Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KKR HKE Investment is offering 30m shares (12.86% of shares out) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> in a secondary offering that could raise up to JPY 91bn (US$620m).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will become the largest shareholder in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> after the placement.</li>
<li>There will not be a lot of buying from passive trackers following the placement, but it could ease the way for inclusion of the stock in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


KKR HKE Investment is offering 30m shares (12.86% of shares out) of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) in a secondary offering that could raise up to JPY 91bn (US$620m).

Applied Materials (AMAT US) will become the largest shareholder in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) after the placement.
There will not be a lot of buying from passive trackers following the placement, but it could ease the way for inclusion of the stock in the Nikkei 225 Index.


Kokusai Electric (6525 JP): Small Index Impact for Now, but Could Lead to Something Bigger

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On July 9, 2025, KKR announced it would reduce its stake in Kokusai Electric from ~23.5% to ~10.6% through a ¥90 billion overnight secondary offering.</li>
<li>KKR’s move reflects a classic private equity monetization strategy following operational improvements and a successful IPO.</li>
<li>While the sale caused a modest short-term share reaction (~2% dip), such liquidity events rarely impact long-term value—fundamentals remain the key driver for patient investors.</li>
</ul>


On July 9, 2025, KKR announced it would reduce its stake in Kokusai Electric from ~23.5% to ~10.6% through a ¥90 billion overnight secondary offering.
KKR’s move reflects a classic private equity monetization strategy following operational improvements and a successful IPO.
While the sale caused a modest short-term share reaction (~2% dip), such liquidity events rarely impact long-term value—fundamentals remain the key driver for patient investors.


Kokusai Electric (TSE: 6525) – KKR’s Secondary Sale Marks Typical PE Exit

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After the close today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> announced that large holder (and original PE owner) KKR HKE Investment LP would sell down 30mm shares or 12.88% of shares out.</li>
<li>This is not expected, but also not unexpected - it's exactly a year since the first selldown. There is a decent-sized short position, and it isn't a huge offering.</li>
<li>This changes two aspects of the future supply/demand balance. Both are important for how this trades in coming months.</li>
</ul>


After the close today, Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) announced that large holder (and original PE owner) KKR HKE Investment LP would sell down 30mm shares or 12.88% of shares out.
This is not expected, but also not unexpected - it's exactly a year since the first selldown. There is a decent-sized short position, and it isn't a huge offering.
This changes two aspects of the future supply/demand balance. Both are important for how this trades in coming months.


[Japan ECM] Kokusai Elec (6525) Offering - Expect It Very Well Bid, and the Back End Squeezy

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>'s (KE) stock.</li>
<li>KKR had sold in the IPO and undertaken an extended selldown in July 2024 as well. Hence, this deal is somewhat well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)'s (KE) stock.
KKR had sold in the IPO and undertaken an extended selldown in July 2024 as well. Hence, this deal is somewhat well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kokusai Electric Placement - Well Flagged but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

<ul>
<li>Kokusai has delivered steady growth, with revenue rising from ¥181.8B in FY2021 to ¥238.9B in FY2025 and a strong rebound in profitability.</li>
<li>It plans to expand capacity, grow service revenue beyond 35%, and launch next-gen tools for GAA logic and 3D memory.</li>
<li>At ~22x P/E and 12.5x EV/EBITDA, valuations appear fair given its scale, but upside exists if GAA traction and service leverage play out.</li>
</ul>


Kokusai has delivered steady growth, with revenue rising from ¥181.8B in FY2021 to ¥238.9B in FY2025 and a strong rebound in profitability.
It plans to expand capacity, grow service revenue beyond 35%, and launch next-gen tools for GAA logic and 3D memory.
At ~22x P/E and 12.5x EV/EBITDA, valuations appear fair given its scale, but upside exists if GAA traction and service leverage play out.


Kokusai Electric (TSE: 6525): Niche Leader in Batch Deposition Tools

Japan

Kokusai Electric Corporation manufactures and distributes semiconductor manufacturing systems. The Company produces batch processing systems, single wafer processing systems, and other systems. Kokusai Electric also operates advanced thermal process technology development, training, and other businesses.

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Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)