Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro Co Ltd</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX</a> have all rallied recently and could find their way into global passive portfolios.</li>
<li>There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks as early as the end of the month and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.</li>
<li>Retail investors have been big buyers in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro Co</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a> while foreign investors have been buyers in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daewoo-shipbuilding-marine-engineering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanmi-semiconductor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15587:1" rel="noopener">Hanmi Semiconductor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX</a>.</li>
</ul>



Ecopro Co Ltd, Kum Yang, Jyp Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semiconductor and Posco DX have all rallied recently and could find their way into global passive portfolios.
There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks as early as the end of the month and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.
Retail investors have been big buyers in Ecopro Co and Kum Yang while foreign investors have been buyers in Jyp Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semiconductor and Posco DX.


Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, Kumyang, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, Posco DX

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As the possibility of implementing the pre-disclosure rule in the second half of this year arises, the local block deal market is expected to become more active. </li>
<li>Specifically, there are observable movements among Kosdaq mid-sized companies that are particularly sensitive to deal execution risk. This suggests that LHJ's KIS may further solidify its dominance.</li>
<li>Significant increases in trading volume through KB Securities could serve as potential clues indicating the imminence of block deals in companies where the likelihood of such deals is high.</li>
</ul>


As the possibility of implementing the pre-disclosure rule in the second half of this year arises, the local block deal market is expected to become more active. 
Specifically, there are observable movements among Kosdaq mid-sized companies that are particularly sensitive to deal execution risk. This suggests that LHJ's KIS may further solidify its dominance.
Significant increases in trading volume through KB Securities could serve as potential clues indicating the imminence of block deals in companies where the likelihood of such deals is high.


Seeking Clues for a Preemptive Position in the Korean Local Block Deal Market in H2

<ul>
<li>The important point is that the regulations also incorporate a provision mandating the disclosure of the actual end traders' identities when brokerages engage in CFD transactions disguised as proprietary trading.</li>
<li>Recent suspicious incidents raise concerns because they are carried out through brokerages' proprietary trading practices, making them relatively more difficult for local regulatory authorities to detect and monitor.</li>
<li>We need to closely monitor the market's abnormal volatility following the strengthened new rules on CFDs and carefully consider the setup for responding to these changes.</li>
</ul>


The important point is that the regulations also incorporate a provision mandating the disclosure of the actual end traders' identities when brokerages engage in CFD transactions disguised as proprietary trading.
Recent suspicious incidents raise concerns because they are carried out through brokerages' proprietary trading practices, making them relatively more difficult for local regulatory authorities to detect and monitor.
We need to closely monitor the market's abnormal volatility following the strengthened new rules on CFDs and carefully consider the setup for responding to these changes.


KRX's Revised CFD Oversight Guidelines & Ongoing Suspicious Incidents

<ul>
<li>There will be 2 additions and 2 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 8 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmochemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3747:1" rel="noopener">Cosmochemical (005420 KS)</a>, both high probability names, are inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwaseung-enterprise-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35611:1" rel="noopener">Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongwon-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1783:1" rel="noopener">Dongwon Industries (006040 KS)</a> are deletions.</li>
<li>Not surpisingly, there is almost no short interest on the adds. Short interest on the deletes is higher and rising. Expect short covering on the deletes prior to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There will be 2 additions and 2 deletions for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance that will be implemented on 8 June.

Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS), both high probability names, are inclusions while Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) and Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) are deletions.
Not surpisingly, there is almost no short interest on the adds. Short interest on the deletes is higher and rising. Expect short covering on the deletes prior to implementation.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Apr 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD522.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD843mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Apr 26th which has an aggregated holding worth USD522.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD843mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanmi Semicon.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 26th): Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

South Korea

Kum Yang Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing blowing agents to foam rubber products and polymers.  The Company also produces other basic fine chemicals, such as sulphur products.

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Kum Yang (001570 KS)

Korea - Positioning in Ecopro, Kumyang, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, Posco DX

A bunch of Korean stocks have rallied recently amid high volatility and outperformed peers. Potential inclusion in global passive portfolios has...

Brian Freitas

Seeking Clues for a Preemptive Position in the Korean Local Block Deal Market in H2

This post discusses how we should search for clues to establish a preemptive position in the Korean local block deal market during the second half...

Sanghyun Park

KRX's Revised CFD Oversight Guidelines & Ongoing Suspicious Incidents

This post highlights the important aspect of the KRX's revised CFD oversight guidelines disclosed yesterday and discusses what impacts this may...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance: Two Sets of Changes

Kumyang & CosmoChem will be added to the KOSPI200 in June. Both stocks ran up a lot and are now correcting - they become short sell eligible from...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 26th): Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Ecopro, Hyundai Motor, Krafton, Sk Hynix, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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