Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> in June. Most of the adds and all of the deletes were forecast.</li>
<li>The index committee have used their discretion and kept <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snh-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12212:1" rel="noopener">Snh Inc (051980 KS)</a> out of the index for yet another rebalance - no reason provided.</li>
<li>There's been little movement in the relative performance of the adds/deletes the last few months. The announcement of the changes could see the stocks move over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) in June. Most of the adds and all of the deletes were forecast.
The index committee have used their discretion and kept Fadu (440110 KS) and Snh Inc (051980 KS) out of the index for yet another rebalance - no reason provided.
There's been little movement in the relative performance of the adds/deletes the last few months. The announcement of the changes could see the stocks move over the next few weeks.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Fadu Ignored Again

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the June rebalance complete, we highlight 11 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
The estimated impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.2-7.5 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.2-5.8 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6-7 months with a big move higher in the last month. Trim positions into strength.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The main issue with IFRS 18 is that it counts non-regular items like asset sales or FX gains as operating profit, potentially misleading investors about a company’s actual business performance.</li>
<li>As the Korean market might re-rate, companies with solid English IR materials could attract more global attention, creating trading opportunities, while others might face a significant flow gap.</li>
<li>As Blue Orca’s Soren Aandahl noted, small- and mid-cap stocks, especially those with English IR updates, could drive trading flows as the 2027 IFRS 18 rollout approaches.</li>
</ul>


The main issue with IFRS 18 is that it counts non-regular items like asset sales or FX gains as operating profit, potentially misleading investors about a company’s actual business performance.
As the Korean market might re-rate, companies with solid English IR materials could attract more global attention, creating trading opportunities, while others might face a significant flow gap.
As Blue Orca’s Soren Aandahl noted, small- and mid-cap stocks, especially those with English IR updates, could drive trading flows as the 2027 IFRS 18 rollout approaches.


New Trading Angle for Korean Market Re-Rating: Flow Gap from English IR Materials

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The resumption of short selling in Korea came at a good time for investors, giving them some additional tools to manage market volatility.</li>
<li>Short interest has increased from 0.17% to 0.23% of market cap for the KOSPI market and from 0.46% to 0.63% for the KOSDAR market.</li>
<li>The KOSPI/KOSDAQ ratio has reverted a bit on profit taking, and the forecast index deletions have recovered a bit but should continue to see increase short interest.</li>
</ul>


The resumption of short selling in Korea came at a good time for investors, giving them some additional tools to manage market volatility.
Short interest has increased from 0.17% to 0.23% of market cap for the KOSPI market and from 0.46% to 0.63% for the KOSDAR market.
The KOSPI/KOSDAQ ratio has reverted a bit on profit taking, and the forecast index deletions have recovered a bit but should continue to see increase short interest.


Korea Short Selling: Biggest Changes in Shorts & Trade Performance

<ul>
<li>Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.</li>
<li>Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.</li>
</ul>


Short notional ticked higher on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets and is expected to continue increasing over the next few months.
Since the resumption of short selling, foreign holdings of Korean equities have increased from 29.26% to 29.3%.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) to KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) ratio has stayed stable over the last 3 trading days.


Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

South Korea

KOSDAQ 150 Index is a base index for futures trading to hedge risks in KOSDAQ market. Base period and base index : Jan 4, 2010, 1,000p

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KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 9 Changes as Fadu Ignored Again

There are 9 changes as Fadu and Joongang AM have been kept out of the index again. Passive impact varies from 0.2-8.6x ADV. Performance has been...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Around the Corner

We highlight 11 potential changes for the index in June. Impact varies from 0.2-7.5x ADV. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes...

Brian Freitas

New Trading Angle for Korean Market Re-Rating: Flow Gap from English IR Materials

This post discusses a new trading angle for the Korean stock market re-rating: the flow gap created by providing English IR materials.

Sanghyun Park

Korea Short Selling: Biggest Changes in Shorts & Trade Performance

The resumption of short selling in Korea has come at an opportune time as market volatility spikes. Short notional has increased but is still a...

Brian Freitas

Korea Short Selling: What Happened on Day 1?

Short notional has increased as has foreign ownership of Korean equities. Stock selection will become increasingly important. The forecast index...

Brian Freitas

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