Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

Miwon Specialty Chemical / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KRX will replace Kumyang with the top backup from Materials—Miwon Specialty Chemical (268280 KS)—based on the last rebalancing.</li>
<li>Kumyang jumped 15% today, but it’s likely just speculative mania off the battery sector bounce—not a sign they dodged KRX’s penalty.</li>
<li>Kumyang still trades like a casino, and with this trade volume, its KOSPI 200 exit likely has minimal passive impact. The cleaner trade is on the inclusion name.</li>
</ul>


KRX will replace Kumyang with the top backup from Materials—Miwon Specialty Chemical (268280 KS)—based on the last rebalancing.
Kumyang jumped 15% today, but it’s likely just speculative mania off the battery sector bounce—not a sign they dodged KRX’s penalty.
Kumyang still trades like a casino, and with this trade volume, its KOSPI 200 exit likely has minimal passive impact. The cleaner trade is on the inclusion name.


Passive Flow Action Around Kumyang: Eyes on Miwon SC for the Play

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>Over halfway through the review period, we forecast 39 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Three potential downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, four more potential downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
Over halfway through the review period, we forecast 39 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 stock could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Three potential downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, four more potential downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.</li>
<li>The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. </li>
<li>There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.
The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. 
There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.


A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The FSS's correction deadline still starts from October 17, giving Kum Yang until January 16 next year to get everything in order.</li>
<li>We should still be all over this, as the major shareholder likely won’t participate, flooding the market with stock rights and unsubscribed shares, creating a prime 25% discount opportunity.</li>
<li>Kum Yang needs even this 200-300 billion KRW, so cancellation seems unlikely. With the FSS deadline on January 16, they’ll likely submit the revised report mid to late next month.</li>
</ul>


The FSS's correction deadline still starts from October 17, giving Kum Yang until January 16 next year to get everything in order.
We should still be all over this, as the major shareholder likely won’t participate, flooding the market with stock rights and unsubscribed shares, creating a prime 25% discount opportunity.
Kum Yang needs even this 200-300 billion KRW, so cancellation seems unlikely. With the FSS deadline on January 16, they’ll likely submit the revised report mid to late next month.


Main Fact Checks on the Mix-Up Around Kum Yang’s Rights Offering Rollout

South Korea

Kum Yang Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing blowing agents to foam rubber products and polymers.  The Company also produces other basic fine chemicals, such as sulphur products.

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Kum Yang (001570 KS)

Passive Flow Action Around Kumyang: Eyes on Miwon SC for the Play

This post takes a look at the passive flow action surrounding Kumyang, and with the current setup, Miwon SC is the key name to keep on our radar...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI Size Indices: When Active Met Passive

There could be 39 migrations in March. Most of the Large to Mid migrations have been, or will be, deleted from a large global index. Along with...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

There could be 37 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 3 MidCap inclusions. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are...

Douglas Kim

Main Fact Checks on the Mix-Up Around Kum Yang’s Rights Offering Rollout

This post dives into the key facts and clears up the confusion surrounding Kum Yang’s rights issue developments, breaking down what’s been causing...

Sanghyun Park

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