Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>HLB's process of selecting a lead underwriter for the KOSPI listing has been witnessed in Yeouido.</li>
<li>The price impact becomes most evident on the board approval date as the point at which this impact is most pronounced is substantially accelerated due to the market's learning effect.</li>
<li>There is a strong likelihood that HLB will have its board decision by mid-September, necessitating our preparation for a position setup targeting this timing.</li>
</ul>


HLB's process of selecting a lead underwriter for the KOSPI listing has been witnessed in Yeouido.
The price impact becomes most evident on the board approval date as the point at which this impact is most pronounced is substantially accelerated due to the market's learning effect.
There is a strong likelihood that HLB will have its board decision by mid-September, necessitating our preparation for a position setup targeting this timing.


Positioning for the Timing of HLB, the Latest Target in the KOSDAQ Exodus

<ul>
<li>Yonhap News reported on the exclusive coverage of Ecopro BM and L&amp;F's KOSPI transfer listing.</li>
<li>L&amp;F announced through the disclosure that they are considering the KOSPI transfer listing. Ecopro BM told another local news outlet that they are not currently reviewing the KOSPI transfer listing.</li>
<li>It seems that L&amp;F's KOSPI transfer listing is almost a confirmed fact. However, the Ecopro company in question may be Ecopro Co, not Ecopro BM.</li>
</ul>


Yonhap News reported on the exclusive coverage of Ecopro BM and L&amp;F's KOSPI transfer listing.
L&amp;F announced through the disclosure that they are considering the KOSPI transfer listing. Ecopro BM told another local news outlet that they are not currently reviewing the KOSPI transfer listing.
It seems that L&amp;F's KOSPI transfer listing is almost a confirmed fact. However, the Ecopro company in question may be Ecopro Co, not Ecopro BM.


What We Know Until Now About L&F & Ecopro BM's Kospi Transfer Listing

<ul>
<li>The main challenge is the construction of new production facilities in the US. The investment amount is estimated to be around ₩1T, achieving an annual production capacity of 100,000 tons.</li>
<li>The government's approval is the most significant factor to monitor. It will likely be granted between late June or early July, which is when we should start building positions.</li>
<li>Due to the local market's expectation of L&amp;F's upcoming fundraising event, some traders may start building their positions early on. It's important to consider this possibility and act preemptively.</li>
</ul>


The main challenge is the construction of new production facilities in the US. The investment amount is estimated to be around ₩1T, achieving an annual production capacity of 100,000 tons.
The government's approval is the most significant factor to monitor. It will likely be granted between late June or early July, which is when we should start building positions.
Due to the local market's expectation of L&amp;F's upcoming fundraising event, some traders may start building their positions early on. It's important to consider this possibility and act preemptively.


How Should We Time the L&F Shorting Event for Another Share Dilution Risk?

Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI will remain in the index as top stocks of pack makers, respectively. Ecopro BM will almost certainly replace L&amp;F in the category of Cathode.</li>
<li>SK IE Technology will newly join the index with Separator's top stock. On the other hand, Lotte Energy Materials and SKC are unlikely to be included.</li>
<li>This event can be a critical inflection point in predicting the counter-flow for short positions against Ecopro BM and L&amp;F in advance.</li>
</ul>


LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI will remain in the index as top stocks of pack makers, respectively. Ecopro BM will almost certainly replace L&amp;F in the category of Cathode.
SK IE Technology will newly join the index with Separator's top stock. On the other hand, Lotte Energy Materials and SKC are unlikely to be included.
This event can be a critical inflection point in predicting the counter-flow for short positions against Ecopro BM and L&amp;F in advance.


Pre-Positioning Targeting Solactive Global Lithium Index's October Rebalancing

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

South Korea

L&F Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures battery materials. The Company produces and sells cathode active materials, anode materials, electrolyte, separator, and other products. L&F markets its products throughout Korea.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

L&F (066970 KS)

Positioning for the Timing of HLB, the Latest Target in the KOSDAQ Exodus

This post explores why top KOSDAQ companies are hurrying to shift to KOSPI in the second half of this year and discusses the best timing for...

Sanghyun Park

What We Know Until Now About L&F & Ecopro BM's Kospi Transfer Listing

This post provides the latest update on today's news about the possibility of L&F and Ecopro BM's KOSPI transfer listing.

Sanghyun Park

Pre-Positioning Targeting Solactive Global Lithium Index's October Rebalancing

This post investigates several pre-positioning angles for passive flow trading and counter-attack flow against short positions with Solactive...

Sanghyun Park

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Positioning for the Timing of HLB, the Latest Target in the KOSDAQ Exodus

This post explores why top KOSDAQ companies are hurrying to shift to KOSPI in the second half of this year and discusses the best timing for...

Sanghyun Park

What We Know Until Now About L&F & Ecopro BM's Kospi Transfer Listing

This post provides the latest update on today's news about the possibility of L&F and Ecopro BM's KOSPI transfer listing.

Sanghyun Park

How Should We Time the L&F Shorting Event for Another Share Dilution Risk?

This post discusses how we should time the L&F shorting event resulting from another share dilution risk due to the belated expansion into the US.

Sanghyun Park

Pre-Positioning Targeting Solactive Global Lithium Index's October Rebalancing

This post investigates several pre-positioning angles for passive flow trading and counter-attack flow against short positions with Solactive...

Sanghyun Park

Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

The Insight looks at movements in short interest across HK, Korea, Taiwan and Australia stocks over Q1 and highlights large increases/decreases in...

Brian Freitas