Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
A quarter of the way through the review period, we forecast 37 migrating stocks. Among new listings, 1 could be added to LargeCap, 3 to MidCap and 2 to SmallCap.
Four downward migrations were deleted from a global index in November. Now, three more downward migrations could be deleted from the same global index in February.


KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commences on 1 December and will end on 28 February.
We see 5 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 1 new addition to MidCap.
The migrations from MidCap to LargeCap have outperformed the other migration categories. Four potential LargeCap to MidCap migrations will be deleted from a global index later this month.


KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the important factors of big changes at the Korean chaebols is the age factor of the chairman/honorary chairman of each of these conglomerates.</li>
<li>In this insight, we provide the shareholding ownerships and ages of the top 10 Korean conglomerates where age could become a major factor in impacting big changes that could occur.</li>
<li>Among the 10 conglomerates listed below, Hyundai Motor Group, Celltrion Group, and SK Group have shown greater willingness to improve their shareholder return policies.</li>
</ul>


One of the important factors of big changes at the Korean chaebols is the age factor of the chairman/honorary chairman of each of these conglomerates.
In this insight, we provide the shareholding ownerships and ages of the top 10 Korean conglomerates where age could become a major factor in impacting big changes that could occur.
Among the 10 conglomerates listed below, Hyundai Motor Group, Celltrion Group, and SK Group have shown greater willingness to improve their shareholder return policies.


Potential Big Changes at the Korean Chaebols - The Age Factor of Chairman/Honorary Chairman

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> places out 1% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>, but rejects lowering its stake to 15%.  That is the end of the near-term catalyst.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> popped after property cooling measures were scrapped. Then gave those gains back. And then some, and is now trading at 0.11x P/B, its lowest-ever level.</li>
<li>The spreads for  both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU) </a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a> are trading wide; both potentially FIRB-related.</li>
</ul>



Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) places out 1% of Oriental Land (4661 JP), but rejects lowering its stake to 15%.  That is the end of the near-term catalyst.

New World Development (17 HK) popped after property cooling measures were scrapped. Then gave those gains back. And then some, and is now trading at 0.11x P/B, its lowest-ever level.
The spreads for  both Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)  and Azure Minerals (AZS AU) are trading wide; both potentially FIRB-related.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, New World Development, Alumina Ltd, Azure Minerals, TDCX

<ul>
<li>After the market close on 6 May, Kumho Petrochem announced a significant shares cancellation program which is likely to have a positive impact on its share price. </li>
<li>The company announced that it will cancel 430 billion won worth of its common shares in the next three years, representing nearly 10.5% of its market cap.</li>
<li>Park Chul Wan, nephew of Kumho Petrochem Chairman Park Chan Koo, has been very vocal about the need for Kumho Petrochem to improve its corporate governance in past several years.</li>
</ul>


After the market close on 6 May, Kumho Petrochem announced a significant shares cancellation program which is likely to have a positive impact on its share price. 
The company announced that it will cancel 430 billion won worth of its common shares in the next three years, representing nearly 10.5% of its market cap.
Park Chul Wan, nephew of Kumho Petrochem Chairman Park Chan Koo, has been very vocal about the need for Kumho Petrochem to improve its corporate governance in past several years.


Kumho Petrochemical - A Significant Shares Cancellation Announcement

South Korea

Kumho Petrochemical Co., Ltd. manufactures synthetic rubbers, synthetic resins, and rubber chemicals.  The Company's products include styrene butadiene, acrylonitrile butadiene, polystyrene, expandable polystyrene, and antioxidant.  Kumho Petrochemical provides construction, transportation, and financial services through its subsidiaries.

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Kumho Petro Chemical (011780 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Overlap Between Global Passive Selling & Downward Migrations

There could be 37 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 3 MidCap inclusions. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Global Index Selling Leads to Potential Downward Migration

There could be 29 migrations for the KOSPI Size indices in March, plus 1 LargeCap and 1 MidCap inclusion. The MidCap to LargeCap migrations have...

Brian Freitas

Potential Big Changes at the Korean Chaebols - The Age Factor of Chairman/Honorary Chairman

One of the important factors of big changes at the Korean chaebols is the age factor of the chairman/honorary chairman of each of these conglomerates.

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, New World Development, Alumina Ltd, Azure Minerals, TDCX

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Kumho Petrochemical - A Significant Shares Cancellation Announcement

Kumho Petrochem announced announced that it will cancel 430 billion won worth of its common shares in the next three years, representing nearly...

Douglas Kim

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