Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading 12 September.</li>
<li>There are changes expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> listing should result in more changes.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-future-m-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Future M</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-biopharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28966:1" rel="noopener">SK Biopharmaceuticals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douzone-bizon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20161:1" rel="noopener">Douzone Bizon</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3970:1" rel="noopener">SKC Co</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the changes will be announced in the first week of September and implemented at the close of trading 12 September.
There are changes expected for each of the Secondary Battery, Bio, Internet, Game and BBIG indices. The Shift Up (462870 KS) listing should result in more changes.
The largest flows will be in Posco Future M, Ecopro BM, SK Biopharmaceuticals, Alteogen, Douzone Bizon, SKC Co and Kakao Corp.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Kakao has begun talks with potential buyers for Kakao Games, with Krafton leading discussions directly using its own investment team.</li>
<li>Despite official denials, it's viewed as procedural. Local markets anticipate the deal due to no direct refutation beyond formal announcements.</li>
<li>A three-month compliance period from disclosure makes this quarter challenging, but completion announcement potential exists by Q4 this year.</li>
</ul>


Kakao has begun talks with potential buyers for Kakao Games, with Krafton leading discussions directly using its own investment team.
Despite official denials, it's viewed as procedural. Local markets anticipate the deal due to no direct refutation beyond formal announcements.
A three-month compliance period from disclosure makes this quarter challenging, but completion announcement potential exists by Q4 this year.


Exploring the Kakao Corp and Krafton Deal Potential for Kakao Games

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Institutions Report &lt;DnF Mobile&gt;'s First-Month Revenue Exceeds US$270mn; We Expected to Rise Further After June 20 Update(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; New Version Adds Two New Playable Modes, Positive Player Recall Performance(+)</li>
<li>BABA US/BIDU US:  LLM failed Chinese Gaokao with Math the biggest challenge(+/-)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Institutions Report &lt;DnF Mobile&gt;'s First-Month Revenue Exceeds US$270mn; We Expected to Rise Further After June 20 Update(+)
700 HK: Tencent's &lt;Peacekeeper Elite&gt; New Version Adds Two New Playable Modes, Positive Player Recall Performance(+)
BABA US/BIDU US:  LLM failed Chinese Gaokao with Math the biggest challenge(+/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABAUS/BIDUUS/TCOMUS/NTESUS/AAPLUS/002624 CH/259960KRX/NVDAUS

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." </li>
<li>We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.</li>
<li>Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.</li>
</ul>


Not much has changed since our latest Int'l Compass from May 31, 2024 titled "Buy the Pullback." 
We were buyers of the pullback in global equities (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, EM, Europe, Japan, Taiwan, etc.) with important supports holding, combined with ongoing healthy market dynamics.
Supports are holding, and our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. Continue to buy dips.


Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>FSS wants Nikke's MAU data to address revenue concerns. They also seek April and May sales data for Stellar Blade to address valuation concerns despite its recent launch.</li>
<li>Shift Up updated the prospectus with Nikke's increasing MAU data but didn't include Stellar Blade sales data. FSS may request further revisions, possibly delaying the IPO again.</li>
<li>Nikke's MAU has risen but plateaued versus the previous quarter, and uncertainty surrounds Stellar Blade's April-May sales, potentially impacting IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>


FSS wants Nikke's MAU data to address revenue concerns. They also seek April and May sales data for Stellar Blade to address valuation concerns despite its recent launch.
Shift Up updated the prospectus with Nikke's increasing MAU data but didn't include Stellar Blade sales data. FSS may request further revisions, possibly delaying the IPO again.
Nikke's MAU has risen but plateaued versus the previous quarter, and uncertainty surrounds Stellar Blade's April-May sales, potentially impacting IPO pricing.


What Did FSS Point Out to Shift Up? & What Impact Would It Have on Bookbuilding Sentiment?

South Korea

Krafton, Inc. operates as a game development company. The Company develops console games, mobile games, computer games, and other related products. Krafton markets its products throughout South Korea.

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Krafton (259960 KS)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It

There should be 1 change for each of the Battery, Bio and Game indices plus 2 changes for each of the Internet and BBIG indices. The Shift Up...

Brian Freitas

Exploring the Kakao Corp and Krafton Deal Potential for Kakao Games

This post delves into the potential deal between Kakao Corp and Krafton for Kakao Games, focusing on the timing of the deal and its structure,...

Sanghyun Park

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABAUS/BIDUUS/TCOMUS/NTESUS/AAPLUS/002624 CH/259960KRX/NVDAUS

DnF Mobile's first-month revenue exceeds $270mn, Tencent's Peacekeeper Elite adds new playable modes, and Chinese Gaokao math challenge affects LLM.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

What Did FSS Point Out to Shift Up? & What Impact Would It Have on Bookbuilding Sentiment?

This post investigates, based on the local market info, what FSS has pointed out to Shift Up for delaying the IPO schedule and explores their...

Sanghyun Park

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Change; Shift Up Listing Adds to It

There should be 1 change for each of the Battery, Bio and Game indices plus 2 changes for each of the Internet and BBIG indices. The Shift Up...

Brian Freitas

Exploring the Kakao Corp and Krafton Deal Potential for Kakao Games

This post delves into the potential deal between Kakao Corp and Krafton for Kakao Games, focusing on the timing of the deal and its structure,...

Sanghyun Park

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BABAUS/BIDUUS/TCOMUS/NTESUS/AAPLUS/002624 CH/259960KRX/NVDAUS

​DnF Mobile's first-month revenue exceeds $270mn, Tencent's Peacekeeper Elite adds new playable modes, and Chinese Gaokao math challenge affects LLM.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight; Europe Indexes Still Bullish (Price); Bullish Outlook Intact

Downgrading Europe to Market Weight $FEZ $STOXX; Europe Still Bullish From a Price Perspective; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI $EEM; Supports...

Vermilion Research

What Did FSS Point Out to Shift Up? & What Impact Would It Have on Bookbuilding Sentiment?

This post investigates, based on the local market info, what FSS has pointed out to Shift Up for delaying the IPO schedule and explores their...

Sanghyun Park

DnF Mobile's first-month revenue exceeds $270mn, Tencent's Peacekeeper Elite adds new playable modes, and Chinese Gaokao math challenge affects LLM.