Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP)</a> announced Q1FY27 result, with revenue and all profit categories achieving record-high for the first quarter, driven by existing businesses and integration effects from acquired businesses.</li>
<li>Progress rate of key parameters of Q1FY27 against H1FY27 guidance is strong, thereby enhancing our conviction on the company meeting guidance.</li>
<li>Addition of growth drivers in multiple QOL diseases that are not affected by fluctuations in infectious disease outbreaks, together with contributions from acquired products should lead to accelerated profitable growth.</li>
</ul>



Shionogi &amp; Co (4507 JP) announced Q1FY27 result, with revenue and all profit categories achieving record-high for the first quarter, driven by existing businesses and integration effects from acquired businesses.
Progress rate of key parameters of Q1FY27 against H1FY27 guidance is strong, thereby enhancing our conviction on the company meeting guidance.
Addition of growth drivers in multiple QOL diseases that are not affected by fluctuations in infectious disease outbreaks, together with contributions from acquired products should lead to accelerated profitable growth.


Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Strong Start to FY27 as Business Diversification Is Yielding Result

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Technical Analysis

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.</li>
<li>We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
<li>Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.</li>
</ul>


Rallies appear to be stalling-out near logical resistances in the largest global equity markets. That includes 5670-5783 on SPX, 2690-2700 on Japan's TOPIX, and 4884 on Europe's EURO STOXX 50.
We continue to believe these indexes will roll over near current or marginally higher levels, fitting with our ongoing belief that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1-to-4-month pullback/consolidation.
Long-Term uptrend violations on global indexes and continued outperformance from defensive Sectors are our top concerns for global equities, though recession indicators and a Fed cutting cycle are also concerns.


Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

<ul>
<li>We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...</li>
<li>We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.</li>
<li>Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing snap-back rallies in the largest global economies -- notably the U.S. and Japan, and also Europe to a lesser extent. However...
We're expecting to see lower highs develop at prior breakdown levels at 2690-2700 on the TOPIX and 4884 on the EURO STOXX 50, which are significant resistance levels.
Watching SPX resistance at 5585, or possible test of YTD highs/marginal new high, all fitting with our ongoing belief (since July 25) that ACWI-US going through 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation.


MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Japan equity universe ahead of the MS-Japan August 2026 quarterly review.</li>
<li>We expect one ADD and two DELETE candidates with mid to high conviction.</li>
<li>The main risk is that our estimated cutoffs or FF values.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Japan equity universe ahead of the MS-Japan August 2026 quarterly review.
We expect one ADD and two DELETE candidates with mid to high conviction.
The main risk is that our estimated cutoffs or FF values.


MS-Japan Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-pharma-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1935:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP)</a> revenue was up 20% YoY to ¥129.5B in Q1FY27 on the back of continued strong sales in North America (up 35% YoY to ¥94.3B).</li>
<li>Orgovyx (revenue jumped 58% YoY to ¥51.6B) witnessed solid patient growth in medicare patients while Gemtesa (revenue rose 42% to ¥30.2B) improved market share through clinical differentiation.</li>
<li>Company reiterated FY27 guidance. Core drugs will hold fort and eventually Enzomenib &amp; Amchepry is expected to follow suit in near to medium term.</li>
</ul>



Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) revenue was up 20% YoY to ¥129.5B in Q1FY27 on the back of continued strong sales in North America (up 35% YoY to ¥94.3B).
Orgovyx (revenue jumped 58% YoY to ¥51.6B) witnessed solid patient growth in medicare patients while Gemtesa (revenue rose 42% to ¥30.2B) improved market share through clinical differentiation.
Company reiterated FY27 guidance. Core drugs will hold fort and eventually Enzomenib &amp; Amchepry is expected to follow suit in near to medium term.


Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): North America Continue To Be Robust in Q1FY27, Enzomenib Progressing Well

Japan

Kyowa Hakko Kirin Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals. The Company's products include a protein produced by genetic recombination technology, an anti-anemia agent that attaches new sugar chains through partial modification of the amino acid sequence of human erythropoietin (EPO), and a glycoprotein, human erythropoietin.

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Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP)

Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Strong Start to FY27 as Business Diversification Is Yielding Result

Shionogi announced Q1FY27 result, with revenue and all profit categories achieving record-high for the first quarter, driven by existing businesses...

Tina Banerjee

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

MS-Japan Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Niterra to enter MSCI Japan at the August 2026 Quarterly Index Review, and Kyowa Kirin and Suntory Beverage and Food to be deleted.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): North America Continue To Be Robust in Q1FY27, Enzomenib Progressing Well

Sumitomo Pharma's Q1FY27 revenue rose 20% YoY to ¥129.5B, driven by strong sales in North America. Orgovyx and Gemtesa saw significant revenue...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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Shionogi & Co (4507 JP): Strong Start to FY27 as Business Diversification Is Yielding Result

Shionogi announced Q1FY27 result, with revenue and all profit categories achieving record-high for the first quarter, driven by existing businesses...

Tina Banerjee

Expecting Downside Ahead; Stick With Defensives; Downgrading Taiwan to Market Weight; Risk-Off Signs

Expecting Downside Ahead $ACWI $SPX; Stick With Defensive Sectors; Downgrading Taiwan $EWT $TSM to Market Weight; Global Discretionary vs. Staples...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Buys Across Defensives & Other Sectors

MSCI $ACWI Consolidation Continues; Outlook Remains Neutral; Snap-Back Rallies in Japan $Nikkei $TOPIX, U.S. $SPX, Europe $STOXX fits with our view...

Vermilion Research

MS-Japan Sep 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Niterra to enter MSCI Japan at the August 2026 Quarterly Index Review, and Kyowa Kirin and Suntory Beverage and Food to be deleted.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): North America Continue To Be Robust in Q1FY27, Enzomenib Progressing Well

​Sumitomo Pharma's Q1FY27 revenue rose 20% YoY to ¥129.5B, driven by strong sales in North America. Orgovyx and Gemtesa saw significant revenue...

Tina Banerjee

Sumitomo Pharma's Q1FY27 revenue rose 20% YoY to ¥129.5B, driven by strong sales in North America. Orgovyx and Gemtesa saw significant revenue...