Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KRX has announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4454:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae International Co (031430 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the close on 14 March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> while selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4454:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae International (031430 KS)</a> is larger at over 7 days of ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F (066970 KS)</a> lists on the KOSPI market on 29 January; there is a possibility that the stock is also added to the index in March as a Fast Entry.</li>
</ul>


KRX has announced that Posco DX (022100 KS) will replace Shinsegae International Co (031430 KS) in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the close on 14 March.
Passive trackers will need to buy 0.5 days of ADV in Posco DX (022100 KS) while selling in Shinsegae International (031430 KS) is larger at over 7 days of ADV.

L&amp;F (066970 KS) lists on the KOSPI market on 29 January; there is a possibility that the stock is also added to the index in March as a Fast Entry.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD8.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Jan 19th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD8.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS)</a> will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 29 January. That means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> deletion at the close on 26 January.</li>
<li>As the highest ranked non-constituent from the Information Technology sector at the December rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13269:1" rel="noopener">Seronics Co Ltd (042600 KS)</a> will be added to the index.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F Co (066970 KS)</a> is 1.8m shares (KRW 364bn; 4.98% of shares outstanding; 7.24% of float; 2.4x ADV). There could be recalls from passives and forced covering.</li>
</ul>



L&amp;F Co Ltd (066970 KS) will move from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market on 29 January. That means KOSDAQ 150 Index deletion at the close on 26 January.
As the highest ranked non-constituent from the Information Technology sector at the December rebalance, Seronics Co Ltd (042600 KS) will be added to the index.
Short interest on L&amp;F Co (066970 KS) is 1.8m shares (KRW 364bn; 4.98% of shares outstanding; 7.24% of float; 2.4x ADV). There could be recalls from passives and forced covering.


KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.</li>
<li>We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 December and will end 29 February. The changes will be implemented at the close 14 March.
We currently see 3 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 3 new adds to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, and 11 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

South Korea

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

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L&F (066970 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance (March): Fast Entry for PoscoDX; Will L&F Make It Too?

PoscoDX will be added to the KOSPI200 in March as a Fast Entry. Shinsegae Intl will be deleted. LnF lists on the KOSPI market on 29Jan and could...

Brian Freitas

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 19th): POSCO Future, LG Energy Solution

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in POSCO FUTURE, LG Energy Solution.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KOSDAQ150 Adhoc Index Rebalance: Seronics to Replace L&F

Seronics will replace L&F in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on 26 January. There is still a lot of short interest on L&F and there could be...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - The Outperformance Continues

We see 34 migrations and 6 new inclusions for the KOSPI Size indices. Stocks migrating higher have outperformed stocks migrating lower. Some stocks...

Brian Freitas

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