Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We believe that there is a relatively high probability that the Korean government will lower the highest corporate tax rate bracket from 25% to 22% starting next year.</li>
<li>A 3% change in corporate tax rate should result in about 4% higher net profit for Korean companies.</li>
<li>Among the top 30 companies in Korea, we believe the companies with the biggest impact on lowering their tax rates include LG Electronics, Naver, Kakao Corp, SK Innovation, and KT&amp;G. </li>
</ul>


We believe that there is a relatively high probability that the Korean government will lower the highest corporate tax rate bracket from 25% to 22% starting next year.
A 3% change in corporate tax rate should result in about 4% higher net profit for Korean companies.
Among the top 30 companies in Korea, we believe the companies with the biggest impact on lowering their tax rates include LG Electronics, Naver, Kakao Corp, SK Innovation, and KT&amp;G. 


Lower Corporate Tax Rate in Korea Could Be an Extra Alpha Kicker

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,525.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,927mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SamsungElecMech, SKTelecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,525.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,927mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SamsungElecMech, SKTelecom.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 24th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SamsungElecMech

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>On 28 May, Korea's National Pension Fund (NPS) announced its new <a href="https://news.mt.co.kr/mtview.php?no=2021052820172973220" target="_blank" rel="noopener">5 year plan</a> to reduce the asset allocation of Korean equities to 14.5% of total assets at the end of 2026, down from the current target of 16.8% of total assets at the end of 2021. NPS now is targeting overseas equity asset allocation targets to increase from 25.1% at the end of 2021 to 35.5% at the end of 2026.</p>
<p>NPS is targeting equity, fixed income and alternative assets to account for 50%, 35%, and 15% of total assets by the end of 2026. NPS has set an annual expected return of 5.1% for its total invested assets from 2021 to 2026.</p>
</div>


On 28 May, Korea's National Pension Fund (NPS) announced its new 5 year plan to reduce the asset allocation of Korean equities to 14.5% of total assets at the end of 2026, down from the current target of 16.8% of total assets at the end of 2021. NPS now is targeting overseas equity asset allocation targets to increase from 25.1% at the end of 2021 to 35.5% at the end of 2026.
NPS is targeting equity, fixed income and alternative assets to account for 50%, 35%, and 15% of total assets by the end of 2026. NPS has set an annual expected return of 5.1% for its total invested assets from 2021 to 2026.


NPS Announces A Reduction in Asset Allocation in Korean Equities to 14.5% of Assets by 2026

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Asia is the focal region globally where nuclear power is growing significantly to meet its increasing demand for clean electricity. There are approximately 135 operable nuclear power reactors, with 35 under construction - around two-thirds of the reactors under construction worldwide. China is the clear leader in nuclear generation growth.</p>
<p>There were divergent responses to the Fukushima accident, leading some countries to reassess their long-term domestic energy policy, while others experienced a short-term pause, before continuing with long-term strategies, with few to no changes. </p>
<p>The debate is ongoing whether nuclear power is a safe energy source for mitigating global climate change, or presents an unnecessary risk, given past disasters, coupled with the unavoidable by-product of radioactive waste. Additionally, renewable energy such as solar and wind has become increasingly competitive and sustainable.</p>
<p>For countries such as China, India, and South Korea, there remain solid economic reasons for the expansion of global nuclear power, and its role in lowering emissions from energy production.</p>
<p>The vast majority of nuclear power plants in Asia are operated by unlisted government entities; or in Japan, the bulk of reactors remain in shutdown mode after Fukushima.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power Co Ltd H (1816 HK)</a> is one of the few listed nuclear pure-plays in Asia, and trades at undemanding multiples, together with an attractive ROE and yield.</p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p><strong>What's Original?</strong></p>
<p>This insight presents a comprehensive view of the Asian nuclear energy industry, and its value chain</p>
</div>

Asia is the focal region globally where nuclear power is growing significantly to meet its increasing demand for clean electricity. There are approximately 135 operable nuclear power reactors, with 35 under construction - around two-thirds of the reactors under construction worldwide. China is the clear leader in nuclear generation growth.
There were divergent responses to the Fukushima accident, leading some countries to reassess their long-term domestic energy policy, while others experienced a short-term pause, before continuing with long-term strategies, with few to no changes. 
The debate is ongoing whether nuclear power is a safe energy source for mitigating global climate change, or presents an unnecessary risk, given past disasters, coupled with the unavoidable by-product of radioactive waste. Additionally, renewable energy such as solar and wind has become increasingly competitive and sustainable.
For countries such as China, India, and South Korea, there remain solid economic reasons for the expansion of global nuclear power, and its role in lowering emissions from energy production.
The vast majority of nuclear power plants in Asia are operated by unlisted government entities; or in Japan, the bulk of reactors remain in shutdown mode after Fukushima.
CGN Power Co Ltd H (1816 HK) is one of the few listed nuclear pure-plays in Asia, and trades at undemanding multiples, together with an attractive ROE and yield.

What's Original?
This insight presents a comprehensive view of the Asian nuclear energy industry, and its value chain


Asian Nuclear Energy Industry: The Value Chain

<div class="content-highlight"><p><strong>It has been reported in the past few days that <a href="http://www.koreaninvestors.com/?p=12175" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NPS</a> is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. </strong>NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.</p></div><h3>Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)</h3><ul>
<li>Negative Impact on VICE industries </li>
<li>Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries</li>
<li>Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries</li>
<li>Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD</li>
</ul>

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, &amp; governance) based investing for Korean stocks and bonds starting 2021. NPS has currently given a mandate to a company to help NPS to apply ESG based investment system. The ESG evaluations are expected to aid NPS to actively exercise shareholder rights and also to carry out negative screening of stocks.Implications of NPS Incorporating More ESG Criteria on Domestic Investments (Bonds &amp; Stocks)
Negative Impact on VICE industries 
Positive Impact on Renewable Energy Industries
Negative Impact on Coal &amp; Oil Industries
Greater Representation of Women in Senior Management Team/BOD


NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

South Korea

Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to South Korea for a variety of uses. The Company also builds and operates hydro-power, thermal-power, and nuclear power units in South Korea.

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Korea Electric Power (KEPCO) (KEP US)

Lower Corporate Tax Rate in Korea Could Be an Extra Alpha Kicker

We believe that there is a relatively high probability that the Korean government will lower the highest corporate tax rate bracket from 25% to 22%...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 24th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE, SamsungElecMech

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, SKSQUARE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

NPS Announces A Reduction in Asset Allocation in Korean Equities to 14.5% of Assets by 2026

On 28 May, NPS announced its new 5 year plan to reduce the asset allocation of Korean equities to 14.5% of total assets at the end of 2026, down...

Douglas Kim

Asian Nuclear Energy Industry: The Value Chain

China leads the world in nuclear generation growth. CGN Power appears undemanding at 7.8x PER and 1.4x PB, with a 10.6% ROE (vs. 9% for peers). A...

David Blennerhassett

NPS - Greater Emphasis of ESG Based Investing for Korean Stocks & Bonds Starting 2021

It has been reported in the past few days that NPS is likely to put a greater emphasis on ESG (environmental, social, & governance) based...

Douglas Kim

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