Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Cross-Market volatility snapshot highlighting option opportunities. Today's opportunities are in the Nifty 50 and in Bitcoin</li>
<li>Nifty 50: The index crossed the 50-day moving average, signaling a bullish trend. Hedging gains is recommended due to expected macroeconomic uncertainty in Q1 2025.</li>
<li>Bitcoin: Surpassed $100,000, driven by positive sentiment towards the incoming US President's crypto-friendly stance. Options strategies are suggested, plus how a synthetic Bitcoin bond compares to a corporate bond.</li>
</ul>


Cross-Market volatility snapshot highlighting option opportunities. Today's opportunities are in the Nifty 50 and in Bitcoin
Nifty 50: The index crossed the 50-day moving average, signaling a bullish trend. Hedging gains is recommended due to expected macroeconomic uncertainty in Q1 2025.
Bitcoin: Surpassed $100,000, driven by positive sentiment towards the incoming US President's crypto-friendly stance. Options strategies are suggested, plus how a synthetic Bitcoin bond compares to a corporate bond.


EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - From Nifty 50 to Bitcoin, Plus BTC-Bond Special

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a> will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market from the open of trading on 24 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-d-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29151:1" rel="noopener">E&amp;D Co Ltd (101360 KS)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 21 June to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paradise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14940:1" rel="noopener">Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS)</a> belongs to the Consumer Discretionary sector and there is a possibility of inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
</ul>



Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market from the open of trading on 24 June.

E&amp;D Co Ltd (101360 KS) will be added to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 21 June to replace Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS). 

Paradise Co Ltd (034230 KS) belongs to the Consumer Discretionary sector and there is a possibility of inclusion to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

<ul>
<li>There will be 16 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.</li>
<li>Making use of their discretionary powers, the index committee has not added <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wonik-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6485:1" rel="noopener">Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd (030530 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samhyun-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40872:1" rel="noopener">Samhyun (437730 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> to the index.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> over the last 6 months and there has been a short-term move higher too. Watch out for short covering.</li>
</ul>


There will be 16 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 11 December.
Making use of their discretionary powers, the index committee has not added Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd (030530 KS), Samhyun (437730 KS) and Fadu (440110 KS) to the index.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index over the last 6 months and there has been a short-term move higher too. Watch out for short covering.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 16 Changes a Side; Fadu a Casualty Yet Again

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the December rebalance complete, we highlight 17 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.1-3.2 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.7-11.2 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months with a big move higher in the last couple of months. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

South Korea

KOSDAQ 150 Index is a base index for futures trading to hedge risks in KOSDAQ market. Base period and base index : Jan 4, 2010, 1,000p

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
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KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - From Nifty 50 to Bitcoin, Plus BTC-Bond Special

Opportunities in Nifty 50 and Bitcoin options due to bullish trends and positive sentiment. Global volatility overview of 15+ markets and...

Gaudenz Schneider

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

Eco&Dream will replace Paradise Co in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on Friday. Paradise Co could be added to the KOSPI200 Index in December...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 16 Changes a Side; Fadu a Casualty Yet Again

There are 16 changes a side for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. The index committee has decided not to add Fadu for yet another review. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

There could be 17 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in Dec. Use of discretion could lead to fewer changes. The forecast adds have hugely outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - From Nifty 50 to Bitcoin, Plus BTC-Bond Special

​Opportunities in Nifty 50 and Bitcoin options due to bullish trends and positive sentiment. Global volatility overview of 15+ markets and...

Gaudenz Schneider

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Eco&Dream to Replace Paradise Co

Eco&Dream will replace Paradise Co in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on Friday. Paradise Co could be added to the KOSPI200 Index in December...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 16 Changes a Side; Fadu a Casualty Yet Again

There are 16 changes a side for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. The index committee has decided not to add Fadu for yet another review. Short interest is...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Number of Changes Likely in December; Huge Outperformance

There could be 17 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in Dec. Use of discretion could lead to fewer changes. The forecast adds have hugely outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Opportunities in Nifty 50 and Bitcoin options due to bullish trends and positive sentiment. Global volatility overview of 15+ markets and...