Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 3 June, the shares of Korea Gas jumped limit up 30% to 38,700 won on huge volume (13.4 million), which was 37x higher than the previous day volume traded. </li>
<li>This was driven by the announcement of the South Korean President Yoon giving the approval to conduct exploratory drilling for potentially vast oil and gas prospects near Pohang. </li>
<li>The Korean government announced that there is a "very high" possibility the area contains as much as 14 billion barrels of oil and gas.</li>
</ul>


On 3 June, the shares of Korea Gas jumped limit up 30% to 38,700 won on huge volume (13.4 million), which was 37x higher than the previous day volume traded. 
This was driven by the announcement of the South Korean President Yoon giving the approval to conduct exploratory drilling for potentially vast oil and gas prospects near Pohang. 
The Korean government announced that there is a "very high" possibility the area contains as much as 14 billion barrels of oil and gas.


<ul>
<li>It was reported today in numerous local media that there will be an inclusion of 'shareholder value improvement' management evaluation criteria for listed government enterprises.</li>
<li>Some of these listed government enterprises rallied strongly today (KEPCO - up 10%; KOGAS - up 12.7%; Korea District Heating - Up 30%). </li>
<li>The detailed evaluation criteria for management evaluation of government enterprises will include the appropriateness of dividend levels, protection of minority shareholders, and compliance with best practices for ESG improvement.</li>
</ul>


It was reported today in numerous local media that there will be an inclusion of 'shareholder value improvement' management evaluation criteria for listed government enterprises.
Some of these listed government enterprises rallied strongly today (KEPCO - up 10%; KOGAS - up 12.7%; Korea District Heating - Up 30%). 
The detailed evaluation criteria for management evaluation of government enterprises will include the appropriateness of dividend levels, protection of minority shareholders, and compliance with best practices for ESG improvement.


Inclusion of 'Shareholder Value Improvement' Mgmt Evaluation Reforms for Listed Govt Enterprises

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

<ul>
<li>There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.</li>
<li>The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 adds and 7 deletes for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
There are also a bunch of stocks that will have changes applied to their free float. There were announced last week and are much less tracked.
The flows and impact on some of the float change names are significant and pre-positioning and passive flows could move the stocks over the next few days.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

South Korea

Korea Gas Corporation manufactures, wholesales, and distributes liquefied natural gas (LNG) and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) throughout South Korea. The Company also constructs and operates LNG receiving terminals and supplying networks for domestic distribution.  Korea Gas invests in LNG suppliers in Oman and Qatar.

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Korea Gas (036460 KS)

Korea Gas Corp: Drill Baby Drill

KOGAS shares jumped 30% driven by the announcement of the South Korean President Yoon giving the approval to conduct exploratory drilling for...

Douglas Kim

Inclusion of 'Shareholder Value Improvement' Mgmt Evaluation Reforms for Listed Govt Enterprises

It was reported today in numerous local media that there will be an inclusion of 'shareholder value improvement' management evaluation criteria for...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Float Changes, Flows & Trades

There are significant flows and impact on some stocks that have float changes at the upcoming KOSPI2 rebalance. With over 5 days ADV to buy,...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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