Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Since 2x leveraged ETFs linked to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK hynix (000660 KS)</a> launched in late May, volatility in the underlying stock has increased significantly.</li>
<li>Although daily rebalancing can amplify price moves, the data do not indicate that it does so systematically.</li>
<li>Overnight and intraday returns are largely uncorrelated across the sample, although they tend to reinforce each other on days with extreme moves.</li>
</ul>


Since 2x leveraged ETFs linked to SK hynix (000660 KS) launched in late May, volatility in the underlying stock has increased significantly.
Although daily rebalancing can amplify price moves, the data do not indicate that it does so systematically.
Overnight and intraday returns are largely uncorrelated across the sample, although they tend to reinforce each other on days with extreme moves.


SK Hynix (000660 KS): 130% Volatility and 2x Leveraged ETF Rebalancing

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Global Healthcare ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.</li>
<li>MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).</li>
<li>This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe</li>
</ul>


As recently as last week and throughout February/March we have recommended shifting to defensives due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on the $ACWI in 2023.
MSCI ACWI defensive Sectors including Health Care, Utilities, and Consumer Staples are hitting 2+ month RS highs, and are staging bullish price and RS reversals, as are gold miners (GDX-US).
This confirms our belief that now is the time to be tactically overweight defensives. We highlight buys in Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities, with the vast majority from Europe


Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

<ul>
<li>At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.</li>
<li>The bullish response to the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 61750 in Q1 2023 has been impulsive. </li>
<li>KIA Corp is set to challenge the top of the 2021/2023 parallel downtrend channel around 78500. A break above the channel will confirm aggressive topside targets (90000/100000).</li>
</ul>


At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.
The bullish response to the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 61750 in Q1 2023 has been impulsive. 
KIA Corp is set to challenge the top of the 2021/2023 parallel downtrend channel around 78500. A break above the channel will confirm aggressive topside targets (90000/100000).


KIA Corp (000270 KS): Response to LT Trend Channel Resistance (78500) Is Key to a Bullish Outlook

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.</li>
<li>Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally that we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral.
Buy ideas on a pullback in: Consumer Discretionary, Energy, and Technology/Tech Services


Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following the ATO session.</li>
<li>Considerable losses extended when selling pressure spread from Real Estates sector to other sectors.</li>
<li>After lunch, the index dropped to the lowest daily level of 969.7 pts (-2.8% DoD) at 13:05 and recovered to close at 975.2 pts (-2.2% DoD).</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following the ATO session.
Considerable losses extended when selling pressure spread from Real Estates sector to other sectors.
After lunch, the index dropped to the lowest daily level of 969.7 pts (-2.8% DoD) at 13:05 and recovered to close at 975.2 pts (-2.2% DoD).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

South Korea

The KOSPI Index is a capitalization-weighted index of all common shares on the Korean Stock Exchanges. The Index was developed with a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1980. Note: The preferred shares are excluded in calculating the KOSPI Index from June 14, 2002. 

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

SK Hynix (000660 KS): 130% Volatility and 2x Leveraged ETF Rebalancing

This Insight examines the extent to which daily rebalancing by 2x leveraged ETFs accounts for the recent surge in SK hynix’s volatility.

Gaudenz Schneider

Defensives Worthy of a Tactical Overweight; Buys in Global Health Care, Gold Miners, and Utilities

We have recommended shifting to defensives throughout Feb/March due to our belief that $93 will cap upside on $ACWI. We highlight buys within...

Vermilion Research

KIA Corp (000270 KS): Response to LT Trend Channel Resistance (78500) Is Key to a Bullish Outlook

30+ years as a technical analyst and a razor sharp focus on momentum confirmation delivered TMA a 75% unleveraged return on our 7 Smartkarma...

David Coloretti, CMT

Bullish Reversals Continue: TAIEX, KOSPI, AEX, Hang Seng, CSI 300. Buy Cyclicals/Growth on Pullbacks

Bullish reversals: Taiwan $TAIEX, Korea $KOSPI, Netherlands' $AEX reversing YTD downtrends, while Hang Seng $HSI and China's CSI 300 are reversing...

Vermilion Research

Vietnam Stock Market - A Market Sell-Off

As bearishness prevailed, VNIndex experienced a severe decline after instantly reaching the highest daily level of 996.1 pts (-0.1% DoD) following...

Mirae Asset Securities