Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>Koei Tecmo possesses a robust portfolio of established Intellectual Properties (IPs) which underpins a multi-layered revenue strategy, including new titles, series development, collaborations, and licensing, ensuring stable and profitable growth.</li>
 <li>The company exhibits exceptionally high profitability, with operating profit margins consistently targeted at 30% or higher, supported by a strong financial position with a high equity ratio and minimal debt.</li>
 <li>A unique and significant contributor to profitability is the company's active investment and asset management, which at times generates income surpassing the core video game business, though this also introduces a different risk profile.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  Koei Tecmo possesses a robust portfolio of established Intellectual Properties (IPs) which underpins a multi-layered revenue strategy, including new titles, series development, collaborations, and licensing, ensuring stable and profitable growth.
  The company exhibits exceptionally high profitability, with operating profit margins consistently targeted at 30% or higher, supported by a strong financial position with a high equity ratio and minimal debt.
  A unique and significant contributor to profitability is the company's active investment and asset management, which at times generates income surpassing the core video game business, though this also introduces a different risk profile.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Koei Tecmo Holdings (3635 JP) - Aug 2026

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Navitas Semi surged +24.9% after announcing two new additions to its 5th generation GeneSiC silicon carbide power semiconductor platform.</li>
<li>Sony is reportedly going ahead with the release of its PS6 console sometime in 2027-2028 despite the risk of a memory supply crunch.</li>
<li>Nintendo surged 8.9% after new Pokémon game ‘Pokopia’ was a surprise worldwide hit with physical copies fully sold out in the US.</li>
</ul>


Navitas Semi surged +24.9% after announcing two new additions to its 5th generation GeneSiC silicon carbide power semiconductor platform.
Sony is reportedly going ahead with the release of its PS6 console sometime in 2027-2028 despite the risk of a memory supply crunch.
Nintendo surged 8.9% after new Pokémon game ‘Pokopia’ was a surprise worldwide hit with physical copies fully sold out in the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Markets Grind Higher with Bright Spots Despite Ongoing Uncertainty

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in latest Int’l Compass (1/9/2025) how viewed the pullback as buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US.
$116 support held perfectly and we expect upside to continue following 1+ month bull flag breakouts, followed by successful retests of support, on ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500.
We also upgraded Germany to overweight last week, with RS on the DAX breaking out from a 2-year base. U.S. (SPX) and Germany are our only two country overweights.


Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Japan

Koei Tecmo Holdings Co.,Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Koei Co., Ltd. and Tecmo Ltd. The Company develops and distributes video game software for personal computers and home video game consoles. The Company also operates other media business such as marketing of books and CDs and amusement facility operation.

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Koei Tecmo Holdings (3635 JP)

Primer: Koei Tecmo Holdings (3635 JP) - Aug 2026

Koei Tecmo possesses a robust portfolio of established Intellectual Properties (IPs) which underpins a multi-layered revenue strategy, including...

αSK Primers

Japan Morning Connection: Markets Grind Higher with Bright Spots Despite Ongoing Uncertainty

Markets managed to put on a brave face despite the higher oil price and mixed messaging. Defense stocks softened after Rheinmetall missed earnings.

Andrew Jackson

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI ACWI Ex-US and EAFE

Remain Risk-On With Market Dynamics Improving; 6+ Month Base Breakouts for MSCI $ACWI ex-US and $EAFE; U.S. Dollar $DXY and 10-Year Yields $TNX...

Vermilion Research

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

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