Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>From July's recent peak of US$17.3bn, onshore investors' net Southbound buying declined to US$14.3 bn in August. Average daily turnover continued to climb, reaching an all-time high of US$19.8bn.</li>
<li>Buying in Tencent, Xiaomi and Alibaba re-commenced, after selling for 3-4 months. The semiconductor giants - SMIC and Hua Hong - are being bought as well. </li>
<li>Investors' long-standing preferences for e-commerce, food delivery, biotech and dividends continue. Meituan and Kuaishou continue to be bought, despite the recent losses. Akeso, XTALPI and Innovent occupy the biotech space.</li>
</ul>


From July's recent peak of US$17.3bn, onshore investors' net Southbound buying declined to US$14.3 bn in August. Average daily turnover continued to climb, reaching an all-time high of US$19.8bn.
Buying in Tencent, Xiaomi and Alibaba re-commenced, after selling for 3-4 months. The semiconductor giants - SMIC and Hua Hong - are being bought as well. 
Investors' long-standing preferences for e-commerce, food delivery, biotech and dividends continue. Meituan and Kuaishou continue to be bought, despite the recent losses. Akeso, XTALPI and Innovent occupy the biotech space.


Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - Slowdown in August but Renewed Enthusiasm for Tech Superstars

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>The prospect of jumbo US rate cuts is juicing asset markets</li>
<li>Overseas Capital is starting to move into domestic Chinese equities</li>
<li>The Precious metals ETFs are breaking out -looking at laggards</li>
</ul>


The prospect of jumbo US rate cuts is juicing asset markets
Overseas Capital is starting to move into domestic Chinese equities
The Precious metals ETFs are breaking out -looking at laggards


Overview #32 – International Money Starts to Flow to Chinese Domestic Markets

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>TOP STORIES Policy / China’s Politburo strikes cautious tone on economy, signals flexible policy for second half At a Wednesday Politburo meeting, China’s top policymakers signaled a two-pronged economic strategy — maintaining policy stability while preparing for timely interventions.</li><li>The meeting came as China set the agenda for the Communist Party’s Fourth Plenary Session in October, which will focus on setting the 15th Five-Year Plan.</li><li>While acknowledging the economy’s steady performance — with growth holding above 5% for three consecutive quarters — the Politburo cautioned against emerging risks.</li></ul>

TOP STORIES Policy / China’s Politburo strikes cautious tone on economy, signals flexible policy for second half At a Wednesday Politburo meeting, China’s top policymakers signaled a two-pronged economic strategy — maintaining policy stability while preparing for timely interventions.The meeting came as China set the agenda for the Communist Party’s Fourth Plenary Session in October, which will focus on setting the 15th Five-Year Plan.While acknowledging the economy’s steady performance — with growth holding above 5% for three consecutive quarters — the Politburo cautioned against emerging risks.

CX Daily: China’s Politburo Strikes Cautious Tone on Economy

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.</li>
<li>The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. </li>
<li>Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> look appealing in 2H25.</li>
</ul>


Following a 20% rally in 1H25, the market has built in excessive optimism on the HSI. Historically, average returns for Jul-Oct are negative, suggesting caution is needed.
The top 10 best-performing constituents are sitting on 24x FY25F PER, much higher than 11x for the Index, implying that earnings excitement has been well factored in. 
Among the worst-performing ones in 1H25, BYD Electronics (285 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Techtronic Industries (669 HK) look appealing in 2H25.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due to intensifying competition among marketplace platforms.</li><li>Expanding quality supply, reducing merchant costs, and increasing core user transaction frequency are the priorities.</li><li>Looking ahead, we believe subsectors and companies having strong business model moats and less vulnerable to subsidy-driven competition may outperform, while firms with established ecosystems/network effects, higher margins, and substantial absolute profits will likely have stronger competitive positioning. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due to intensifying competition among marketplace platforms.Expanding quality supply, reducing merchant costs, and increasing core user transaction frequency are the priorities.Looking ahead, we believe subsectors and companies having strong business model moats and less vulnerable to subsidy-driven competition may outperform, while firms with established ecosystems/network effects, higher margins, and substantial absolute profits will likely have stronger competitive positioning. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

China

Kuaishou Technology is a Chinese publicly traded company that operates a leading content community and social platform. It primarily offers short video sharing, live streaming, online marketing services, and e-commerce. The company was founded in March 2011 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Price Gauge
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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - Slowdown in August but Renewed Enthusiasm for Tech Superstars

Southbound buying declined in Aug, but avg daily turnover hit an all-time high. Buying resumed in Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba & Hua Hong. Food...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Overview #32 – International Money Starts to Flow to Chinese Domestic Markets

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the Chinese breakout and laggards in the precious metal space

Rikki Malik

CX Daily: China’s Politburo Strikes Cautious Tone on Economy

TOP STORIES Policy / China’s Politburo strikes cautious tone on economy, signals flexible policy for second half At a Wednesday Politburo meeting,...

Caixin Global

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Southbound Monthly - Slowdown in August but Renewed Enthusiasm for Tech Superstars

Southbound buying declined in Aug, but avg daily turnover hit an all-time high. Buying resumed in Tencent, Xiaomi, Alibaba & Hua Hong. Food...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Overview #32 – International Money Starts to Flow to Chinese Domestic Markets

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the Chinese breakout and laggards in the precious metal space

Rikki Malik

CX Daily: China’s Politburo Strikes Cautious Tone on Economy

TOP STORIES Policy / China’s Politburo strikes cautious tone on economy, signals flexible policy for second half At a Wednesday Politburo meeting,...

Caixin Global

HK Strategy: Some Ideas for 2H25

​Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due...

CMB International

Excessive optimism on HSI after a 20% rally YTD, caution needed for Jul-Oct as historically returns are negative. BYD Electronic, Haier Smart...