Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Fuyao Glass Industry Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day in the four days spanning the long holiday break. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell.</li>
<li>The recommended name was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>. The stock was +1% over two weeks, but underperformed its H by 0.52%. Great Wall is down 4+% today.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$21bn a day in the four days spanning the long holiday break. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell.
The recommended name was short Great Wall Motor (2333 HK). The stock was +1% over two weeks, but underperformed its H by 0.52%. Great Wall is down 4+% today.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.</li>
<li>The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hua-hong-semiconductor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7201:1" rel="noopener">Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)</a> are badly exposed.</li>
</ul>


Following Trump's threats on tariffs and pull-out of meeting with Xi, the 5% collapse in the HSI futures implies a heavy sell-off in HK when the market reopens.
The stocks with the best YTD performance and significant strengths in the last month are the prime candidates most vulnerable to the initial collapse. 

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), and Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK) are badly exposed.


Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the December 2025 index capping flows.</li>
<li>We have also presented our index change expectations for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
In this insight, we take a look at the December 2025 index capping flows.
We have also presented our index change expectations for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: Expected ADDs Strongly Outperforming Expected DELs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology, TraHK HSI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology, TraHK HSI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 10th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Cloud Factory (2512 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 10th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Cloud Factory (2512 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Anta (2020 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 10th): Tencent, Hang Seng Bank, Cloud Factory

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

This is just to keep track of the Southbound flows. There were two days in the previous week and two days last week spanning the big holiday. HK...

Travis Lundy

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: Expected ADDs Strongly Outperforming Expected DELs

The March 2026 expected ADDs have been outperforming the expected DELs over the last few weeks and this could continue over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 10th): Tencent, Hang Seng Bank, Cloud Factory

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

This is just to keep track of the Southbound flows. There were two days in the previous week and two days last week spanning the big holiday. HK...

Travis Lundy

HK Strategy: Who Will Suffer the Most?

​Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: Expected ADDs Strongly Outperforming Expected DELs

The March 2026 expected ADDs have been outperforming the expected DELs over the last few weeks and this could continue over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Tencent, HSBC, CCB, Gcl Technology

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Tencent, HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 10th): Tencent, Hang Seng Bank, Cloud Factory

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trump's tariff threats and market uncertainty lead to a potential heavy sell-off in HK, with top-performing stocks like SMIC, Kuaishou, Alibaba,...