Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.</li>
<li>Chairman Kim mentioned he has not done anything legally wrong. He will donate the entire amount (60.5 billion won) which was gained from selling 1.4 million shares of Daou Data. </li>
<li>We believe that Kiwoom Securities' share price could fall additional 10-30% in the next several weeks/months. This could be offset by a large share buyback &amp; cancellation by the company. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.
Chairman Kim mentioned he has not done anything legally wrong. He will donate the entire amount (60.5 billion won) which was gained from selling 1.4 million shares of Daou Data. 
We believe that Kiwoom Securities' share price could fall additional 10-30% in the next several weeks/months. This could be offset by a large share buyback &amp; cancellation by the company. 


Chairman Kim Ik-Rae of Daou Kiwoom Group Resigns & Says Sorry - But Is This Enough?

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The recent matched order operation's ringleader called in local major broadcasting companies for an interview and claimed the sell orders through SG on Monday were not from their CFD accounts.</li>
<li>The trigger is Kiwoom Securities' Chairman Kim, who created a continuous and rapid decline in stock prices and led to a vicious cycle of endless margin calls and covering orders.</li>
<li>Rather than fishing for a bottom for the eight stocks from this point on, it seems necessary to actively design positions aimed at Kiwoom Securities' legal risk-induced stock price decline.</li>
</ul>


The recent matched order operation's ringleader called in local major broadcasting companies for an interview and claimed the sell orders through SG on Monday were not from their CFD accounts.
The trigger is Kiwoom Securities' Chairman Kim, who created a continuous and rapid decline in stock prices and led to a vicious cycle of endless margin calls and covering orders.
Rather than fishing for a bottom for the eight stocks from this point on, it seems necessary to actively design positions aimed at Kiwoom Securities' legal risk-induced stock price decline.


We Should Aim at Kiwoom Securities' Potential Legal Risk-Induced Stock Price Decline

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.</li>
<li>Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.</li>
<li>As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective</li>
</ul>


It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.
Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.
As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective


Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  </li>
<li>The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out "banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs."</li>
<li>We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.</li>
</ul>


We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase social contribution on the Korean banking sector in 2023.  
The Korean banks underperformed in the past week due to President Yoon pointing out "banks and telcos need to share the increasing living costs."
We believe Kakao Bank is likely to underperform the market in the next several months as investors fear about greater competitive pressure, especially on the existing Internet banks.


President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

South Korea

KIWOOM Securities Co., Ltd. is an online financial institution.  The Company offers equity and fixed income securities brokerage, dealing, and underwriting services.  Kiwoom Securities provides its services to individual investors.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Kiwoom Securities (039490 KS)

Chairman Kim Ik-Rae of Daou Kiwoom Group Resigns & Says Sorry - But Is This Enough?

After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.

Douglas Kim

We Should Aim at Kiwoom Securities' Potential Legal Risk-Induced Stock Price Decline

This post investigates the new development of the recent matched order fraud incident and the potential trading opportunities on Kiwoom Securities.

Sanghyun Park

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chairman Kim Ik-Rae of Daou Kiwoom Group Resigns & Says Sorry - But Is This Enough?

After the market close today, Kim Ik-Rae (Chairman of the Daou Kiwoom Group) announced his resignation of the Chairman position.

Douglas Kim

We Should Aim at Kiwoom Securities' Potential Legal Risk-Induced Stock Price Decline

This post investigates the new development of the recent matched order fraud incident and the potential trading opportunities on Kiwoom Securities.

Sanghyun Park

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

President Yoon Calls for Greater Competition and Social Contribution by the Korean Banks

We discuss the increasing likelihood of formation of another Internet bank, challenger banks, and other measures to foster competition and increase...

Douglas Kim

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research