheduled for September 9, the same day as the KRX BBIG index.

Sanghyun Park