Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> a.k.a. has been listed in the US since about the same time as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a>, and it had similar but minor tech issues pre-listing. </li>
<li>On Friday 16 December, the company announced it would conduct a Listing by Introduction in Hong Kong under the ticker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36622:1" rel="noopener">Zhipin (2076 HK)</a>, listing on 22 Dec. </li>
<li>That creates an interesting launch supply/demand dynamic, likely HS Tech inclusion in March 2023, and then Southbound much later in 2023.</li>
</ul>



Kanzhun (BZ US) a.k.a. has been listed in the US since about the same time as DiDi Global (DIDI US), and it had similar but minor tech issues pre-listing. 
On Friday 16 December, the company announced it would conduct a Listing by Introduction in Hong Kong under the ticker Zhipin (2076 HK), listing on 22 Dec. 
That creates an interesting launch supply/demand dynamic, likely HS Tech inclusion in March 2023, and then Southbound much later in 2023.


Boss Zhipin (2076 HK | BZ US) HK Dual Primary Listing on 22 Dec - Index, Southbound, and SPECIAL

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Equity Bottom-Up

Melco Resorts & Entertainment / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>As investors we are faced with a deluge of noisy breaking news, business media talking heads, and what has felt like non-stop Fed speakers offering their differing views on the economy and the path of rate hikes going in 2023. </li><li>This week was no different. Fed Chair Jay Powell was front and center suggesting that interest rate hikes will likely be stepped down to 50bps in the upcoming December Fed meeting in a few weeks. </li><li>This was already discounted and expected by the market and effectively didn’t offer much of anything Wall St. didn’t already know.</li></ul>

As investors we are faced with a deluge of noisy breaking news, business media talking heads, and what has felt like non-stop Fed speakers offering their differing views on the economy and the path of rate hikes going in 2023. This week was no different. Fed Chair Jay Powell was front and center suggesting that interest rate hikes will likely be stepped down to 50bps in the upcoming December Fed meeting in a few weeks. This was already discounted and expected by the market and effectively didn’t offer much of anything Wall St. didn’t already know.

<ul>
<li>In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> would seek to divest its $24bn stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.</li>
<li>The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" </li>
<li>With Q3 earnings, Tencent today <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/1116/2022111600357.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.</li>
</ul>


In mid-August at mid-day, a Reuters article suggested Tencent (700 HK) would seek to divest its $24bn stake in Meituan (3690 HK) this year. The stock fell 9% that afternoon.
The general underlying suggestion was that regulators wanted them to sell. Other articles suggested later both aspects were "untrue" 
With Q3 earnings, Tencent today announced a Jan23 distribution (Mar23 settlement) of 958,121,562 Meituan shares (1 for every 10 Tencent shares held). There are significant flow and index implications.


Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>US tech remains a top short theme as we near the mid April cycle peak point (another cycle peak due post Fed hike). Tech remains the key bear driver.</li>
<li>FANG bear triangulation, NDX timid bounce, wedge counter trend count in KWEB appears complete (bear wedge) with some color on Tencent's compelling bearish triangle setup for new lows.</li>
<li>Use July rally attempts to add to shorts for new chart lows in August/September. CPI print today a key input.</li>
</ul>


US tech remains a top short theme as we near the mid April cycle peak point (another cycle peak due post Fed hike). Tech remains the key bear driver.
FANG bear triangulation, NDX timid bounce, wedge counter trend count in KWEB appears complete (bear wedge) with some color on Tencent's compelling bearish triangle setup for new lows.
Use July rally attempts to add to shorts for new chart lows in August/September. CPI print today a key input.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.</li>
<li>Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.</li>
<li>This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.</li>
</ul>


A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.
Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.
This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.


Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

United States

KraneShares CSI China Internet Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The fund tracks the CSI Overseas China Internet Index. It invests in a universe of publicly traded China-based companies whose primary business is in the Internet and Internet-related sectors. It attempts to offer exposure to companies that benefit from increasing consumption by China's growing middle class.

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)

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KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)

Boss Zhipin (2076 HK | BZ US) HK Dual Primary Listing on 22 Dec - Index, Southbound, and SPECIAL

Kanzhun a.k.a. Boss Zhipin, the leading online recruitment platform in China, is listing in HK by way of Introduction. No offer. That means trading...

Travis Lundy

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 12/5

As investors we are faced with a deluge of noisy breaking news, business media talking heads, and what has felt like non-stop Fed speakers offering...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Tencent Distribution of Meituan Shares Official - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent will distribute 90% of its holdings in Meituan in an in-specie distribution, which goes ex- on 5 January and gets settled 24 March 2023....

Travis Lundy

FANG and HK Tech Bear Patterns

US tech remains a top short theme as we near the mid April cycle peak point (another cycle peak due post Fed hike). Tech remains the key bear driver.

Thomas Schroeder

Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

A bear market bounce is underway after the SPX, QQQ, and IWM found support at their respective downtrend channels. Until these indexes can break...

Vermilion Research

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