Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

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Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
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Highlights: Currently eight pairtrade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors.
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<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently eight pairtrade opportunities persist across three markets and five sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/10% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~246 stocks) in Q1FY26</li><li>Ex-OMCs, aggregate YoY revenue/earnings growth for the quarter was 6%/5%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarterAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 5%/10% YoY across the HSIE coverage (~246 stocks) in Q1FY26Ex-OMCs, aggregate YoY revenue/earnings growth for the quarter was 6%/5%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

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Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finserv-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5669:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
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 Highlight: Going long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finserv-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5669:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a> targets a 4% return.</li>
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Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

 Highlight: Going long Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) and short Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) targets a 4% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): Fourth Stat Arb Signal for a Proven Pair

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was largely in line with our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY growth in Q1FY26, thereby broadly replicating systemic growth.</li><li>The PSU banks under our coverage reported ~12% YoY growth, and private banks (incl SFBs) posted 11% YoY growth.</li><li>The Q1 seasonality, alongside continued caution in the unsecured segments, weighed on credit growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was largely in line with our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY growth in Q1FY26, thereby broadly replicating systemic growth.The PSU banks under our coverage reported ~12% YoY growth, and private banks (incl SFBs) posted 11% YoY growth.The Q1 seasonality, alongside continued caution in the unsecured segments, weighed on credit growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

<ul><li>The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stance</li><li>While the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growth</li><li>Although asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few months</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining its neutral stanceWhile the RBI maintained its FY26 forecast for GDP growth at 6.5%, we believe that the RBI’s forecasts are subject to downside risks unless the system sees a meaningful rebound in bank credit growthAlthough asset yields have seen reasonably quick transmission by banks (71bps on fresh loans), aggregate bank credit growth has been clocking at sub-10% over the past few monthsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

India

Kotak Mahindra Bank is an Indian banking and financial services company that offers a comprehensive range of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers. These services include personal finance, investment banking, life insurance, wealth management, consumer banking, commercial banking, and treasury operations. The company provides deposit accounts, various loans, credit and debit cards, mutual funds, and insurance plans. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was founded in 1985 as Kotak Mahindra Finance Limited and received its banking license in 2003.

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Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter

HDFC Securities

Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): Fourth Stat Arb Signal for a Proven Pair

The proven Indian financials pair generates a fourth stat arb signal, creating a fresh pair trade opportunity. Essential for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was largely in line with our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY growth in Q1FY26, thereby broadly replicating...

Axis Direct

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (28 Sep 2026)

​Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth and downgrade cycle bottoming-out

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY26 earnings season was steady as sequential improvement in YoY PAT growth continued in the current quarter

HDFC Securities

Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): Fourth Stat Arb Signal for a Proven Pair

The proven Indian financials pair generates a fourth stat arb signal, creating a fresh pair trade opportunity. Essential for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Top Conviction Ideas - “Banks, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)”

Banks (incl. SFBs) credit growth was largely in line with our estimates, delivering an 11% YoY growth in Q1FY26, thereby broadly replicating...

Axis Direct

Leveraged Financials: Transmission Underway, Searching for Growth Catalysts

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its latest monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, maintained status quo on policy rates while also retaining...

HDFC Securities

Discover eight pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.