Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 9th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD30.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare Earths.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jan 9th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD30.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare Earths.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare Earths

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 29 November, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a> IE considered <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a>’s all-scrip offer fair and reasonable. The offer is 0.07 PLS share per LRS share. </li>
<li>The key conditions are LRS shareholder and Brazilian regulatory approvals. No disinterested shareholder holds the 25% blocking stake, and low retail ownership lowers the headcount test risk.</li>
<li>An attractive offer and the lack of a competing bidder suggest a done deal. At the last close, for the 4 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.9%/18.8%.</li>
</ul>


On 29 November, the Latin Resources (LRS AU) IE considered Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)’s all-scrip offer fair and reasonable. The offer is 0.07 PLS share per LRS share. 
The key conditions are LRS shareholder and Brazilian regulatory approvals. No disinterested shareholder holds the 25% blocking stake, and low retail ownership lowers the headcount test risk.
An attractive offer and the lack of a competing bidder suggest a done deal. At the last close, for the 4 February payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.9%/18.8%.


Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)’s Scheme Vote on 16 January

<ul>
<li>On 15 August, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a> disclosed a binding offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pilbara-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7460:1" rel="noopener">Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)</a> at 0.07 PLS share per LRS share, a 66.3% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The key condition is LRS shareholder approval. No disinterested shareholder holds the 25% blocking stake, and low retail ownership lowers the headcount test risk. </li>
<li>The Salinas definitive feasibility study, expected in September, provides option value. A strong result could draw a competing offer or force PLS into sweetening terms.  </li>
</ul>


On 15 August, Latin Resources (LRS AU) disclosed a binding offer from Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) at 0.07 PLS share per LRS share, a 66.3% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The key condition is LRS shareholder approval. No disinterested shareholder holds the 25% blocking stake, and low retail ownership lowers the headcount test risk. 
The Salinas definitive feasibility study, expected in September, provides option value. A strong result could draw a competing offer or force PLS into sweetening terms.  


Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals’ All-Scrip Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There were a few rebalance announcements in the last week and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and STAR100 Index rebalances were implemented at the close on Friday.</li>
<li>There are a lot of rebalances that will be implemented at the close on the coming Thursday and Friday.</li>
<li>Another big week of inflows for onshore China ETFs with Central Huijin likely behind the big flows to ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There were a few rebalance announcements in the last week and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and STAR100 Index rebalances were implemented at the close on Friday.
There are a lot of rebalances that will be implemented at the close on the coming Thursday and Friday.
Another big week of inflows for onshore China ETFs with Central Huijin likely behind the big flows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX200 INDEX</a> and 14 adds/10 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>The largest impact is expected on the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> while flows are large among changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index too.</li>
<li>There has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for most stocks but there are a few where there has been a spike recently.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 INDEX and 14 adds/10 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index in March.
The largest impact is expected on the changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) while flows are large among changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index too.
There has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for most stocks but there are a few where there has been a spike recently.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

Australia

Lake Resources NL is a specialist mineral exploration company with exploration projects in Pakistan and Argentina.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare Earths

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)’s Scheme Vote on 16 January

An attractive offer and the lack of a competing bidder suggest a done deal. At the last close, for the 4 February payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals’ All-Scrip Offer

This is a done deal, with the September definitive feasibility study providing option value on a bump. At the last close and for the end-of...

Arun George

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There are 38 constituent changes across the index family. There are big flows and impacts for a bunch of stocks. Short interest is high on the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jan 9th): Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare Earths

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Qube, ANZ, Whitehaven Coal, Woolworths, Lynas Rare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU)’s Scheme Vote on 16 January

An attractive offer and the lack of a competing bidder suggest a done deal. At the last close, for the 4 February payment, the gross/annualised...

Arun George

Latin Resources (LRS AU): Pilbara Minerals’ All-Scrip Offer

This is a done deal, with the September definitive feasibility study providing option value on a bump. At the last close and for the end-of...

Arun George

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, A50, STTF, LowVol30, Value Up

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There are 38 constituent changes across the index family. There are big flows and impacts for a bunch of stocks. Short interest is high on the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2024): Changes, Flows, Impact, Shorts & Positioning