Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK hynix (000660 KS)</a> gained 6.1% in September and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 9.6%, yet combined long-ETF AUM declined 2.7%.</li>
<li>All seven long-leveraged ETFs recorded reductions in units outstanding, while September net outflows reached KRW 514bn and daily flow activity remained subdued.</li>
<li>In contrast, the inverse ETF’s units outstanding more than doubled and its market capitalisation increased 68%, despite the product losing 17.0% during September.</li>
</ul>



SK hynix (000660 KS) gained 6.1% in September and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 9.6%, yet combined long-ETF AUM declined 2.7%.
All seven long-leveraged ETFs recorded reductions in units outstanding, while September net outflows reached KRW 514bn and daily flow activity remained subdued.
In contrast, the inverse ETF’s units outstanding more than doubled and its market capitalisation increased 68%, despite the product losing 17.0% during September.


SK Hynix (000660 KS): Inverse 2x ETF Units Double as Long 2x ETF Outflows Persist

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> gained 9.8% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 18.3%, but redemptions limited AUM growth to 15%.</li>
<li>Units declined across every long-leveraged ETF, while the inverse product added 10% more units despite losing 20.2%.</li>
<li>Annualised 21-day volatility fell from approximately 135% to 42%, coinciding with regulatory restrictions and a collapse in leveraged ETF flows and turnover.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) gained 9.8% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 18.3%, but redemptions limited AUM growth to 15%.
Units declined across every long-leveraged ETF, while the inverse product added 10% more units despite losing 20.2%.
Annualised 21-day volatility fell from approximately 135% to 42%, coinciding with regulatory restrictions and a collapse in leveraged ETF flows and turnover.


Samsung Elec (005930 KS): Volatility Falls as 2x ETF Trading Activity Slumps

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.</li>
<li>
Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company </li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.

Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company 


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK hynix (000660 KS)</a> gained 11.2% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 20.9%, but combined AUM increased only 10% as redemptions offset performance.</li>
<li>Units outstanding fell across all seven long leveraged ETFs. In contrast, units in the inverse product more than doubled and its market capitalisation rose 56%, despite negative performance.</li>
<li>Annualised 21-day volatility more than halved from its late-July peak of 179% to 55%. The decline coincided with the collapse in ETF trading activity and fund flows following regulatory changes.</li>
</ul>



SK hynix (000660 KS) gained 11.2% in September MTD and its 2x Leveraged Index rose 20.9%, but combined AUM increased only 10% as redemptions offset performance.
Units outstanding fell across all seven long leveraged ETFs. In contrast, units in the inverse product more than doubled and its market capitalisation rose 56%, despite negative performance.
Annualised 21-day volatility more than halved from its late-July peak of 179% to 55%. The decline coincided with the collapse in ETF trading activity and fund flows following regulatory changes.


SK Hynix (000660 KS): Volatility Falls to 55% as Leveraged ETF Activity Fades

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Earnings season keeps several regional markets busy through early to mid-August. Meanwhile, three central banks in the region are scheduled to hold monetary policy meetings spaced across the month.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.

Highlights: Earnings season keeps several regional markets busy through early to mid-August. Meanwhile, three central banks in the region are scheduled to hold monetary policy meetings spaced across the month.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


The Month Ahead: Key Events in August 2025

South Korea

The KOSPI 200 Index is a capitalization-weighted index of 200 Korean stocks which make up 93% of the total market value of the Korea Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 3, 1990.

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

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Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)

SK Hynix (000660 KS): Inverse 2x ETF Units Double as Long 2x ETF Outflows Persist

September gains failed to reverse outflows from SK hynix (000660 KS) long 2x leveraged ETFs, while investors added inverse exposure despite the...

Gaudenz Schneider

Samsung Elec (005930 KS): Volatility Falls as 2x ETF Trading Activity Slumps

Despite positive performance, redemptions persisted across long-leveraged ETFs, while the inverse product attracted new units. Falling activity...

Gaudenz Schneider

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

SK Hynix (000660 KS): Volatility Falls to 55% as Leveraged ETF Activity Fades

Despite positive performance, some long-leveraged ETFs lost AUM, while the inverse product attracted significant assets. Collapsing investor...

Gaudenz Schneider

The Month Ahead: Key Events in August 2025

Three central banks (India, Australia, South Korea) decide on rates. Earnings season continues in South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and India, and is...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)