Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Notable constituent changes are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/connectwave-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7191:1" rel="noopener">Connectwave (119860 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-science-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18549:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Science (008930 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Among these, <strong>Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</strong> and <strong>KMW (032500 KS)</strong> are expected to receive the most significant flow impact (x ADTV) at the close of March 9th.</li>
<li>Since the flow size is concentrated within a fairly right trading window, between 2 pm and the close on the 9th, the degree of price impact should be relatively higher.</li>
</ul>


Notable constituent changes are Posco Chemical (003670 KS), Douzone Bizon (012510 KS), Ecopro (086520 KS), Connectwave (119860 KS), SK Innovation (096770 KS), KMW (032500 KS), &amp; Hanmi Science (008930 KS).
Among these, Douzone Bizon (012510 KS) and KMW (032500 KS) are expected to receive the most significant flow impact (x ADTV) at the close of March 9th.
Since the flow size is concentrated within a fairly right trading window, between 2 pm and the close on the 9th, the degree of price impact should be relatively higher.


K-New Deal Official Constituent Changes: Evaluating Flow Trading Opportunities

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

<ul>
<li>Another valuable long-short opportunity has arisen this time with K-New Deal rebalancing. The pair consists of Douzone Bizon and KMW, which have switched places in the Internet Index's top three.</li>
<li>Due to their relatively low trading volume, the passive flow size (x ADTV) that this pair will face at the closing price on March 9th is expected to be significant.</li>
<li>This creates sufficient opportunities for a Long-Short setup in terms of day or swing trading. As KMW is a constituent of the KOSDAQ 150, it is possible to short KMW.</li>
</ul>


Another valuable long-short opportunity has arisen this time with K-New Deal rebalancing. The pair consists of Douzone Bizon and KMW, which have switched places in the Internet Index's top three.
Due to their relatively low trading volume, the passive flow size (x ADTV) that this pair will face at the closing price on March 9th is expected to be significant.
This creates sufficient opportunities for a Long-Short setup in terms of day or swing trading. As KMW is a constituent of the KOSDAQ 150, it is possible to short KMW.


Long Short Setup on Douzone Bizon & KMW with K-New Deal Rebalancing on March 9

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.</li>
<li>We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical (003670 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon (012510 KS)</a>; the largest outflows are expected on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation (096770 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW (032500 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced towards end February and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
We forecast one add/delete for the Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Some Big Impact Names

<ul>
<li>Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.</li>
<li>The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.</li>
<li>So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.</li>
</ul>


Compared to the tightly crowded KOSPI 200, the sector ETFs' rebalancing flow trading appears relatively less crowded, which led to a significantly higher flow/price correlation on the rebalancing day.
The KRX now delivers the rebalancing results of the KRX Sector &amp; K-New Deal Indexes only to paying customers. This can increase the profit effect of acquiring prior information.
So, safe play, which builds up a position from the time this information is acquired, rather than an aggressive preemptive position build-up, can still obtain a sufficient level of juice.


Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

South Korea

KMW CO. LTD. manufactures a wide range of telecommunications devices and components.  The Company's products include multi-channel combiner units, power amplifiers, antenna front end units, code division multiple access (CDMA) optic repeaters, connectors, and cable assemblies.  KMW also produces microwave components.

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KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)

K-New Deal Official Constituent Changes: Evaluating Flow Trading Opportunities

This post comprehensively details KRX K-New Deal Indexes' rebalancing results and evaluates flow trading opportunities next week.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

We forecast one change to the Secondary Battery and Game indices and two changes to the BBIG Index. There are big flows and impact on a few stocks....

Brian Freitas

Long Short Setup on Douzone Bizon & KMW with K-New Deal Rebalancing on March 9

This post explores long-short setup opportunities on Douzone Bizon and KMW in the upcoming K-New Deal Index rebalancing on March 9th.

Sanghyun Park

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Some Big Impact Names

There are some high impact changes expected at the March rebalance of the New Deal indices mainly from changes to the top 3 stocks in the Battery...

Brian Freitas

Backtesting Implications: Korea Sector ETFs Rebalancing on the 8th

This post backtests the flow trading performance for the rebalancings of Korea's sector ETFs on the 8th and discusses unique patterns and...

Sanghyun Park

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